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Potential China EV tariffs welcomed by GM Canada as BYD looks to enter market

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The potential of tariffs on Chinese electric vehicle imports is being welcomed by the Canadian head of General Motors as major producer BYD looks to enter the market.

“We’re encouraged by the government’s examination of these issues,” said Kristian Aquilina, president of GM Canada.

“Because on the basis of strong competition, a fair playing field, it encourages us to invest heavily, employ deeply.”

The federal government wrapped a 30-day consultation last week on whether to follow the lead of the U.S. and the European Union on imposing steep tariffs to counter the volume of production coming out of China.

Canada’s auto sector faces “unfair competition” from China’s state-directed policy of overcapacity and broad range of non-market policies and practices, the federal government said in announcing the consultations.

Without directly calling out Chinese producers, Aquilina noted similar concerns.

“An unfair playing field can be quite detrimental, and it’s only right that the government look at these issues and consider all of the facts,” he said.

He deferred to the Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers’ Association for more specific commentary on the tariffs. The group has pushed strongly for alignment with U.S. policy so that the more than $40 billion in Canadian EV industry investments announced over the past four years can have room to succeed.

“This transition is happening, but it does take time, and we have to make sure that adequate supports are in place to allow these investments, and these new facilities to come online,” said president Brian Kingston.

Aligning with the U.S. would also send the right signals ahead of North American trade talks scheduled for 2026, said Kingston.

“Now is the time. Let’s put these policies in place, show the American people we are going to stand shoulder to shoulder with them in this approach to China.”

Groups like Unifor, the Global Automakers of Canada and the Canadian Chamber of Commerce have also expressed support, while climate-focused associations like Clean Energy Canada have pushed back over concerns the move would cut off more affordable options for electric vehicles.

The potential tariffs could be substantial. In May, the U.S. boosted its tariffs to 100 per cent from 25 per cent, while the EU has set tariffs that could run upwards of 38 per cent.

For now, the only Chinese-made EVs imported into Canada are from U.S. tech giant Tesla, made at the company’s Shanghai factory, which are subject to a six-per-cent import tariff.

There is, however, the potential for China-based BYD, the world’s biggest electric vehicle producer by volume, to come to Canada.

A July 24 lobbyist registration showed the company had hired a consultant to advise on “matters related to the expected market entry of BYD into Canada,” and the application of tariffs on EVs.

BYD, which phased out gasoline-only models in 2022, sold over three million vehicles last year. The company debuted its Seagull EV last year at a starting price of the equivalent of about $14,600 for a 305-kilometre range version.

General Motors, meanwhile, discontinued its entry-level Chevy Bolt EV last year, only to clarify it planned to later relaunch the model.

Timing of a return, and potential pricing, of the Bolt is still not fixed, but the company is aiming to bring it back late next year, said Aquilina.

For now, the company is focused on rolling out its newly arrived Chevy Equinox EV, retailing for around $50,000, which he said puts GM with the most affordable EV in Canada that has around 500 kilometres of range.

While the price range is still out of reach for many, it also reflects rising prices generally for cars.

The average price for a new vehicle in Canada was about $68,000 for June, up from $55,000 two years ago, according to AutoTrader. Meanwhile, Canadian Black Book says the average price of an EV topped $73,000 last year.

The push higher in EV prices came as producers made bigger vehicles with bigger batteries that made for greater range (and potential profits), but GM says it sees customers’ appetites to give up some of that range.

“At the outset when range anxiety was at its highest, that became the thing that customers wanted more than anything else,” said Aquilina.

“What the Bolt has proven … is that customers are willing to make that trade-off between range and price because, of course, there is a relationship and that’s really given us encouragement to reintroduce the Bolt.”

The debate around pricing and tariffs come as EV sales are pulling back and producers rein in expectations and ambitions on the transition.

In late July, Umicore announced it had halted spending on a $2.76-billion battery materials plant in eastern Ontario, citing substantially scaled-back growth projections for the EV market.

And in April, Ford pushed back planned EV production at its plant in Oakville, Ont., by two years, only to annonuce in June it was switching production plans away from EVs to its Super Duty pickup trucks.

Meanwhile, zero-emission vehicles, which include pure battery and plug-in hybrids, made up 11.3 per cent of all auto registrations in the first quarter, down from 12 per cent in the quarter before, said Statistics Canada, while U.S. growth is slowing even more.

Despite a slight pullback, battery electric vehicle registrations were still up 57 per cent in the first four months of 2024 compared with last year, while plug-in hybrids were up more than 75 per cent, according to S&P Global Mobility.

What the gains and pullbacks show are that the transition won’t be a straight line, said Aquilina.

“What GM has learned is the need to be flexible, and adaptable, because change is something that will have its ups and downs.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 6, 2024.

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STD epidemic slows as new syphilis and gonorrhea cases fall in US

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NEW YORK (AP) — The U.S. syphilis epidemic slowed dramatically last year, gonorrhea cases fell and chlamydia cases remained below prepandemic levels, according to federal data released Tuesday.

The numbers represented some good news about sexually transmitted diseases, which experienced some alarming increases in past years due to declining condom use, inadequate sex education, and reduced testing and treatment when the COVID-19 pandemic hit.

Last year, cases of the most infectious stages of syphilis fell 10% from the year before — the first substantial decline in more than two decades. Gonorrhea cases dropped 7%, marking a second straight year of decline and bringing the number below what it was in 2019.

“I’m encouraged, and it’s been a long time since I felt that way” about the nation’s epidemic of sexually transmitted infections, said the CDC’s Dr. Jonathan Mermin. “Something is working.”

More than 2.4 million cases of syphilis, gonorrhea and chlamydia were diagnosed and reported last year — 1.6 million cases of chlamydia, 600,000 of gonorrhea, and more than 209,000 of syphilis.

Syphilis is a particular concern. For centuries, it was a common but feared infection that could deform the body and end in death. New cases plummeted in the U.S. starting in the 1940s when infection-fighting antibiotics became widely available, and they trended down for a half century after that. By 2002, however, cases began rising again, with men who have sex with other men being disproportionately affected.

The new report found cases of syphilis in their early, most infectious stages dropped 13% among gay and bisexual men. It was the first such drop since the agency began reporting data for that group in the mid-2000s.

However, there was a 12% increase in the rate of cases of unknown- or later-stage syphilis — a reflection of people infected years ago.

Cases of syphilis in newborns, passed on from infected mothers, also rose. There were nearly 4,000 cases, including 279 stillbirths and infant deaths.

“This means pregnant women are not being tested often enough,” said Dr. Jeffrey Klausner, a professor of medicine at the University of Southern California.

What caused some of the STD trends to improve? Several experts say one contributor is the growing use of an antibiotic as a “morning-after pill.” Studies have shown that taking doxycycline within 72 hours of unprotected sex cuts the risk of developing syphilis, gonorrhea and chlamydia.

In June, the CDC started recommending doxycycline as a morning-after pill, specifically for gay and bisexual men and transgender women who recently had an STD diagnosis. But health departments and organizations in some cities had been giving the pills to people for a couple years.

Some experts believe that the 2022 mpox outbreak — which mainly hit gay and bisexual men — may have had a lingering effect on sexual behavior in 2023, or at least on people’s willingness to get tested when strange sores appeared.

Another factor may have been an increase in the number of health workers testing people for infections, doing contact tracing and connecting people to treatment. Congress gave $1.2 billion to expand the workforce over five years, including $600 million to states, cities and territories that get STD prevention funding from CDC.

Last year had the “most activity with that funding throughout the U.S.,” said David Harvey, executive director of the National Coalition of STD Directors.

However, Congress ended the funds early as a part of last year’s debt ceiling deal, cutting off $400 million. Some people already have lost their jobs, said a spokeswoman for Harvey’s organization.

Still, Harvey said he had reasons for optimism, including the growing use of doxycycline and a push for at-home STD test kits.

Also, there are reasons to think the next presidential administration could get behind STD prevention. In 2019, then-President Donald Trump announced a campaign to “eliminate” the U.S. HIV epidemic by 2030. (Federal health officials later clarified that the actual goal was a huge reduction in new infections — fewer than 3,000 a year.)

There were nearly 32,000 new HIV infections in 2022, the CDC estimates. But a boost in public health funding for HIV could also also help bring down other sexually transmitted infections, experts said.

“When the government puts in resources, puts in money, we see declines in STDs,” Klausner said.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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World’s largest active volcano Mauna Loa showed telltale warning signs before erupting in 2022

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WASHINGTON (AP) — Scientists can’t know precisely when a volcano is about to erupt, but they can sometimes pick up telltale signs.

That happened two years ago with the world’s largest active volcano. About two months before Mauna Loa spewed rivers of glowing orange molten lava, geologists detected small earthquakes nearby and other signs, and they warned residents on Hawaii‘s Big Island.

Now a study of the volcano’s lava confirms their timeline for when the molten rock below was on the move.

“Volcanoes are tricky because we don’t get to watch directly what’s happening inside – we have to look for other signs,” said Erik Klemetti Gonzalez, a volcano expert at Denison University, who was not involved in the study.

Upswelling ground and increased earthquake activity near the volcano resulted from magma rising from lower levels of Earth’s crust to fill chambers beneath the volcano, said Kendra Lynn, a research geologist at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory and co-author of a new study in Nature Communications.

When pressure was high enough, the magma broke through brittle surface rock and became lava – and the eruption began in late November 2022. Later, researchers collected samples of volcanic rock for analysis.

The chemical makeup of certain crystals within the lava indicated that around 70 days before the eruption, large quantities of molten rock had moved from around 1.9 miles (3 kilometers) to 3 miles (5 kilometers) under the summit to a mile (2 kilometers) or less beneath, the study found. This matched the timeline the geologists had observed with other signs.

The last time Mauna Loa erupted was in 1984. Most of the U.S. volcanoes that scientists consider to be active are found in Hawaii, Alaska and the West Coast.

Worldwide, around 585 volcanoes are considered active.

Scientists can’t predict eruptions, but they can make a “forecast,” said Ben Andrews, who heads the global volcano program at the Smithsonian Institution and who was not involved in the study.

Andrews compared volcano forecasts to weather forecasts – informed “probabilities” that an event will occur. And better data about the past behavior of specific volcanos can help researchers finetune forecasts of future activity, experts say.

(asterisk)We can look for similar patterns in the future and expect that there’s a higher probability of conditions for an eruption happening,” said Klemetti Gonzalez.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Waymo’s robotaxis now open to anyone who wants a driverless ride in Los Angeles

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Waymo on Tuesday opened its robotaxi service to anyone who wants a ride around Los Angeles, marking another milestone in the evolution of self-driving car technology since the company began as a secret project at Google 15 years ago.

The expansion comes eight months after Waymo began offering rides in Los Angeles to a limited group of passengers chosen from a waiting list that had ballooned to more than 300,000 people. Now, anyone with the Waymo One smartphone app will be able to request a ride around an 80-square-mile (129-square-kilometer) territory spanning the second largest U.S. city.

After Waymo received approval from California regulators to charge for rides 15 months ago, the company initially chose to launch its operations in San Francisco before offering a limited service in Los Angeles.

Before deciding to compete against conventional ride-hailing pioneers Uber and Lyft in California, Waymo unleashed its robotaxis in Phoenix in 2020 and has been steadily extending the reach of its service in that Arizona city ever since.

Driverless rides are proving to be more than just a novelty. Waymo says it now transports more than 50,000 weekly passengers in its robotaxis, a volume of business numbers that helped the company recently raise $5.6 billion from its corporate parent Alphabet and a list of other investors that included venture capital firm Andreesen Horowitz and financial management firm T. Rowe Price.

“Our service has matured quickly and our riders are embracing the many benefits of fully autonomous driving,” Waymo co-CEO Tekedra Mawakana said in a blog post.

Despite its inroads, Waymo is still believed to be losing money. Although Alphabet doesn’t disclose Waymo’s financial results, the robotaxi is a major part of an “Other Bets” division that had suffered an operating loss of $3.3 billion through the first nine months of this year, down from a setback of $4.2 billion at the same time last year.

But Waymo has come a long way since Google began working on self-driving cars in 2009 as part of project “Chauffeur.” Since its 2016 spinoff from Google, Waymo has established itself as the clear leader in a robotaxi industry that’s getting more congested.

Electric auto pioneer Tesla is aiming to launch a rival “Cybercab” service by 2026, although its CEO Elon Musk said he hopes the company can get the required regulatory clearances to operate in Texas and California by next year.

Tesla’s projected timeline for competing against Waymo has been met with skepticism because Musk has made unfulfilled promises about the company’s self-driving car technology for nearly a decade.

Meanwhile, Waymo’s robotaxis have driven more than 20 million fully autonomous miles and provided more than 2 million rides to passengers without encountering a serious accident that resulted in its operations being sidelined.

That safety record is a stark contrast to one of its early rivals, Cruise, a robotaxi service owned by General Motors. Cruise’s California license was suspended last year after one of its driverless cars in San Francisco dragged a jaywalking pedestrian who had been struck by a different car driven by a human.

Cruise is now trying to rebound by joining forces with Uber to make some of its services available next year in U.S. cities that still haven’t been announced. But Waymo also has forged a similar alliance with Uber to dispatch its robotaxi in Atlanta and Austin, Texas next year.

Another robotaxi service, Amazon’s Zoox, is hoping to begin offering driverless rides to the general public in Las Vegas at some point next year before also launching in San Francisco.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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