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Pandemic, oil downturn hitting Calgary's office real estate with one-two punch – BNN

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Sharlene Massie, founder of Calgary-based employment agency About Staffing, made great time on her commute from a nearby suburb earlier this week, reaching the city’s empty downtown core in only 15 minutes. The trip in non-pandemic times would take 45 minutes out of her day – but this shortened commute came at a cost. 

“Where it used to be booming and bustling downtown, it really is empty,” Massie said, adding that March 2020 marked a stark turning point for the city. “That’s when really everything shut down almost permanently. It got colder and drier and emptier, and just stayed there.”

The 2015 downturn in the energy sector sparked the growth in office vacancies, which has continued climbing steadily in Calgary’s downtown area over the past few years.

Then, things got worse. Once the pandemic sent many people to work from their homes early last year and crashed the price of oil into negative territory, the city’s commercial real estate sector was struck by the dual threat. Calgary’s office vacancy rate has nearly doubled since 2015, hitting an all-time high of 28.7 per cent in the third quarter of 2020, according to a report by CBRE.  

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Greg Kwong, CBRE’s regional managing director in Alberta, said it’s too soon to sound the death knell on Calgary office space, but he expects vacancies to worsen under these conditions before they improve.

“Close to 80 per cent of our office space in the downtown core is occupied by energy companies,” Kwong said. “Their top lines are getting killed right now, so they’re scrutinizing every expense line item right now, and two big ones are employees and office space.”

Meanwhile, consolidation in the energy industry is expected to be a larger trend moving forward, according to Jeffrey Craig, an energy analyst at Veritas Research. He said the layoffs stemming from these mergers will lead to more office vacancies down the road, pointing to the cost-cutting measures following Cenovus Energy Inc.’s takeover of Husky Energy Inc.

“They say synergies are $600 million, and $500 million of that will be … largely in salaries and probably leasing that’s coming out of the business and is unlikely to come back,” Craig said.

He added that a low oil demand environment is not where large-scale, job-creating energy projects are launched.

“Building an oil sands mine, building a project creates a ton of economic activity. You need a lot less people to maintain [these projects].”

While the downturn in oil hit Alberta’s corporate sector harder than other provinces, COVID-19 was a wild card that shook up office buildings in every major city in Canada – including Calgary.

The future of the work from home trend may still be up for debate, though companies are re-evaluating how much space they will need to lease moving forward. Massie said she expects more Calgary firms will continue downsizing to smaller offices.

The trend is changing the landscape of the city. “You can’t leave, cannot walk past one building and see that it’s even got tenants in it,” Massie said. “You have to go inside to see that people are still operating.”

Still, Massie said she had been hearing from employees who were finding it difficult working from home full time, looking forward to returning to the office at least part time. She adds that the province has had its eye on a few sectors like tech, transportation and restorative construction that could see more hiring – and more people – in Calgary’s downtown offices. 

“I know that there are lots of other things that are happening in Alberta. We’re not dead yet.”

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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