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Economy

Poll: Voters Give Biden High Marks On Economy And Covid — But Not Immigration – Forbes

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Topline

Over 60% of U.S. adults support President Joe Biden’s handling of the economy and the coronavirus, according to a CBS News/YouGov poll released Sunday that indicates a growing optimism about the direction of the country — but the president’s immigration strategy remains far more polarizing.

Key Facts

Some 62% of Americans told YouGov they generally approve of Biden’s job as president (Biden’s approval rating has hovered around 52% in other recent polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight, so YouGov’s result is somewhat unusual).

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In particular, 67% of American adults said Biden is doing a good job handling the coronavirus outbreak, 69% had a favorable opinion of Biden’s Covid-19 vaccine distribution efforts, and 60% approve of the president’s handling of the economy.

Responses varied widely by party: Biden’s approval sits at just 22% among Republicans, and 35% think Biden is handling the virus well and 21% are happy with his economic handling, whereas more than nine in 10 Democrats support Biden on all three counts.

Biden’s immigration moves have drawn more mixed reactions, with just 52% of Americans (including 81% of Democrats and 16% of Republicans) favoring the way he’s dealt with immigration so far.

YouGov surveyed almost 2,400 U.S. adults between Wednesday and Saturday.

Surprising Fact

Most Americans told YouGov the country is moving in the right direction on both Covid-19 and the economy. A majority of Americans — 63% — said they expect the virus outbreak to get better over the next few months, largely because the country is vaccinating people at a rapid clip, whereas just 10% of people think the outbreak will get worse in the near future. Similarly, nearly six in 10 Americans are optimistic about the direction of the economy.

Key Background

Biden’s first weeks in office have been dominated by a still-severe Covid-19 outbreak, a lingering economic crisis and a surge in border-crossings. The president has promised to speed up vaccine distribution by opening more clinics and buying more doses, and new Covid-19 infections have fallen since the end of former President Donald Trump’s term, two trends that could bolster Biden’s approval on the coronavirus front. Plus, Biden signed a broadly popular economic relief package Thursday, his most significant move on the economy. However, immigration has posed a test to his administration. The number of migrants apprehended on the U.S.-Mexico border jumped almost 30% in February, and officials are struggling to house a steeply increasing number of unaccompanied minors, problems Republicans have blamed on Biden’s attempts to dismantle Trump’s hardline immigration policies.

Tangent

Some 22% of Americans told YouGov they do not plan on getting a coronavirus vaccine, a three-point drop from another poll conducted two weeks earlier. This hesitancy is most striking among Republicans: 35% of the party doesn’t plan on getting vaccinated, largely because they think the vaccines (which studies have almost universally found to be safe) are untested, they’re worried about side -effects, or they generally distrust the government. 

Crucial Quote

“[Trump] has such incredible influence over people in the Republican Party,” Dr. Anthony Fauci said in a Fox News Sunday interview this week, urging Trump to promote vaccinations to his followers. “It would really be a game changer if he did.”

Further Reading

Americans see better days ahead in pandemic and economy (CBS)

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Economy

China Wants Everyone to Trade In Their Old Cars, Fridges to Help Save Its Economy – Bloomberg

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China’s world-beating electric vehicle industry, at the heart of growing trade tensions with the US and Europe, is set to receive a big boost from the government’s latest effort to accelerate growth.

That’s one takeaway from what Beijing has revealed about its plan for incentives that will encourage Chinese businesses and households to adopt cleaner technologies. It’s widely expected to be one of this year’s main stimulus programs, though question-marks remain — including how much the government will spend.

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Economy

German Business Outlook Hits One-Year High as Economy Heals – BNN Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — German business sentiment improved to its highest level in a year — reinforcing recent signs that Europe’s largest economy is exiting two years of struggles.

An expectations gauge by the Ifo institute rose to 89.9. in April from a revised 87.7 the previous month. That exceeds the 88.9 median forecast in a Bloomberg survey. A measure of current conditions also advanced.

“Sentiment has improved at companies in Germany,” Ifo President Clemens Fuest said. “Companies were more satisfied with their current business. Their expectations also brightened. The economy is stabilizing, especially thanks to service providers.”

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A stronger global economy and the prospect of looser monetary policy in the euro zone are helping drag Germany out of the malaise that set in following Russia’s attack on Ukraine. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said last week that the country may have “turned the corner,” while Chancellor Olaf Scholz has also expressed optimism, citing record employment and retreating inflation.

There’s been a particular shift in the data in recent weeks, with the Bundesbank now estimating that output rose in the first quarter, having only a month ago foreseen a contraction that would have ushered in a first recession since the pandemic.

Even so, the start of the year “didn’t go great,” according to Fuest. 

“What we’re seeing at the moment confirms the forecasts, which are saying that growth will be weak in Germany, but at least it won’t be negative,” he told Bloomberg Television. “So this is the stabilization we expected. It’s not a complete recovery. But at least it’s a start.”

Monthly purchasing managers’ surveys for April brought more cheer this week as Germany returned to expansion for the first time since June 2023. Weak spots remain, however — notably in industry, which is still mired in a slump that’s being offset by a surge in services activity.

“We see an improving worldwide economy,” Fuest said. “But this doesn’t seem to reach German manufacturing, which is puzzling in a way.”

Germany, which was the only Group of Seven economy to shrink last year and has been weighing on the wider region, helped private-sector output in the 20-nation euro area strengthen this month, S&P Global said.

–With assistance from Joel Rinneby, Kristian Siedenburg and Francine Lacqua.

(Updates with more comments from Fuest starting in sixth paragraph.)

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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Parallel economy: How Russia is defying the West’s boycott

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When Moscow resident Zoya, 62, was planning a trip to Italy to visit her daughter last August, she saw the perfect opportunity to buy the Apple Watch she had long dreamed of owning.

Officially, Apple does not sell its products in Russia.

The California-based tech giant was one of the first companies to announce it would exit the country in response to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022.

But the week before her trip, Zoya made a surprise discovery while browsing Yandex.Market, one of several Russian answers to Amazon, where she regularly shops.

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Not only was the Apple Watch available for sale on the website, it was cheaper than in Italy.

Zoya bought the watch without a moment’s delay.

The serial code on the watch that was delivered to her home confirmed that it was manufactured by Apple in 2022 and intended for sale in the United States.

“In the store, they explained to me that these are genuine Apple products entering Russia through parallel imports,” Zoya, who asked to be only referred to by her first name, told Al Jazeera.

“I thought it was much easier to buy online than searching for a store in an unfamiliar country.”

Nearly 1,400 companies, including many of the most internationally recognisable brands, have since February 2022 announced that they would cease or dial back their operations in Russia in protest of Moscow’s military aggression against Ukraine.

But two years after the invasion, many of these companies’ products are still widely sold in Russia, in many cases in violation of Western-led sanctions, a months-long investigation by Al Jazeera has found.

Aided by the Russian government’s legalisation of parallel imports, Russian businesses have established a network of alternative supply chains to import restricted goods through third countries.

The companies that make the products have been either unwilling or unable to clamp down on these unofficial distribution networks.

 

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