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RBC profit rises on wealth, loan growth; flags mortgage slowdown

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Royal Bank of Canada kicked off Canadian lenders’ first-quarter results with a stronger-than-expected 6% rise in adjusted earnings, driven by wealth management and loan growth.

RBC executives expect mortgage growth to slow to the high single digits by year-end, and to low- to mid-single digits by the end of 2023, as the central bank prepares to raise interest rates as early as next week. Mortgages grew about 11% in the first quarter and outpaced business loans and credit card balances.

However, Royal Bank is set to benefit from rate hikes, with a 25-basis-point rise in short-term rates resulting in over C$175 million ($136 million) of additional revenue over 12 months, the executives said.

Analysts and investors had been bracing for a somewhat more muted first quarter for Canada’s major banks, following several periods of better-than-expected results, particularly due to expectations of higher expenses and declines in capital markets revenues.

Canada’s biggest lender by market capitalization reported adjusted earnings of C$2.87 per share, up from C$2.69 a year earlier, versus analysts’ estimates of C$2.73 a share.

The earnings beat was also driven by capital markets profits, which beat expectations even though the unit’s earnings fell from a year ago as lower fixed-income trading revenues offset record corporate and investment banking performance.

“The results were quite clean and set the bank up for a solid run for the remainder of the year as anticipated rate increases should fuel further revenue growth, offsetting any potential easing in volumes,” Barclays Analyst John Aiken wrote in a note.

RBC shares fell 2% to C$137.60 in early trading in Toronto, compared with a 1.5% decline in the Toronto stock benchmark. Markets globally were roiled by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Royal Bank’s non-interest expenses saw little change from both a year and a quarter ago, but costs excluding variable compensation are set to increase at the higher end of the bank’s forecast low-single-digit range, executives said on an analyst call.

Earnings from Royal Bank’s personal and commercial banking unit climbed 10% from a year earlier and wealth management profit jumped 24%, driven by higher loan volumes in Canada and increased assets and the release of provisions at the latter’s U.S. unit.

The positive numbers offset an 11-basis-point year-on-year decline in net interest margins and a 3% drop in profit from its capital markets unit, which posted record earnings a year earlier.

($1 = 1.2838 Canadian dollars)

(Reporting by Nichola Saminather in Toronto and Manya Saini in BengaluruEditing by Krishna Chandra Eluri, David Goodman, Susan Fenton and Jonathan Oatis)

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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