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Ottawa home sales slow as interest rate brings about hesitancy

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Ottawa’s real estate market typically slows down during the colder months of the year, and this year is shaping up to be no exception.

According to the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) 724 homes were sold through the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) in November, representing a modest 1.6 per cent decline compared to the same time last year.

But home sales were 31.8 per cent below the five-year average and 27.4 per cent below the 10-year average for the month of November.

“I’ve been leading this team for about 10 years now, and I’ve never managed or lead a group of people who work so hard for so little. Sales are down, and when sales are down, so is the income of the average realtor,” said Bill Meyer who leads the Tulip Team at RE/MAX.

“We had some real special years during the height of the market during COVID, so when we compare it strictly to that, it’s a big difference. Sales are down probably about 12 per cent this year and about 20 per cent the year before in the number of homes selling.”

It’s a trend that is largely fuelled by the Bank of Canada’s interest rate of five per cent. The highest rate the country has seen in more than 20 years.

The central bank announced on Wednesday that it is holding its lending rate steady, at least for now.

“Buyers are just playing the waiting game to see when rates come down, how far they will come down,” said Meyer.

“It’s tough because what will probably happen is as rates come down, more buyers will come into the market and prices will start to go up. So it’s tough to play the waiting game.”

The average sale price for all homes in Ottawa during the month of November 2023 was $628,900. That’s an increase 1.4 per cent compared to the same time last year, but some communities and building types are seeing prices dip.

In Barrhaven, some new builds are now starting at $419,990.

“$400,000 is pretty cheap compared to the fact that we were almost at $600,000 last year when we signed so, that’s pretty good,” said Natascha Jansen-Poulin.

“I’m probably going to stay here for quite a while so it doesn’t really matter to me too much, but I do hope prices go up so that my value goes up as well.”

There are roughly 2,800 homes on the market in the capital as of the first week of December.

That level of supply is something realtors, homebuyers and sellers have not seen in the past few years, but it shouldn’t come as a surprise.

“Some people think ‘is that good or bad?’ In 2019, there were 4,000 homes on the market. So when people say ‘we have too much inventory’, compared to what; compared to the heated days of COVID when properties were selling in the first five to seven days? Yeah, there is a lot more inventory in the market than there was back then,” said Meyer.

“But generally speaking, we have about a four month supply on the market and that is a balanced market. We’re just not used to that over the last couple of years.”

Where home prices and sales go from there will largely depend on what the Bank of Canada has in store for the key lending rate. The next rate decision is scheduled for Jan. 24, 2024.

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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