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Economy

Poll: Voters Give Biden High Marks On Economy And Covid — But Not Immigration – Forbes

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Topline

Over 60% of U.S. adults support President Joe Biden’s handling of the economy and the coronavirus, according to a CBS News/YouGov poll released Sunday that indicates a growing optimism about the direction of the country — but the president’s immigration strategy remains far more polarizing.

Key Facts

Some 62% of Americans told YouGov they generally approve of Biden’s job as president (Biden’s approval rating has hovered around 52% in other recent polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight, so YouGov’s result is somewhat unusual).

In particular, 67% of American adults said Biden is doing a good job handling the coronavirus outbreak, 69% had a favorable opinion of Biden’s Covid-19 vaccine distribution efforts, and 60% approve of the president’s handling of the economy.

Responses varied widely by party: Biden’s approval sits at just 22% among Republicans, and 35% think Biden is handling the virus well and 21% are happy with his economic handling, whereas more than nine in 10 Democrats support Biden on all three counts.

Biden’s immigration moves have drawn more mixed reactions, with just 52% of Americans (including 81% of Democrats and 16% of Republicans) favoring the way he’s dealt with immigration so far.

YouGov surveyed almost 2,400 U.S. adults between Wednesday and Saturday.

Surprising Fact

Most Americans told YouGov the country is moving in the right direction on both Covid-19 and the economy. A majority of Americans — 63% — said they expect the virus outbreak to get better over the next few months, largely because the country is vaccinating people at a rapid clip, whereas just 10% of people think the outbreak will get worse in the near future. Similarly, nearly six in 10 Americans are optimistic about the direction of the economy.

Key Background

Biden’s first weeks in office have been dominated by a still-severe Covid-19 outbreak, a lingering economic crisis and a surge in border-crossings. The president has promised to speed up vaccine distribution by opening more clinics and buying more doses, and new Covid-19 infections have fallen since the end of former President Donald Trump’s term, two trends that could bolster Biden’s approval on the coronavirus front. Plus, Biden signed a broadly popular economic relief package Thursday, his most significant move on the economy. However, immigration has posed a test to his administration. The number of migrants apprehended on the U.S.-Mexico border jumped almost 30% in February, and officials are struggling to house a steeply increasing number of unaccompanied minors, problems Republicans have blamed on Biden’s attempts to dismantle Trump’s hardline immigration policies.

Tangent

Some 22% of Americans told YouGov they do not plan on getting a coronavirus vaccine, a three-point drop from another poll conducted two weeks earlier. This hesitancy is most striking among Republicans: 35% of the party doesn’t plan on getting vaccinated, largely because they think the vaccines (which studies have almost universally found to be safe) are untested, they’re worried about side -effects, or they generally distrust the government. 

Crucial Quote

“[Trump] has such incredible influence over people in the Republican Party,” Dr. Anthony Fauci said in a Fox News Sunday interview this week, urging Trump to promote vaccinations to his followers. “It would really be a game changer if he did.”

Further Reading

Americans see better days ahead in pandemic and economy (CBS)

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Economy

Canada’s unemployment rate holds steady at 6.5% in October, economy adds 15,000 jobs

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OTTAWA – Canada’s unemployment rate held steady at 6.5 per cent last month as hiring remained weak across the economy.

Statistics Canada’s labour force survey on Friday said employment rose by a modest 15,000 jobs in October.

Business, building and support services saw the largest gain in employment.

Meanwhile, finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing experienced the largest decline.

Many economists see weakness in the job market continuing in the short term, before the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts spark a rebound in economic growth next year.

Despite ongoing softness in the labour market, however, strong wage growth has raged on in Canada. Average hourly wages in October grew 4.9 per cent from a year ago, reaching $35.76.

Friday’s report also shed some light on the financial health of households.

According to the agency, 28.8 per cent of Canadians aged 15 or older were living in a household that had difficulty meeting financial needs – like food and housing – in the previous four weeks.

That was down from 33.1 per cent in October 2023 and 35.5 per cent in October 2022, but still above the 20.4 per cent figure recorded in October 2020.

People living in a rented home were more likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs, with nearly four in 10 reporting that was the case.

That compares with just under a quarter of those living in an owned home by a household member.

Immigrants were also more likely to report facing financial strain last month, with about four out of 10 immigrants who landed in the last year doing so.

That compares with about three in 10 more established immigrants and one in four of people born in Canada.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Health-care spending expected to outpace economy and reach $372 billion in 2024: CIHI

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The Canadian Institute for Health Information says health-care spending in Canada is projected to reach a new high in 2024.

The annual report released Thursday says total health spending is expected to hit $372 billion, or $9,054 per Canadian.

CIHI’s national analysis predicts expenditures will rise by 5.7 per cent in 2024, compared to 4.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.

This year’s health spending is estimated to represent 12.4 per cent of Canada’s gross domestic product. Excluding two years of the pandemic, it would be the highest ratio in the country’s history.

While it’s not unusual for health expenditures to outpace economic growth, the report says this could be the case for the next several years due to Canada’s growing population and its aging demographic.

Canada’s per capita spending on health care in 2022 was among the highest in the world, but still less than countries such as the United States and Sweden.

The report notes that the Canadian dental and pharmacare plans could push health-care spending even further as more people who previously couldn’t afford these services start using them.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

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Economy

Trump’s victory sparks concerns over ripple effect on Canadian economy

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As Canadians wake up to news that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the president-elect’s protectionist stance is casting a spotlight on what effect his second term will have on Canada-U.S. economic ties.

Some Canadian business leaders have expressed worry over Trump’s promise to introduce a universal 10 per cent tariff on all American imports.

A Canadian Chamber of Commerce report released last month suggested those tariffs would shrink the Canadian economy, resulting in around $30 billion per year in economic costs.

More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports go to the U.S.

Canada’s manufacturing sector faces the biggest risk should Trump push forward on imposing broad tariffs, said Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters president and CEO Dennis Darby. He said the sector is the “most trade-exposed” within Canada.

“It’s in the U.S.’s best interest, it’s in our best interest, but most importantly for consumers across North America, that we’re able to trade goods, materials, ingredients, as we have under the trade agreements,” Darby said in an interview.

“It’s a more complex or complicated outcome than it would have been with the Democrats, but we’ve had to deal with this before and we’re going to do our best to deal with it again.”

American economists have also warned Trump’s plan could cause inflation and possibly a recession, which could have ripple effects in Canada.

It’s consumers who will ultimately feel the burden of any inflationary effect caused by broad tariffs, said Darby.

“A tariff tends to raise costs, and it ultimately raises prices, so that’s something that we have to be prepared for,” he said.

“It could tilt production mandates. A tariff makes goods more expensive, but on the same token, it also will make inputs for the U.S. more expensive.”

A report last month by TD economist Marc Ercolao said research shows a full-scale implementation of Trump’s tariff plan could lead to a near-five per cent reduction in Canadian export volumes to the U.S. by early-2027, relative to current baseline forecasts.

Retaliation by Canada would also increase costs for domestic producers, and push import volumes lower in the process.

“Slowing import activity mitigates some of the negative net trade impact on total GDP enough to avoid a technical recession, but still produces a period of extended stagnation through 2025 and 2026,” Ercolao said.

Since the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement came into effect in 2020, trade between Canada and the U.S. has surged by 46 per cent, according to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.

With that deal is up for review in 2026, Canadian Chamber of Commerce president and CEO Candace Laing said the Canadian government “must collaborate effectively with the Trump administration to preserve and strengthen our bilateral economic partnership.”

“With an impressive $3.6 billion in daily trade, Canada and the United States are each other’s closest international partners. The secure and efficient flow of goods and people across our border … remains essential for the economies of both countries,” she said in a statement.

“By resisting tariffs and trade barriers that will only raise prices and hurt consumers in both countries, Canada and the United States can strengthen resilient cross-border supply chains that enhance our shared economic security.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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