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Rising investor sentiment looks for gold to retest $2000 next week; gold bears have fled Wall Street – Kitco NEWS

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(Kitco News) – After two weeks of consolidation below $2,000 an ounce, expectations have picked up that gold prices could reclaim that critical psychological level next week, according to the latest results of the Kitco News Weekly Gold Survey.

With the gold market heading into the weekend with solid gains, Wall Street bears have fled the market and gone into hibernation… for now.

Technically, the gold s weekly chart looks bearish but I wouldn t be selling any gold at this point,” said Darin Newsom, president of Darin Newsom Analysis. Gold and silver are the only hedges investors want with all the uncertainty around the world. And you can t argue with that sentiment.”

This week, 15 Wall Street professionals took part in this week’s poll. Among the participants, 12, or 80%, called for gold prices to rise; three analysts, or 20%, were neutral on the market and there were no bearish votes cast.

Although Wall Street analysts are unabashedly bullish on gold in the near-term, sentiment among retail investors has only ticked up slightly higher from last week’s eight-month low.

A total of 2,375 votes were cast in an online Main Street poll. Of these, 1356 respondents, or 57%, looked for gold to rise in the next week. Another 559, or 24%, said lower, while 460 voters, or 19%, were neutral.

Many analysts have renewed their bullish calls for gold as inflation fears have picked up. Thursday, in a much anticipated speech during the annual Jackson Hole central bank summit, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that the central bank will target average 2% inflation and put emphasis on ‘broad and inclusive’ employment.

“The Federal Reserve’s new extreme-dovish stance outlined by Fed Chair Powell at Jackson Hole, makes gold even more indispensable,” said Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management.

Day added that he is also bullish on gold as there appears to have been a lot of pent-up demand for the precious metal during this consolidation phase.

“Gold has had plenty of opportunities to correct these last several weeks, but it seems to be resisting a meaningful sustained pullback,” he said.

Afshin Nabavi, head of trading with MKS (Switzerland) SA, said that he is bullish on gold as the price managed to hold critical near-term support above $1,900 an ounce. He added that with the U.S. dollar unable to break above an important resistance point, it looks like gold could head higher and push to $2,000 an ounce.

“You just have to look around at what is happening in the world,” he said. “Everything points to higher gold prices.”

Charlie Nedoss, senior market strategist with LaSalle Futures Group, said that he is also bullish on gold in the near-term as the Federal Reserve choses to support the labor market over inflation.

“For the Fed, low interest rates are not the issue, the unemployment rate is and that means they will do what they can to support the labor market and that will be good for gold,” he said.

Although Nedoss sees potential for gold to retest resistance at $2,000 next week, he added that the market action won’t get exciting until it pushes above $2,010.

Although there are currently no bears in the marketplace, some analysts are not convinced that the gold market has ended its consolidation period.

Adam Button, chief currency strategist at Forexlive.com, said that he is neutral on gold in the near-term as investors continue to digest the Federal Reserve’s new monetary policy stance.

Following Powell’s comments the yield on the U.S. 10-year note pushed to a two-month high and has stayed near that level heading into the weekend.

“While easier policy is a boost for gold, the bond market could be a headwind,” Button said.

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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