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Royal Bank of Canada Stock Here’s Why I’d Avoid its Stock Despite its Q3 Earnings Beat

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Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY) released its third quarter of fiscal 2020 results on August 26 before the market opening bell. The largest Canadian bank reported a 1.3% year-over-year (YoY) decline in its Q3 earnings to $2.23 per share. However, it was significantly better as compared to Bay Street analysts’ estimate of $1.77 per share.

RBC’s third-quarter earnings were primarily driven by solid YoY growth in its capital markets, insurance, and wealth management segments.

The earnings event seemingly boosted investors’ confidence, as its stock rose by 1.3% on Wednesday morning. At the same time, the S&P/TSX Composite Index was up 0.5% for the day.

RBC’s Q3 revenue rose amid the pandemic

In the quarter ended July 31, 2020, Royal Bank of Canada reported $12.9 billion in revenue — up 11.9% YoY. It was also better than analysts’ expectation of $11.5 billion.

While lower interest rates caused a decline in client activity, the bank’s net interest income rose by 2% in Q3 2020 as compared to the same quarter of the previous fiscal year. Also, its trading revenue from capital markets segment registered solid gains.

Its Canadian banking arm, as well as City National Bank — a subsidiary of Royal Bank of Canada — saw positive volume growth during the last quarter.

COVID-19 headwinds in the banking sector

The COVID-19 crisis has increased the challenges for the Canadian banking sector. In the third quarter, Royal Bank of Canada’s insurance segment was hit, as the pandemic led to a rise in insurance claims. Nonetheless, lower claims costs and a strong 51% YoY rise in its insurance segment revenue helped the Toronto-based bank negate these COVID-19-related headwinds.

In the last quarter, COVID-19-related measures also increased RBC’s overall expenses. Its management considers the extent and duration of the pandemic’s impact on the economy to be uncertain.

Uncertainties about the economic recovery

In its Q3 earnings report, Royal Bank of Canada confirmed a rise in economic activity across North America due to easing COVID-19 restrictions. But the bank predicts labour market weakness to continue in the near term and considers the trajectory of the economic recovery to remain uncertain.

Despite the recent rise in economic activities, Royal Bank of Canada expects the U.S. and Canada GDP to remain well below 2019 levels in the second half of 2020. Weak business and consumer confidence, along with higher unemployment rates, are likely to hurt the GDP.

How low interest rates are also hurting RBC

Unlike in capital markets and insurance segments, Royal Bank of Canada’s revenue from its investor & treasury services fell by 14% YoY and 32% sequentially to $484 million. It was primarily due to lower funding and liquidity revenue as a result of lower interest rates and a rise in enterprise liquidity.

Is Royal Bank of Canada stock a buy after Q3 results?

Royal Bank of Canada’s third-quarter results showcased strength due to a sharp rise in capital markets revenues and trading activity. I expect these factors and its strong Q3 results to accelerate the recovery in its stock in the coming weeks.

In contrast, low interest rates, higher insurance claims, and low business confidence could continue to hurt banking sector investors’ sentiments. That’s the reason why I wouldn’t recommend conservative investors to buy its stock, as these factors — along with a weak economic outlook — could keep RBC’s stock highly volatile in the short term.

But if you’re looking to invest your money in stocks for long-term wealth creation, then you can consider buying its stock on any dip towards the support level between $95 to $98 per share.

 

Source: – The Motley Fool Canada

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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