TORONTO – Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. officials said Tuesday they expect real estate prices won’t return to pre-recession levels until late 2022 at the earliest.
The housing agency also cautioned that the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is unpredictable and beyond its worst-case estimates prior to the outbreak.
CMHC routinely does stress tests to estimate what could happen under various severe conditions, but chief executive Evan Siddall said the stress tests focus on what’s considered to be “plausible” scenarios.
“We did, back in January, look at a pandemic scenario that was not as severe as this,” Siddall said in a teleconference to discuss CMHC’s annual financial report for 2019.
“And I’m sure that you’d understand that the realm of plausibility has expanded significantly as a result of all the experience we’ve had.”
Siddall said the federal Crown corporation – which provides market analysis for housing-related industries, mortgage insurance for lenders and funding for public housing projects – is now revising its estimates on an expedited basis based on experience during the spring and summer.
He said preliminary figures indicate that about 10 per cent of homeowners across Canada have chosen to defer their mortgage payments, although the rate seems to be higher in parts of the country that rely heavily on the oil and gas industry.
“Tens of thousands of Canadians are having trouble meeting their mortgage commitments,” Siddall said.
Canadian Mortgage and Housing has given lenders the flexibility to extend mortgage deferrals by a further six months, he said, but the deferrals will mean that missed payments will be added to the total mortgage amount owing on terms determined by contractual agreement between lender and borrower.
CMHC chief economist Bob Dugan said that reliable forecasts are difficult to make because there are so many unknown variables, including how much income levels deteriorate because of unemployment, the timing of future immigration and how the construction industry responds.
“But for Canada and for Ontario, I think, the best case we’re looking at … house prices getting back to their pre-recession levels, at the earliest, by the end of 2022,” Dugan said.
The CMHC presentation came shortly after the release of April statistics for Canada’s largest real estate market.
The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board said April home prices in the Greater Toronto Area fell 11.8 per cent from March, when COVID-related shut-downs including open houses began to be put in place mid-month as Canada stepped up its fight to control the health impact of the coronavirus.
Prices for GTA renters were also down for the month, with the average one-bedroom rent falling 2.7 per cent to $2,107, and the average two-bedroom rent falling 4.1 per cent to $2,705 – still high in comparison with many Canadian cities.
On Monday, Greater Vancouver’s real estate board said its composite price benchmark index was up 0.2 per cent from March, but that the number of sales hit the lowest levels in nearly 40 years – 62.7 per cent below their 10-year average.
Other major cities will be releasing their local and regional figures ahead of a national tally to be published by the Canadian Real Estate Association on May 15.
Siddall said that recent federal emergency legislation will ensure CMHC gets the financial resources it requires to perform its functions which, for the first time, include assisting small businesses through a rent-assistance program announced last month.
However, he said, CMHC had ended 2019 with a strong financial position and said it continues towards a 2030 goal of ensuring all Canadians can get the housing they need at affordable prices.
In the meantime, he said, it’s likely that both incomes and home prices will “sag.”
“And it’s how those move relative to each other that will define the gap between where we are now – post-crisis – and where we will be.”
This report by The Canadian Press was first published May 5, 2020.
Ontario Real Estate Association hands down new guidelines as folks begin looking back into housing market – Barrie 360 – Barrie 360
While officials are expecting the Canadian housing market to take a real hit because of the COVID pandemic, Ontario realtors are still taking steps to protect those who want to buy or sell a home.
The Ontario Real Estate Association (OREA) has issued a series of guidelines to protect the health and safety of not just those in the market to buy or sell, but the realtors doing the deals too.
Most home showings have been done virtually since the emergency was declared in Ontario, and the OREA says that should become standard practice for now. Documents, forms, and acknowledgments should be processed electronically according to these guidelines. The OREA asks that physical home showings should be preceded by thoroughly disinfecting surfaces, and a physical distance should be maintained while interacting with clients directly. The OREA asks that personal protective equipment be used when distancing isn’t possible. A complete list of the OREA’s recommendations can be found on its website.
Now that the Ontario Government has announced a phased reopening, the OREA feels many consumers are looking to get back into the market in person. “The health and safety of our Realtors and their clients is OREA’s top priority during this pandemic,” says Sean Morrison, President of OREA. “As Ontario’s economy reopens, many Ontarians are looking to get back into the real estate market. Realtors are here to help make home buyers and sellers feel comfortable and safe while they work to find their dream home. OREA’s guidelines have been informed by up-to-date information from public health, best practices from the industry and experiences in jurisdictions across North America.”
RELATED: HOUSING MARKET TO BE HIT HARD BY COVID PANDEMIC THROUGH TO THE END OF 2022, ACCORDING TO CMHC HOUSING OUTLOOK
On Wednesday, the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation released a housing market outlook that shows the impacts of COVID-19 will be felt on the industry right through to the end of 2022. Housing starts, sales, and prices within Ontario will be more impacted than some, including B.C. and Quebec, but less than those of oil-dependent Alberta or Saskatchewan.
Quebecers love the 'burbs, real estate poll suggests – Montreal Gazette
A survey conducted by the RE/MAX Québec real estate firm suggests that 46 per cent of respondents — particularly those with young children — could see themselves buying a home in the suburbs.
The poll, carried out just as the effects of the COVID-19 outbreak were beginning to be felt across Quebec, found that 28 per cent would like to settle in the city while 21 per cent preferred the country.
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Among potential sellers, the Léger poll found 58 per cent would put their homes on the block to move somewhere with more land, while 55 per cent would do so for a larger home.
A large proportion of respondents ages 55-64 would sell in order to move to a less expensive home.
RE/MAX Québec vice-president Sylvain Dansereau said the polling dates were not changed despite the health crisis, adding that a second phase of the survey will be carried out this autumn to measure the effects of the outbreak on the real estate buying and selling preferences of Quebecers.
Quebec’s real estate industry received government authorization to resume operations on May 11.
The poll was conducted March 17-29 with 1,400 respondents in six regions of Quebec and has a 2.6-per-cent margin of error 19 times out of 20.
The State of Canada Real Estate
Canada is a country that is known to consistently have a great housing market. Their prices are always on the incline, and they’ve not had any dilemmas regarding their housing economy. With the emergence of the pandemic, housing in Canada might change for the better, or for the worse.
Real Estate During the Pandemic
With the rise in the coronavirus pandemic, people have stopped looking for new homes in ThenCanada. Fewer and fewer homes and spaces are being sold day by day. Rather than risk moving into a new place, Canada’s residents are staying put until they can safely move. Business owners are no longer buying or renting work spaces either. With the stay at home order, there is no need to have a work space they can’t use. Nevertheless, though fewer people are buying houses in Canada, the prices of houses are still increasing. The cost of resales have surged all across the country.
The Cost of Canada Real Estate
On average, the cost of houses in Canada is about 500,000 canadian dollars. The cost of each home is based on region. Houses in big cities like Ottawa and Toronto are meant to be on the higher end of housing costs. Canada real estate prices are on the rise to make up for limited sales. Canada is lucky in that it does not suffer from the same housing crisis as the United States, and other parts of the world in 2008. They’ve stayed secure in their prices and economy, and though the pandemic has affected them, there will be few repercussions when the pandemic ends.
Canada’s Best Places for Real Estate
Investing in Canada real estate is easy and simple. There are plenty of great regions to buy homes to live in, rent out, or make a vacation home. The best places for Canada real estate are located in the province of Ontario. Places like Peterborough and Kawarthas have saw significant increase in the housing market over 2019. These houses will spawn a profit, and they are in locations that are affordable and central to Canada. Ontario is a great province because it hosts the country’s capital city, Ottawa, and it borders the great lakes and the United States.
The Housing Market
The Coronavirus has certainly shifted Canada’s housing market, but not in enough of a way to make a difference. Homeowners in Canada are beginning to worry that their equity and assets are going to depreciate, but as of yet, Canada’s economy is still intact. There is worry across the country that the housing prices will fall. Then again, there are others who hope the prices fall– they’ve been consistent for so long– so they can afford to buy a home in Canada. Either way, someone will benefit from the rise or decline of the housing market due to coronavirus.
Canada is a country full of kindness is beautiful houses. The time to buy a house is not now. The prices of homes are increasing, but they could soon drop. The pandemic has changed things all over the world. Canada real estate is no different.
Published By Harry Miller
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