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My Favorite Investment Writing of 2022

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With 2022 coming to a close, it’s time for my annual tradition of gathering my favorite investment writing of the year. I started this tradition in 2017, and have continued it ever since (2018, 2019, 2020, 2021).

However, unlike previous years, 2022 was painful for investors of all types. Stocks fell, bonds fell, and crypto really fell in the worst market environment since 2008. And, though this year was difficult for all of us, the silver lining is all the great investment writing that came out of it. With that being said, I present my favorite investment writing of 2022:

The first piece on this list was technically written in February 2021 (and featured on last year’s list). However, given its accuracy and level of foresight, I thought it would be the perfect way to start this year’s list as a reminder of how far we’ve come. If there’s one line that I will never forget it’s:

Eventually, everyone figured out that Galileo was right. Eventually, everyone will figure out that Cathie Wood isn’t. And it won’t take as long either.

Yes Drew. It didn’t take long at all.

Morgan remains my favorite writer in finance because he is one of the few people that can make me re-evaluate my most cherished beliefs. In this piece he challenges our reliance on data and logic by demonstrating why people don’t always behave as rationally as we think they will. Filled with beautiful stories and counter-intuitive insights, this is another Morgan Housel classic that you won’t want to miss.

While I don’t agree with everything that Ben Hunt writes (he can be too bearish for me at times haha), I recognize that he is one of the best thinkers in our industry. In this post, he provides a brief history of financial markets during the era of declining interest rates and how 2022 flipped everything on its head. If you want to have a better understanding of monetary policy and how people respond to interest rates, this is the piece to read.

Sometimes I read a Josh Brown piece and can’t perfectly describe what it’s about, only that you have to read it. This is one of those pieces. In it, Josh walks you through the last few years in markets and explains why everything seems to have taken a sudden 180. Though there are some things that you weren’t suppose to see, thankfully, this piece isn’t one of them.

I love it when a writer provides a simple rule of thumb that makes my financial life easier. In this piece Katie does just that. Using her rule, you’ll be able to quickly calculate out how much you need to save for retirement based on how much you want to spend (each month) in retirement. Not only is this rule practical, but Katie explains it in a fun and relatable way. For anyone who wants great financial tips from one of my favorite people in the industry, look no further than Money With Katie.

With all the bullshit that there’s been in the investment industry over the past few years, this piece from Benn Eiffert is a breath of fresh air. Though Benn is mostly known for being an expert on volatility, he demonstrates his overall investment knowledge wonderfully in this scathing takedown of an industry that has, unfortunately, conned so many. While there’s a lot of bullshit in the financial world, thankfully, you won’t find any in this piece.

While many writers will discuss risk within your portfolio, far fewer think about it with regards to your income and your career. In this piece, Chris Keith teaches a lesson that took me a little too long to learn—diversification shouldn’t stop with your investments. While owning a mixture of income-producing assets can work wonders, having a mixture of different income sources is equally, if not more, important. If you want to learn how to be a little more anti-fragile with your finances in the future, read this.

Jack Raines is the fastest growing financial blogger that I’ve ever seen and this article helps explain why. In it, Jack explains the six types of wealth and why they are all important to your life. Though only in his mid-twenties, Jack writes with the wisdom of someone decades older. Don’t just take my word for it though, read this piece and find out for yourself.

Another young blogger that has taken the financial world by storm, Kyla Scanlon is the go-to person for understanding what’s happening right now in the markets and the economy. In this piece she defines a term that was since co-opted by many others—the vibecession. While she is mostly known for her TikToks, Kyla’s sometimes quirky and always insightful writing is not something to be overlooked.

Ben wrote a lot of great posts on the housing market this year, but this was my favorite because it addressed the elephant in the room—luck. Given that purchasing a home is likely to be the biggest financial decision of your life, luck plays an important role in such transactions. Ben’s piece is useful in this regard because it highlights how this plays out in the real world. If you are in the market for a house (or will be soon), this is the piece to read.

I love when Michael Batnick does posts like this because there are so few writers that can take the 40,000 foot view and summarize it in such a succinct and insightful way. This piece is no exception. In a year where there are many lessons to be learned, Michael drops 20 of them with ease. My favorite is:

Diversification is the only answer to an unpredictable future. If everything is working, you’re not really diversified.

Amen, Michael. Amen.

Last, but not least, we have The Crypto Story from none other than Matt Levine. Matt is the best daily writer in finance, which means that he tends to write about things that happened in the last 24 to 72 hours. However, with this piece Matt created an evergreen epic that dives into the history of crypto and how its future might unfold. While this piece clocks in at around 40,000 words, Matt’s simple way of explaining such complex topics make it an easier read than you might expect. Don’t miss out.


I hope you enjoyed this year’s annual review. Happy investing and thank you for reading!

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This is post 324. Any code I have related to this post can be found here with the same numbering: https://github.com/nmaggiulli/of-dollars-and-data


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Investment

Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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