Poilievre riding high in polls as Conservatives meet for policy convention – CBC.ca

Conservative Party members are assembling in Quebec City for a three-day policy convention — a chance to craft a playbook to woo voters who are showing signs of fatigue with the governing Liberals.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has seen his fortunes improve over the summer months and the party is registering higher support in public opinion polls — numbers that suggest Conservatives could form a majority government if the next election were held soon.

Poilievre is laser-focused on affordability, inflation and the government’s perceived failings — but some party members have other issues on their mind.

The list of policy proposals before delegates this weekend includes some ideas to address the crippling increase in the cost of living, including providing different mortgage terms so homebuyers can lock in at lower rates for longer, and changes to the RRSP withdrawal rules for seniors.

But the document also shows some members are eager to engage in so-called culture war topics.

There are pitches on upending transgender-related policies, limiting euthanasia, doing away with forced diversity training, scrapping vaccine mandates for good and dismantling the Emergencies Act, the legislation used to dismantle the 2022 COVID-19 convoy protest.

The policies were crafted by the party’s grassroots and approved by local electoral district associations (EDAs) before making it to this convention. There will be further debate before a final vote on the new policies on Saturday.

The policies are designed to inform the party’s next election platform but Poilievre isn’t required to campaign on what delegates endorse.

These conventions have been a headache for previous leaders.

At the 2021 policy convention, Poilievre’s predecessor, Erin O’Toole, promised action on the environment in a speech. The very next day, party delegates rejected a motion that declared climate change is real. As a result, O’Toole left the convention weakened by rampant internal discontent.

The challenge for Poilievre, party insiders and observers tell CBC News, is to keep members focused on the main task before them: cobbling together a winning coalition that can take down Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and end eight years of Liberal government.

The party can’t be distracted by social issues that could be off-putting to swing voters, the insiders said.

A policy to ban sex-selective abortions — a long-time demand of some anti-abortion activists in the party — was included initially in the list of policy proposals but was ultimately dumped from the final 55 that delegates will debate this week.

It’s a sign that the Poilievre-led party doesn’t want to be consumed by at least one divisive social issue.

Speaking to reporters Wednesday, Poilievre steered clear of the more controversial proposals when asked which ones he’s prepared to endorse.

“I’d rather let the members review the motions and propose what policy they want me to consider. And when they do, I’ll consider it,” Poilievre said.

“Leaders, of course, are never bound by convention resolutions but we do take them into consideration.”

In an address to Conservative MPs and senators Thursday before the convention, Poilievre made no mention of the resolutions.

The party’s focus, he said, should be on taking the fight directly to the prime minister he blames personally for the country’s woes.

The cost of housing has doubled on Trudeau’s watch, he said, and stubborn inflation has pushed up the cost of living, leaving the working class with big bills.

Poilievre vowed again to “axe the carbon tax,” balance the budget through spending cuts and tie federal funding for municipalities to the number of building permits they approve every year.

“The good news is, life was not like this in Canada before Justin Trudeau and it will not be like this after he’s gone,” Poilievre said to applause from his caucus.

Speaking to reporters on the sidelines of this Conservative gathering, some MPs said the resolutions are distraction.

“I haven’t even read this resolution,” Alberta MP Stephanie Kusie said of a proposed transgender policy.

“I haven’t seen it,” said Ontario MP Karen Vecchio. “We’re focused on issues that matter to Canadians. Let’s not kid ourselves, we’re doing really well.”

Another Alberta MP, Michelle Rempel Garner, said she respects the “rights and dignity” of all Canadians, including those in the LGBTQ community.

“My first concern is with Canadians who are struggling in my community. The government and Parliament has a lot of work to do to address the affordability crisis,” Rempel Garner said.

“I mean, at every convention in every party you have different resolutions that you look and say, ‘Really?'” Saskatchewan MP Kevin Waugh said when asked about the policy proposals.

“As MPs we say, ‘Hmm. That’s interesting. How would you put that into a policy?”

A Conservative source close to Poilievre who spoke to CBC News on background said the party brass isn’t as concerned about the inevitable Liberal attacks on Conservative social policy — attacks that tripped up past leaders like Andrew Scheer and O’Toole. 

In 2019, for example, Liberals raised Scheer’s past opposition to same-sex marriage. In 2021, Trudeau hammered O’Toole for his more permissive stance on firearms while also suggesting the abortion debate could be reopened with the Tories in power.

Poilievre insisted during his leadership campaign that a government led by him would not introduce any new abortion legislation, the source said, and some more moderate voters are also uneasy about the pace of change with trans and gender issues.

“Pierre is adept at swatting away Liberal fearmongering,” the source said.

“Plus, some voters are tired of all the ‘woke’ talk that comes from this Liberal government. We’re fine having some of these conversations.”

Canadians want change, says party president 

Rob Batherson, the Conservative Party president, said the party is bracing for the Liberals to rely on the “usual fear and scare tactics” to weaken Poilievre’s standing among more moderate voters.

With Trudeau on the defensive, the Tories are expecting their opponent to go negative, he said.

“I think Canadians will see through those tactics and they’ll focus on the fact that everything has gotten appreciably worse over the last eight years,” Batherson told CBC’s Power & Politics.

“We’re increasingly confident that Canadians are looking for a change in government, and they’re certainly tired of Justin Trudeau.”

Among the socially conservative policies that delegates will consider in Quebec is a proposed ban on gender-affirming care for minors.

The proposal, backed by delegates from the B.C. riding of North Okanagan-Shuswap, is designed to “protect children” by “prohibiting life altering medicinal or surgical interventions on minors under 18 to treat gender confusion or dysphoria.” The policy mimics similar policies enacted by conservative Republican governments in the U.S.

For many social conservatives, trans issues have supplanted abortion as the top issue.

In that vein, there’s also a proposal from the Alberta riding of Edmonton Strathcona that would make it party policy to demand “women-only spaces,” to ensure that women have “safety, dignity and privacy” in places like prisons, shelters, locker rooms and washrooms.

They also want “women-only” categories in sports and for scholarships — a proposal that’s designed to exclude transgender women. Under the policy, a woman would be defined as a “female person” in the Conservative constitution.

Proposal aims to promote ‘bodily autonomy’

This push follows the lead of some U.S. states that have enacted similar policies after transgender swimmer Lia Thomas won a women’s NCAA national championship. That victory ignited a political debate about the acceptability of trans athletes in elite sport.

Delegates from Edmonton Strathcona also want to do away with “forced political, cultural or ideological training of any kind” that is a “precondition of employment or practice,” an apparent reference to diversity training in some workplaces.

While some delegates are eager to restrict the rights of trans people, others say they want to promote “bodily autonomy.”

Delegates from the Quebec riding of Repentigny say people should have more say on what goes into their bodies — a policy born of opposition to Ottawa’s past policy of requiring certain public servants to get a COVID-19 shot or face the prospect of losing their jobs.

“Health professionals must disclose an uncensored risk benefit analysis for any treatment (including vaccines) while protecting patient privacy. No constitutional right shall be restricted for refusing medical treatments,” the policy proposal reads.

As for medical assistance in dying (MAID), a proposal from delegates from the Ontario riding of Thunder Bay—Superior North, which describes the practice as “euthanasia,” aims to roll back what’s currently on offer.

They want the practice stopped for people who are not terminally ill. And they want a ban on the service for people who have mental health issues.

J.P. Lewis is a professor of political science at the University of New Brunswick Saint John and the author of The Blueprint: Conservative parties and their impact on Canadian politics.

Lewis said the convention is a delicate balancing act for the leader. Poilievre can’t be seen as marginalizing the grassroots by denying talk on hot topics.

He also can’t get caught up in fractious debates that don’t play well in a general election.

“These conventions are a real test for a leader. But Poilievre has more room to fail. He’s had a consistent lead over Trudeau in the polls,” he said. “He’s got such momentum because there’s a tremendous amount of voter fatigue out there.

“Fatigue — that’s a powerful force in Canadian politics.”

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