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Short sales on the TSX: What bearish investors are betting against

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Except for a few rallies along the way, short sellers on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) have been in full retreat in recent months – as highlighted by the short position in the iShares S&P/TSX 60 exchange-traded fund (ETF).

On Nov. 30, it stood at 70 million units, down considerably from 120 million units in July.

Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC)

Bearish bets at the sector level

The three most shorted sectors as of Nov. 30 were preferred shares, energy companies and banks, as represented, respectively, by the BMO Laddered Preferred Shares, iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy and BMO Equal Weight Banks ETFs.

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Some sectors have managed to show increases in short interest since Aug. 31. The biggest were: BMO MSCI Emerging Markets (1,893.1 per cent), iShares S&P/TSX Capped Financials (113.0 per cent) and iShares Canadian Corporate Bond (85.4 per cent).

The 10 most short sectors on the TSX (as of Nov. 30).

ETF # of units short as of Nov. 30 # of units short as of Aug. 31 % change from Aug. 31 % of units short as of Nov. 30
BMO Laddered Preferred Shares ZPR-T 11,705,917.00 12,810,920 -8.6% 5.5%
iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy XEG-T 9,120,630.00 9,173,571 -0.6% 8.0%
BMO Equal Weight Banks ZEB-T 4,558,415.00 4,875,785 -6.5% 9.5%
iShares S&P/TSX Capped REIT XRE-T 4,523,625.00 3,213,590 40.8% 6.5%
Horizons Marijuana Life Sciences HMMJ-T 1,249,040.00 1,425,587 -12.4% 2.3%
iShares S&P/TSX Global Gold XGD-T 890,653.00 833,063 6.9% 1.4%
iShares Canadian Corporate Bond XCB-T 846,084.00 456,429 85.4% 1.1%
iShares Core MSCI EAFE XEF-T 796,969.00 976,579 -18.4% 0.6%
BMO MSCI Emerging Markets ZEM-T 768,769.00 38,572 1893.1% 0.8%
iShares S&P/TSX Capped Financials XFN-T 548,867.00 257,671 113.0% 2.0%

Source: IIROC

Consultation paper on activist short sellers

Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA), which represents provincial securities regulators, released a consultation paper on activist short sellers on Dec. 3. The consultation paper reports that activist short sellers have launched 113 campaigns against 73 Canadian companies since 2010.

Campaigns by activist short sellers against Canadian companies past 10 years

CSA Consultation Paper 25-403: Activist Short Selling

As for the charge that activist short sellers “distort and short”, the CSA paper states that a U.S. study “found that separate investigations by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Department of Justice reached similar conclusions as activist short sellers in 90% of the [U.S.] campaigns.” Sources are cited on other issues, including my Globe and Mail article, “Regulations to rein in short-sellers must not undercut activists’ positive effects”

Non-reporting of foreign short sales

A report by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada publishes the number of shares short for public Canadian companies twice a month. However, it does not include short sales of Canadian stocks trading in other countries. This omission substantially understates short selling activity and bearish sentiment, according to databases developed by S3 Partners.

They show that close to 900 Canadian firms have foreign short sales, mostly in the U.S. Not only are inter-listed companies shorted in other countries but so are Canadian companies listed exclusively in foreign jurisdictions. Furthermore, many companies listed solely in Canada are shorted in foreign over-the-counter markets. The S3 Research data also reveal that well over a third of large-cap Canadian companies have more than 50 per cent of their short sales outside of Canada; the value is US$12.5-billion for the top 30 companies.

Top 30 companies with foreign short interest exceeding 50% of total

Company U.S. ticker Short interest outside Canada (in U.S. millions) Foreign short sales as % of total Location of foreign exchange
Shopify Inc. SHOP-N $1,637.20 89.7% U.S.
Barrick Gold Corp. GOLD-N $1,169.40 86.2% U.S. & U.K.
Canopy Growth Corp. CGC-N $1,031.60 77.2% U.S.
Brookfield Asset Mgt. BAM-N $842.00 73.6% U.S.
Lululemon Athletica LULU-Q $769.90 100.0% U.S.
Restaurant Brands Intl. QSR-N $614.90 81.5% U.S.
Canadian Tire Corp. CDNAF $466.10 69.2% U.S.
Aurora Cannabis Inc. ACB-N $480.10 87.2% U.S.
First Majestic Silver Corp. AG-N $487.20 92.2% U.S.
Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd. KL-N $339.40 91.2% U.S. & U.K.
Nutrien Ltd. NTR-N $253.20 56.7% U.S.
Franco-Nevada Corp. FNV-N $286.70 67.1% U.S.
Cronos Group CRON-Q $351.10 86.6% U.S.
Ballard Power Systems BLDP-Q $364.80 93.0% U.S.
Imperial Oil Ltd. IMO-N $243.10 70.0% U.S.
Ovintiv Inc. OVV-N $322.10 94.9% U.S.
Canada Goose Holdings. GOOS-N $299.90 90.5% U.S.
Lundin Mining Corp. LUNMF $197.50 79.5% U.S. & Sweden
Open Text Corp. OTEX-Q $238.60 78.0% U.S.
Lightspeed Inc. LSPD-N $180.50 59.0% U.S.
Aphria Inc. APHA-Q $241.00 81.3% U.S.
Blackberry Ltd. BB-N $203.80 72.9% U.S.
Teck Resources Ltd. B TECK-N $181.30 66.1% U.S.
Tilray Inc. TLRY-Q $256.30 100.0% U.S.
GFL Environmental Inc. GFL-N $179.00 82.6% U.S.
Canadian Solar Inc CSIQ-Q $208.00 100.0% U.S.
Gildan Activewear. GIL-N $135.30 68.5% U.S.
Cameco Corp. CCJ-N $148.30 78.9% U.S.
First Quantum Minerals FM-N $107.50 57.3% U.S.
SNC-Lavalin Group SNCAF $135.90 78.4% U.S.
Total $12,371.40

Source: S3 Partners

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Stop Asking Your Interviewer Cliché Questions

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Most job search advice is cookie-cutter. The advice you’re following is almost certainly the same advice other job seekers follow, making you just another candidate following the same script.

In today’s hyper-competitive job market, standing out is critical, a challenge most job seekers struggle with. Instead of relying on generic questions recommended by self-proclaimed career coaches, which often lead to a forgettable interview, ask unique, thought-provoking questions that’ll spark engaging conversations and leave a lasting impression.

English philosopher Francis Bacon once said, “A prudent question is one half of wisdom.”

The questions you ask convey the following:

  • Your level of interest in the company and the role.
  • Contributing to your employer’s success is essential.
  • You desire a cultural fit.

Here are the top four questions experts recommend candidates ask; hence, they’ve become cliché questions you should avoid asking:

  • “What are the key responsibilities of this position?”

Most likely, the job description answers this question. Therefore, asking this question indicates you didn’t read the job description. If you require clarification, ask, “How many outbound calls will I be required to make daily?” “What will be my monthly revenue target?”

  • “What does a typical day look like?”

Although it’s important to understand day-to-day expectations, this question tends to elicit vague responses and rarely leads to a deeper conversation. Don’t focus on what your day will look like; instead, focus on being clear on the results you need to deliver. Nobody I know has ever been fired for not following a “typical day.” However, I know several people who were fired for failing to meet expectations. Before accepting a job offer, ensure you’re capable of meeting the employer’s expectations.

  • “How would you describe the company culture?”

Asking this question screams, “I read somewhere to ask this question.” There are much better ways to research a company’s culture, such as speaking to current and former employees, reading online reviews and news articles. Furthermore, since your interviewer works for the company, they’re presumably comfortable with the culture. Do you expect your interviewer to give you the brutal truth? “Be careful of Craig; get on his bad side, and he’ll make your life miserable.” “Bob is close to retirement. I give him lots of slack, which the rest of the team needs to pick up.”

Truism: No matter how much due diligence you do, only when you start working for the employer will you experience and, therefore, know their culture firsthand.

  • “What opportunities are there for professional development?”

When asked this question, I immediately think the candidate cares more about gaining than contributing, a showstopper. Managing your career is your responsibility, not your employer’s.

Cliché questions don’t impress hiring managers, nor will they differentiate you from your competition. To transform your interaction with your interviewer from a Q&A session into a dynamic discussion, ask unique, insightful questions.

Here are my four go-to questions—I have many moreto accomplish this:

  • “Describe your management style. How will you manage me?”

This question gives your interviewer the opportunity to talk about themselves, which we all love doing. As well, being in sync with my boss is extremely important to me. The management style of who’ll be my boss is a determining factor in whether or not I’ll accept the job.

  • “What is the one thing I should never do that’ll piss you off and possibly damage our working relationship beyond repair?”

This question also allows me to determine whether I and my to-be boss would be in sync. Sometimes I ask, “What are your pet peeves?”

  • “When I join the team, what would be the most important contribution you’d want to see from me in the first six months?”

Setting myself up for failure is the last thing I want. As I mentioned, focus on the results you need to produce and timelines. How realistic are the expectations? It’s never about the question; it’s about what you want to know. It’s important to know whether you’ll be able to meet or even exceed your new boss’s expectations.

  • “If I wanted to sell you on an idea or suggestion, what do you need to know?”

Years ago, a candidate asked me this question. I was impressed he wasn’t looking just to put in time; he was looking for how he could be a contributing employee. Every time I ask this question, it leads to an in-depth discussion.

Other questions I’ve asked:

 

  • “What keeps you up at night?”
  • “If you were to leave this company, who would follow?”
  • “How do you handle an employee making a mistake?”
  • “If you were to give a Ted Talk, what topic would you talk about?”
  • “What are three highly valued skills at [company] that I should master to advance?”
  • “What are the informal expectations of the role?”
  • “What is one misconception people have about you [or the company]?”

 

Your questions reveal a great deal about your motivations, drive to make a meaningful impact on the business, and a chance to morph the questioning into a conversation. Cliché questions don’t lead to meaningful discussions, whereas unique, thought-provoking questions do and, in turn, make you memorable.

_____________________________________________________________________

 

Nick Kossovan, a well-seasoned veteran of the corporate landscape, offers “unsweetened” job search advice. You can send Nick your questions to artoffindingwork@gmail.com.

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Canadian Natural Resources reports $2.27-billion third-quarter profit

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CALGARY – Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. reported a third-quarter profit of $2.27 billion, down from $2.34 billion in the same quarter last year.

The company says the profit amounted to $1.06 per diluted share for the quarter that ended Sept. 30 compared with $1.06 per diluted share a year earlier.

Product sales totalled $10.40 billion, down from $11.76 billion in the same quarter last year.

Daily production for the quarter averaged 1,363,086 barrels of oil equivalent per day, down from 1,393,614 a year ago.

On an adjusted basis, Canadian Natural says it earned 97 cents per diluted share for the quarter, down from an adjusted profit of $1.30 per diluted share in the same quarter last year.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 90 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 31, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:CNQ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Cenovus Energy reports $820M Q3 profit, down from $1.86B a year ago

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CALGARY – Cenovus Energy Inc. reported its third-quarter profit fell compared with a year as its revenue edged lower.

The company says it earned $820 million or 42 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30, down from $1.86 billion or 97 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue for the quarter totalled $14.25 billion, down from $14.58 billion in the same quarter last year.

Total upstream production in the quarter amounted to 771,300 barrels of oil equivalent per day, down from 797,000 a year earlier.

Total downstream throughput was 642,900 barrels per day compared with 664,300 in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Cenovus says its funds flow amounted to $1.05 per diluted share in its latest quarter, down from adjusted funds flow of $1.81 per diluted share a year earlier.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 31, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:CVE)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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