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SoftBank Moves Into Chinese Real Estate – The Wall Street Journal

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A Beijing residential compound last month. Chinese property prices have soared in recent years, especially in the biggest cities.



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Kevin Frayer/Getty Images

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SoftBank Group Corp.

has made two large bets on the Chinese property market, according to people familiar with the investments, exposing it to a volatile sector during a dramatic economic slowdown.

The deals, which closed in November, could pose challenges, given the deepening hit to the Chinese economy from the coronavirus outbreak. A series of high-profile missteps by SoftBank’s $100 billion Vision Fund—including an investment in the parent company of WeWork that produced a multibillion-dollar loss—has hamstrung efforts to raise funds for a second enormous investment vehicle.

Still, the twin billion-dollar investments, one in apartment-rental firm Ziroom and the other in online real-estate portal Beike, give the Japanese conglomerate a foothold in a market where prices have soared in recent years.

Beijing-based Ziroom leases apartments from individual owners, renovates them and subleases them to renters. In a deal that values the company at $6.6 billion, the Vision Fund injected $500 million directly into Ziroom and bought an additional $500 million of shares from its founders, the people said. It was one of the fund’s last deals: Having spent around $80 billion in two years, it is keeping the rest of its capital in part for follow-on investments in its portfolio companies.

SoftBank’s $1 billion Beike investment was part of a broader fundraising, with an additional $500 million coming from investors including private-equity firm Hillhouse Capital Group, social-media giant

Tencent Holdings Ltd.

and venture-capital firm Sequoia Capital, according to people familiar with the deal, who said the round valued Beike at slightly more than $14 billion. The transaction was among the first by a new vehicle SoftBank hopes will become the second Vision Fund, said a person familiar with the deal.

Beike (Mandarin for “seashell”) is a real-estate brokerage with an online tool to match buyers and sellers, as sites like Zillow and Redfin do in the U.S. It also offers real-estate financing, home décor and property management.

China’s real-estate market has surged in recent years, especially in big cities, as rising middle-class incomes have spurred home buying. Residential-property sales rose 10% last year, to 13.94 trillion yuan ($1.99 trillion), according to China’s National Bureau of Statistics.

In recent years, China’s government has sought to encourage the rental market to meet demand from people flocking to richer cities for jobs. That has boosted the fortunes of companies like Ziroom that fix up and rent out properties.

Andy Boreham, a 38-year old journalist from New Zealand, has lived in a Ziroom apartment in Shanghai for two years. He says he likes the apartment and the service—recalling a staff member who checked on his puppy for him. It is more expensive than some alternatives, he says, but young, white-collar workers are willing to pay for convenience.

Still, with the economy stumbling and the country struggling to get back to work amid the epidemic, short-term leases such as Ziroom’s are easier to abandon.

Ziroom in 2016 was spun out of Lianjia, also known as HomeLink Real Estate Agency Co., a bricks-and-mortar real-estate brokerage owned by Beike. Its business model is similar to WeWork’s, but with apartments rather than office space: It leases long-term, fixes up and then subleases short-term.

SoftBank’s Vision Fund has invested $1 billion in Ziroom, which leases apartments from individual owners, renovates them and subleases them to renters.



Photo:

china stringer network/Reuters

In China, Ziroom competes with numerous startups that have similar business models. The share prices of two peers that recently went public in the U.S. have slumped.

WeWork was such a disastrous investment for SoftBank—which was forced to rescue the company last fall—primarily because of its lofty valuation: $47 billion before it tried to go public. It called itself a technology company—the world’s first “physical social network”—rather than a real-estate firm, and got a multiple to match.

Ziroom, similarly, describes itself as a “technology unicorn,” citing its mobile app for matching tenants and owners. But the Vision Fund got in at a much lower valuation than with WeWork.

Beike also touts its tech credentials, pointing to its app’s virtual-reality apartment viewing, a timesaver for apartment hunters that it says draws traffic. The company aims for an initial public offering in Hong Kong as soon as this year, according to people familiar with the plans, though they added that the coronavirus outbreak has slowed things down. The IPO is targeted to value the company at $20 billion to $30 billion, the people said.

Write to Julie Steinberg at julie.steinberg@wsj.com, Rolfe Winkler at rolfe.winkler@wsj.com and Jing Yang at Jing.Yang@wsj.com

Copyright ©2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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The real estate sector's unique view of 2024 — and what's to come – Yahoo Finance

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This is The Takeaway from today’s Morning Brief, which you can sign up to receive in your inbox every morning along with:

Despite a rough few days for the S&P 500, which is still comfortably in the green this year (up 6%), one sector of the stock market is feeling more pain than the rest.

The perception that rates might stay higher for longer is hammering the real estate sector, even as debate rages about how many times — if any — the Federal Reserve will cut rates this year.

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The group is far and away the worst performer in the S&P 500 for 2024, down more than 10%. The bulk of those declines have come in the past two weeks, as Treasury yields have climbed to their highest level since November and investors traverse the acceptance phase that the hoped-for cuts are not on their way.

Now investors are faced with the question of whether to buy the dip or, to quote another market cliché, risk trying to catch a falling knife.

One real estate investor said the rent indicators she’s seeing in real time are encouraging on the inflation front. That’s in contrast to the much-criticized rental barometers that the Fed relies on.

“If you take into account real-time shelter costs, it’s much lower than what’s in the prints,” Uma Moriarity, senior investment strategist at CenterSquare, told Yahoo Finance. “We think inflation is trending in the right direction.”

That’s why she’s still confident in three rate cuts this year — a view, of course, that the market has been moving away from. It’s also why she’s still confident in real estate. That, plus the fact that stocks are relatively cheap.

Read more: What the Fed rate decision means for loans and mortgages

The reasons that real estate stocks suffer when rates are on the rise are twofold. First off, the companies tend to carry a lot of debt, and as rates go higher, it becomes more difficult to service or refinance that debt. Secondly, with relatively high dividend yields, the stocks compete with instruments like money market funds for investing dollars.

It’s traditionally been tough for real estate stocks to rally in the face of rising rates. But if Moriarty — and Citigroup — are right, they might not be rising for as long as the broader market anticipates.

Julie Hyman is the co-anchor of Yahoo Finance Live, weekdays 9 a.m.-11 a.m. ET. Follow her on Twitter @juleshyman, and read her other stories.

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Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices.

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Celebrity real estate agent Mauricio Umansky explains when housing prices will come down – Fox Business

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Real Estate Stocks Fall As Mortgage Rates Rise To 4-Month Highs: 'Inflation Is Proving Tougher To Bring D – Benzinga

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Real estate stocks slid at Wednesday’s market open, weighed down by the latest disappointing data on housing starts and a spike in mortgage rates, darkening the outlook for the sector.

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By 9:00 a.m. EST, the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund XLRE had dropped by 0.3%. This marked its fourth consecutive day of losses and set a course for its lowest close since the end of November 2023.

The fund has also slipped below its 200-day moving average, a critical long-term benchmark, signaling that investor sentiment has turned negative.

The average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with loan balances up to $766,550 climbed by 12 basis points to 7.13% for the week ending Apr. 12, 2024, according to the latest figures from the Mortgage Bankers Association. This rate is the highest recorded since early December.

On Wednesday, the yield on a 30-year Treasury bond, a key benchmark for long-term mortgage rates, traded at 4.75%, at the highest since mid-November 2023, as Fed Chair Powell admitted that there has been a lack of progress in the disinflation trend.

Read also: Powell Delays Fed Rate Cuts, Says ‘We Need Greater Confidence In Inflation’: 2-Year Yields Spike To 5%

Chart: Real Estate Stocks Fall Below Key Long-Term Moving Average As Inflation Bites Again

Weaknesses In Multifamily Segment Continue

Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist, explained the rise in rates, stating, “Rates increased for the second consecutive week, driven by incoming data indicating that the economy remains strong and inflation is proving tougher to bring down.”

Despite the uptick in mortgage rates, there was a 3.3% week-over-week increase in the Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage loan application volume.

Kan further noted, “Application activity picked up, possibly as some borrowers decided to act in case rates continue to rise. Purchase applications were the primary driver of this increase, although they are still about 10% lower than last year’s levels. There was a slight uptick in refinance applications, mainly due to a 3% rise in conventional applications.”

Chart: US 30-Year Mortgage Rates Rose To The Highest Level Since Late November

The real estate market’s challenges are linked to affordability and a shrinking availability as the supply of new homes falls.

Andrew Foran, an economist at Toronto Dominion Securities, commented on the trend in home building, “Homebuilding activity moderated in March as weakness in the multifamily segment persisted and the single-family segment gave back most of its considerable gain from the prior month.”

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Data revealed a 14.7% month-over-month decline in housing starts in March, with the figures dropping to 1.32 million annualized units, significantly below the anticipated 1.49 million.

Both the single-family and multifamily sectors experienced declines, with single-family starts down by 12.4% (or 145,000 units) and multifamily starts plummeting by 21.7% (or 83,000 units). This retreat in multifamily starts marked the lowest level since April 2020.

Additionally, residential permits decreased more than expected in March, falling by 4.3% month-over-month to 1.46 million annualized units. This included a 5.7% drop in single-family permits—the first decline in fifteen months—and a 1.2% reduction in multifamily permits.

Rising & Falling

The weakest performers among real estate stocks with a market cap of at least $1 billion on Wednesday were:

Name 1-day %chg
Prologis, Inc. PLD -6.55%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. FR -3.33%
STAG Industrial, Inc. STAG -2.89%
EastGroup Properties, Inc. EGP -2.89%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. REXR -2.35%
Updated at 09:20 a.m. EDT

Those showing the highest gains were:

Name 1-day %chg
SL Green Realty Corp. SLG 3.18%
Opendoor Technologies Inc. OPEN 2.55%
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. MPW 2.49%
eXp World Holdings, Inc. EXPI 2.32%
Vornado Realty Trust VNO 2.25%
Updated at 09:20 a.m. EDT

Now Read: Best REITs to Buy in April

Image: Midjourney

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