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Prices hold steady as recreational real estate sales collapse

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B.C. recreational property sales continue to come off their pandemic-era highs, but rising interest rates are just one of several factors at play as the market seeks balance.

“There was a real frenzy in the pandemic years. It created a lot of froth in the market,” said Christopher Alexander, president of Re/Max Canada. “It’s really getting back to normal.”

The good news is that prices are holding steady even as sales continued to slide this year, underscoring the limited impact of rising interest rates.

“Sales are down pretty aggressively, but prices have stayed in pretty decent shape,” he said.

Within Western Canada, ski hill visitation is stabilizing as international tourists return but real estate sales at B.C. resorts such as Whistler, Big White in the Okanagan and Mount Washington in Vancouver Island have fallen.

Whistler, for example, saw 941 transactions in 2021. That fell to 554 sales in 2022 while sales in the first nine months of this year totalled 360. Prices over the period have held within a fairly close range, averaging between $1.5 million and $1.8 million, with the exception of the latest quarter that saw prices pop to an average of nearly $2.2 million.

“Big White? Lowest sales numbers in three years,” Alexander said.

In the Comox Valley, which includes Mount Washington, sales in the first nine months of the year stood at 13 this year, down from 51 in 2021.

“It’s basically been halved every year since ’21,” he said.

The declines are understandable versus record-breaking sales volumes in 2021, which were hard to match as pent-up during the pandemic burst forth in the closing months of 2020 through mid-year 2021.

Rising interest rates through last year compounded the slowdown, although many agents say the buyers most likely to buy in Whistler and other resort municipalities seldom need financing. Recreational property is often a dream purchase, meaning many buyers bring a level of equity and long-term attitude that makes interest rates less of a concern.

“Canadians really aspire to own recreational real estate and they want to own it and keep it in the family and pass it on to future generations,” Alexander said.

This being said, recreational property is vulnerable to market cycles as much as any other class, and a two-year federal ban on foreign buyers of residential properties that took effect in January 2023 have compounded the challenges.

“We have foreign buyers waiting and ready to go but they can’t purchase anything, and there’s no way to get around it,” said Michael Kinghorn, an agent with Re/Max Priscilla in Vernon, which handles sales at Silver Star Mountain Resort.

Australia and U.S. buyers were a significant proportion of buyers at the resort but Silver Star lies within the census boundaries of Vernon, making it one of four resort communities where foreign buyers are banned.

Kinghorn doesn’t expect any change until January 2025, when the measure will either end or be renewed.

He expects the Silver Star to be exempt from the province’s new short-term rental regulations because of the community’s seasonal nature, a factor he feels the federal policy should have considered.

“Banning foreign buyers from buying a secondary ski hill residence isn’t going to solve the rental issues that are plaguing the province,” he said. “Resort properties are not long-term rental facilities.”

In the meantime, local buyers with sufficient equity have stepped up.

“We still have a strong market from Vancouver and Ontario, and Alberta as well,” he said. “The markets are a little bit cooler, but we’re still moving and transacting a number of homes.”

Kinghorn says the pace is on par with 2018 and 2019, as the buyers who snapped up building lots in 2021 take occupancy and demand normalizes.

“Silver Star opened up an entire subdivision of new properties up in the Cathedral neighbourhood,” he said. “That was a heady time. … [Now] we’re not seeing the volume because we don’t have the inventory.”

A similar story is playing out across the West, establishing a new baseline for activity in markets across the region as 2024 and the prospect of lower interest rates midyear approaches.

“I think it’s too early to tell which ones are really thriving or not,” Alexander said.

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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