The global investing landscape is poised to shift over the next decade, thanks to the largest U.S. generation: millennials.
As the longest-running bull market enters its 11th year, some portfolio managers are advising clients to stay invested in stocks because a series of trends, including an aging population, smart technology and automation, should further fuel returns in coming years.
Millennials, people born between 1981 and 1996, will be approaching age 50 in 2030, while the tail end of baby boomers will reach retirement age. By 2025, millennials are projected to comprise roughly 75% of the workforce.
Santa Claus rally: Investors poised to get a boost to their 401(k) at year-end
Worried about the stock market?: How to shield your 401(k) in 2020
Baby boomers and the so-called silent generation that preceded them control about 77% of wealth, according to Fundstrat Global Advisors’ analysis of the most recent Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances. But that is about to change. By 2030, millennials will hold five times as much wealth as they have today and are expected to inherit over $68 trillion from their predecessors, according to a study by Coldwell Banker Global Luxury.
That demographic shift, economists say, is expected to help boost U.S. economic growth and credit demand as more young adults buy big-ticket items like houses and cars. That will also reshape industries they’re closely aligned with, including technology, e-commerce and social media, they said.
“Economic expansions don’t die of old age,” says Larry Adam, chief investment officer for the private client group at Raymond James. “But I do think it’s going to get more challenging over the next decade.”
The 2020s won’t be all about Big Tech
High-growth technology companies including the popular FAANG stocks – Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google parent Alphabet – have propelled the decade long bull market. Investors, however, have now opted for beaten-down value stocks like energy and financial sectors that have underperformed the broader market in recent years.
Although tech shares aren’t expected to repeat their performance over the past decade, some experts continue to favor them over the long term because of the far-reaching impact they have on other industries.
“The technology sector continues to reinvent itself,” Adam says. “Every sector has some form of technology.”
Investors who are searching for other parts of the market to potentially deliver above-average growth in the coming years should look to stocks that have exposure to sustainable investing, digital transformation and genetic therapies, analysts at UBS said.
Emerging markets come back in favor
Emerging market assets, which have been pummeled in recent years by fears of slowing global growth, are expected to come back in favor as population growth rises and de-escalating trade tensions.
Demographics are expected to be a significant driver of growth across many economies. Investors are betting on growth potential in India, as the economy is on track to overtake China as the world’s most populous country by 2027, according to the United Nations.
Meanwhile, Vietnam, one of Asia’s fastest-growing economies, has been a haven for U.S. multinationals looking to shield themselves from the U.S.-China tariff spat.
“There’s huge growth potential in Asia,” says Rich Sega, global chief investment strategist at asset manager Conning. “The geopolitical stress in Hong Kong has opened up opportunities for other areas in the region for Vietnam, Thailand and Singapore.”
Don’t count out U.S. stocks
To be sure, economists are optimistic about domestic growth and don’t foresee a recession within the next year. Economists project a 35% chance that the U.S. economy will enter a downturn between now and the November presidential election, according to Bankrate’s Fourth-Quarter Economic Indicator survey. That’s down from 41% from the prior quarter.
Some analysts believe this economic expansion and record run still has legs.
“U.S. stocks will surprise investors,” says Thomas Lee, managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. “Too many people are betting on a bounce-back in emerging markets.”
Europe's top firms must double low-carbon investment – study – Financial Post
LONDON — Europe’s top companies need to more than double their current level of spending on low-carbon projects to meet the European Commission’s flagship goal of ‘climate neutrality’ by 2050, according to a report released on Tuesday.
The major study of 882 publicly-traded companies across multiple sectors by climate research provider CDP and consultancy Oliver Wyman showed they spent 124 billion euros ($134.1 billion) on capital investment and research and development in 2019.
That amounted to around 12% of total investment. To be on track to meet the goal of net-zero emissions by 2050 however, that figure needs to jump to 25%, said CDP Europe’s Managing Director Steven Tebbe.
The biggest areas for new investment were electric vehicle technologies, with spend of some 43 billion euros, renewable energy, at 16 billion euros, and energy grid infrastructure, at 15 billion euros, the report said.
“Some European companies are making bold new low-carbon investments to roll out renewables, build greener infrastructure, buy electric vehicles and make manufacturing more energy-efficient,” Tebbe said.
“But there is a huge opportunity to do more, and we need to see more action across the board.”
While doubling capex spend was “a big ask,” Tebbe said the costs of inaction were higher still. The companies assessed account for around three-quarters of the EU’s total emissions and the same amount of its stock market capitalisation.
“To help fill this investment gap, there’s a serious need for policymakers and investors to help companies finance the breakthrough technologies of the future,” he added.
CDP, which works with companies and investors to help them manage their climate risk, is largely backed by funding from philanthropic and government grants.
European policymakers are aiming to reduce emissions targets to 50%-55% below 1990 levels by 2030 and to achieve climate neutrality by 2050 as part of a 1 trillion euro ($1.1 trillion) European Green Deal.
In a bid to achieve its goal, the EU last week opened a public consultation on how companies report the social and environmental impact of their activities, amid concern the current rules on corporate sustainability disclosures are not tough enough.
($1 = 0.9246 euros) (Reporting by Simon Jessop; Editing by Jan Harvey)
Money Hunter: A Smart Investment – Montreal Alouettes
He was born Monshadrik Hunter, but in the football world, everyone calls him Money. And he may be one of the smartest investments our Alouettes have made since the free-agent market opened earlier this month. On February 12, Money officially joined the Montreal crew after spending two years with the Edmonton Eskimos. The defensive back recorded 59 tackles, two interceptions and one sack in 2019 – his first season as a starter in the CFL – and, being only 24-years old, he surely still has much more to bring to the table.
Following Into a Hall of Famer’s Footsteps
As he hit Free Agency, Money knew one thing: he’d be good wherever Barron Miles was. As a matter of fact, Barron played an important role in persuading Money to come to Montreal, just like he largely contributed to his protege’s evolution as a pro.
“Last year, I started watching more film and working on game plans. Having Barron there really helped me understand the game better and dissect it,” says the DB. “He taught me how to study the game and I knew I’d be comfortable playing for him again.”
Adding Some Bite to the Defence
According to GM Danny Maciocia, our recruit has what it takes to be a serious candidate at the strongside linebacker position. So far in his professional career, Money has seen playing time at safety and halfback. Fulfilling the role of SAM would take him back to his high school years, but he’s ready and willing to do whatever it takes to help his team. Plus, everyone agrees: Money’s versatility is one of his best assets. He has the ability to stop the run game, to get to the quarterback if needed or to drop back into coverage.
“He can perform at multiple positions,” Barron Miles explains. “He’s going to add a little bite to the secondary. He’s long, fast and rangy. Now that he’s in his third season, the game will be slower for him and he can only get better.”
It takes a special kind of relentlessness to be able to hit literally everybody on the field. Think of Patrick Levels in 2019. Those who appreciated his fire will certainly learn to love Money’s bite. Standing at 6’1, he has the potential to become a serious threat if he continues to focus on his technique.
“I love playing this game more than anything. So much so, that I’ve been working on controlling my passion,” he admits. “Some people will say I can be a hothead. I know I don’t play calm, but I just have to constantly put that energy into my technique.”
While he may be known for his intensity on the field, Money spends most of his off-time relaxing at home with his four (soon to be five) year-old daughter, Miya. As a matter of fact, the little cutie, who was born on April Fool’s Day, will be moving with him to Montreal this summer. Her presence, he says, helps him stay levelled. Something he will want to be coming into the 2020 season.
If you invested $1,000 in American Express 10 years ago, here's how much you'd have now – CNBC
American Express’ 2019 fourth-quarter earnings, announced late last month, beat Wall Street expectations.
With the company’s adjusted annual profit coming in 12% higher in 2019 than in 2018, that was good news for the company and for shareholders.
If you invested $1,000 in the financial institution 10 years ago, your investment would be worth more than $4,000 as of Feb. 18, for a total return of 301%, according to CNBC calculations. By comparison, in the same time frame, the S&P 500 had a total return of just over 275%. American Express’ current share price was slightly above $129 on Monday, down more than 4% in morning trading amid growing fears of the economic effects of coronavirus.
While American Express’ shares have done well over the years, past performance is no sign of future results.
CNBC: American Express’ stock as of February 2020.
How American Express got its start
American Express dates to 1850, when it started as a freight shipping company. The company began introducing financial products and services and by the 1950s, Amex launched its first consumer charge card.
In 1966, it put forth a corporate card program for businesses, and in 1991, created its first loyalty program, now called Membership Rewards. The program serves to incentivize users with benefits and encourage member loyalty.
Since then, American Express has continued to reiterate its financial offerings by introducing lines of debit and credit cards as well as banking services. Today, it’s one of the world’s largest financial corporations with more than 63 million cardholders.
American Express’ stock performance
Through the years, American Express stock gone up and down.
Like many financial institutions, the company saw its stock sink around the time of the 2008 recession. By February 2009, its share price landed at just over $11.
In February 2015, the market value of American Express fell by around $8 billion within 48 hours after it announced the loss of a lucrative contract with Costco, which was set to expire in March 2016. The contract termination had shareholders worried about how much revenue Amex would lose and how it would impact their investments.
In October 2017, it was also announced that Kenneth Chenault, chairman and CEO for 17 years, would step down in February 2018 as American Express struggled to find its place in a modern market.
Despite the problems, Amex stock returned 5.4% annually under Chenault’s tenure. That’s close to double the 2.6% annual return of the financial sector during that period.
The latest on American Express
American Express attributed its Q4 success to the “well-balanced mix” it’s been able to strike between spending and fee and lending revenues. The card issuer reported that nearly 70% of new card members in 2019 went for fee-based products, which helped to grow card fee revenue by 17% last year.
Millennials are also big fans of Amex. In January, CNBC’s Jim Cramer credited young people with helping the company reach its better-than-expected quarter. “Millennials are really signing up, 50% of the new cards. That business is great,” Cramer said during a “Mad Money” lightning round.
This month, Amex also announced a new reservation booking tool for Platinum and Centurion members. The feature will allow cardholders to browse, book and manage reservations all in one place using their mobile device. And eligible users can make multiple reservations per day at over 10,000 restaurants worldwide.
If you are considering getting into investing, experts, including Warren Buffett, often advise starting with index funds, which hold a basket of companies. Because index funds aren’t tied to the performance of a single business, they’re less risky than individual stocks, making them a safer choice for beginners.
Here’s a snapshot of how the markets look now.
Like this story? Subscribe to CNBC Make It on YouTube!
Don’t Let the Real Estate Industry Bring Back Brokers’ Fees – The New York Times
Stock market news live: Wall Street dives on coronavirus panic, stocks have worst day in 2 years – Yahoo Canada Finance
CN, CP trains sharing rail lines to keep supplying Canada during blockades – CBC.ca
Iran anticipates renewed protests amid social media shutdown
Popular Richmond BBQ spot speaks out about coronavirus rumours after man collapses outside restaurant – Vancouver Is Awesome
Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver reports January housing sales up 42.4 percent
- Tech18 hours ago
Microsoft confirms Xbox Series X will have a 12 teraflop GPU
- Health10 hours ago
Canadians being told to prepare for a possible novel coronavirus pandemic – Ottawa Citizen
- Real eState13 hours ago
Calgary's 600,000-sq.-ft. Nexen Building sits vacant | RENX – Real Estate News EXchange
- Politics23 hours ago
On Politics: Watch Where Sanders Goes – The New York Times
- Health6 hours ago
Seventh case of novel coronavirus confirmed in B.C.
- Politics13 hours ago
Canada Oil-Sands Plan Collapses Over Politics and Economics – The New York Times
- Economy14 hours ago
Economy Faces a Coronavirus Challenge as Markets Swoon – The New York Times
- Sports9 hours ago
NHL Trade Deadline winners and losers: What are the Panthers doing? – Sportsnet.ca