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Plunge Alert: Couche-Tard Stock Just Tanked 10% — Why I’d Buy – The Motley Fool Canada

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Don’t look now, but Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD.B) stock is crashing, with shares tumbling another 10% on a day that saw the convenience store kingpin make a US$20 billion offer (which works out to about €20 per share) for French grocer Carrefour.

In prior pieces, I’ve noted that Couche had more than enough cash and credit to scoop up an elephant-sized deal and that it was likely that the firm would make a huge splash in 2021. And a huge splash it made to the downside, as investors were puzzled and surprised as to why the beloved Canadian c-store giant would want to get into the European grocery arena.

Couche-Tard drops a bombshell

Couche-Tard is looking to pay a lofty 29% premium for the ailing Carrefour to get into the grocery business. To many investors, the deal makes no sense, and it’s not a mystery as to why the bid landed shares of Couche-Tard in the penalty box. But is a 10% single-day plunge overblown?

I think the recent sell-off in ATD.B is overblown beyond proportion.

In the past, I’ve referred to Couche-Tard as one of the most misunderstood businesses on the entire TSX Index. The confusion and disapproval over the firm’s pursuit of Carrefour, I believe, has made Couche-Tard stock nothing more than a gift courtesy of a very inefficient Mr. Market, who doesn’t know what to make of Couche-Tard’s surprise bombshell announcement that it’s going after Carrefour.

Yes, a nearly 30% premium on an acquisition is hefty. But as fellow Fool contributor Vishesh Raisinghani put it, Carrefour stock has been steadily losing value for many years: “The company has lost 44.6% of its market capitalization since 2016 as it struggled to compete with other large retailers.”

After such a massive multi-year decline, the premium that Couche is paying suddenly doesn’t seem so rich.

Investors just hate surprises

A major reason Couche-Tard stock is down so much is the surprising nature of the deal. As you may know, investors hate surprises.

Nobody thought the convenience store giant would get into the supermarket business a few weeks ago. The Carrefour pursuit had a lot of shock value, and it’s not a mystery as to why investors would rather ditch Couche-Tard stock with the intention of asking questions later.

I think it’s a mistake to ditch Couche-Tard here and think shares are beyond undervalued after the pullback was driven primarily by confusion and surprise. It also doesn’t help that the staples have been heavily out of favour in recent months.

I’m a fan of the Carrefour deal

Many analysts and investors are quite bearish on Couche’s Carrefour pursuit. Some don’t see major synergies from such a deal. Others believe Couche will just end up selling a majority (or the entirety) of the Carrefour assets at a loss over the medium term. And some just do not get it and would rather just stick with what they know.

Personally, I’m not buying the popular opinion. I’m actually quite a huge fan of the longer-term potential behind Carrefour, especially at the modest price paid, and will be standing by Couche’s proven management team on this one.

I’d say it’s a mistake to bet against management, given its track record, and think it would be a wise move to give CEO Brian Hannasch and his team the benefit of the doubt. You see, such big M&A deals can introduce considerable risks. But Couche-Tard is one of the few firms out there that knows how to mitigate such risks by getting deals at the right price and conducting the due diligence to ensure integration efforts will be worth the synergies.

Fellow Fool Raisinghani is also a bull on the Couche’s deal, and I think he’s right on the money to give management the benefit of the doubt. I’ll personally be accumulating more shares on weakness, as I think investors are heavily discounting management’s incredible track record of creating substantial value from its past acquisitions.

I think the pivot into grocery is a brilliant way to diversify away from fuel while doubling-down on fresh food — an area that I believe will be vital to convenience stores’ success in the future. Ignore the doubters. Buy the dip.

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Fool contributor Joey Frenette owns shares of ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC. The Motley Fool recommends ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC.

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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