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Lorne Gunter: Alberta's Keystone investment is problematic, but probably necessary – National Post

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For nearly two years now I have complained about the federal government’s purchase of the Trans Mountain pipeline.

I still believe it was mostly a political move.

The Trudeau government paid at least a billion more than the line was worth just so they could control whether it got built, according to their best political interests.

Not according to national interests. Or Alberta’s economic interests. But according to what was best for the Liberal Party of Canada.

They bought it so they could tell economic-minded voters in last fall’s federal election that they truly were concerned about jobs and finances. Then they deliberately went along with efforts by Indigenous radicals to delay the project in court, so they could say out of the other side of their mouths that were listening to First Nations and environmental concerns.

How is it any different, then, for the provincial United Conservative government to invest heavily in the Keystone XL pipeline to convince TC Energy to finish the project that will take over 800,000 barrels of Alberta oil to the U.S. Gulf Coast every day?

The truth is, there is a lot about the UCP move that is equally problematic with Ottawa TMX purchase.

However, there is one big difference — and I think it is the essential difference. The UCP truly want Keystone built. They’re investing in it because they believe in it.

I’ve never had full faith in the Liberals’ objectives.

It’s also critical that the Alberta government has not become the outright owner of the pipeline, the way the federal government has made itself the sole proprietor of the pipeline to the West Coast.

A private-sector company with a motive to get Keystone built remains in the driver’s seat. Important decisions over the design and construction are not being left to bureaucrats and politicians, the way they are with TMX.

For instance, remember the big fanfare last fall about work on Trans Mountain finally getting under way?

What work? Some rail cars full of new pipe got moved into position for nice photo ops. And a bit of trench got dug in Alberta where it was pretty obvious there would be few protestors.

Hmm, do you think those actions were based on real business considerations? Or is it possible they were merely symbolic, having more to do with the federal election than Trans Mountain’s bottom line?

There are huge risks to what the Kenney government is doing.

What if Donald Trump doesn’t get re-elected as U.S. president this fall and an anti-Keystone Democrat and Congress are elected? The project could get cancelled again, as it did during the Obama administration.

What if oil doesn’t come back up to $60 a barrel, as projected for 2021 and beyond? Or if Western Canadian Select lags way behind lighter grades of oil?

It was below $4 a barrel on Monday.

Moody’s, the credit rating service, actually downgraded TC Energy’s debt from stable to negative on the Alberta announcement. Moody’s was less worried about TC’s credit risk when it wasn’t building Keystone than after it said it was.

(On the other hand, the company’s share price rose by nearly seven per cent on the news.)

The way the Kenney government is investing in Keystone is smarter than the way the Trudeau government invested in Trans Mountain.

Rather than buying the line outright, it is buying $1.5 billion in shares now and guaranteeing loans of $6 billion next year. Both will be paid out once oil begins to flow in 2023.

As a taxpayer, I don’t like government intervention like this.

But in these crazy times, the Alberta boost is probably the only way to get this project done.

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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