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Strong El Nino winter may lead to below-average snowfall in Canada, U.S.

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Most of Canada and the northern United States may see far less snow than average this winter thanks to a strong and persistent El Nino, U.S. forecasters say — if past years are any indication.

Officials at the U.S. Climate Prediction Center (CPC) published a blog post last week looking at El Nino winters dating back to 1959, and found that the weather phenomenon generally leads to below-average snowfall across much of southern Canada and northern U.S. states.

The Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies and Great Lakes regions are particularly impacted, the analysis found, and have seen between 15 to 25 cm less snow between January and March compared to regular winters.

During so-called moderate or strong El Nino winters — like the kind forecast this year — the impact is even stronger.

“Stronger El Niño events tend to land a larger punch on our atmosphere, thus increasing the chance of seeing expected El Niño impacts,” the post reads.

El Nino is a natural climate phenomenon that occurs every three to five years in which surface waters of the central and eastern Pacific become unusually warm, causing changes in weather patterns around the world.

During the winter, El Nino sends a jet stream, which moves storm fronts, on an unusual path that is dominated by warmer and wetter Pacific air plunging south.

That means the southern U.S. typically sees above-average snowfall during an El Nino winter — yet total accumulations in those states are still unlikely to match the snowfall seen in the north. The CPC analysis also found northern Quebec and Labrador have seen up to 25 more cm of snow than average during the phenomenon.

Historically, snowfall in central U.S. states and Canadian provinces like Manitoba and Saskatchewan are largely unaffected by El Nino.

But every other province in the west and east, as well as the northern territories, have seen far less snow than average. Western British Columbia, southern Ontario and the Atlantic provinces have seen the biggest changes, the analysis found.

The data was taken from the Climate Data Store, which is supplied by the Copernicus climate satellite system owned by the European Union.

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) already concluded last month that this winter will see a strong El Nino impact, bringing above-seasonal temperatures to much of the U.S. and other parts of the world.

The United Nations has said El Nino has been responsible for several extreme weather events in recent weeks, including heavy rains and flooding in Somalia and drought in South American countries like Brazil.

The agency said El Nino will likely last through the first half of 2024, which could affect agriculture in Latin America.

China’s National Climate Centre has also advised that the country’s winter could be warmer than usual, after experiencing a sharp rise and just-as-sudden decline in temperatures this month.

— with files from Reuters

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Toronto FC promises change at the club after missing out on the playoffs yet again

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TORONTO – MLSE president and CEO Keith Pelley and Toronto FC’s top officials have promised change at the ailing MLS club, which is sitting out the playoffs for the fourth straight season.

Pelley says while the franchise’s entire organizational structure is under review, it is going to take some time to find the right answers.

Coach John Herdman says he is looking for young, athletic and durable talent to help turn around a club which he said started the season strongly but finished weakly.

Toronto (11-19-4) was eliminated from playoff contention in a 1-0 loss Oct. 5 to visiting Inter Miami. It will watch the regular season finale from the sidelines, with a bye the final weekend.

Toronto has not made the playoffs since 2020, when it exited at the first hurdle in an upset loss to expansion Nashville. Its regular-season record since then is 30-75-21, with coaches Chris Armas and Bob Bradley fired along the way.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Ticats, Stampeders look to cap 2024 CFL season on a strong note

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HAMILTON – There’ll be no playoff games this year for the Hamilton Tiger-Cats but head coach Scott Milanovich feels the club can get a head start on changing that narrative in 2025.

Hamilton hosts Calgary on Friday night in a battle between two non-playoff teams. The Ticats will finish fourth in the East Division while the Stampeders remain fifth in the West, three points behind idle Edmonton with two regular-season games remaining.

“There’s momentum that can be built at the end of the season,” said Milanovich, who’s completing his first season as Hamilton’s head coach/offensive coordinator. “I’ve been part of situations where momentum was built and then the following season it took off.

“What I don’t want to have happen is have a lull where you lose what we’ve kind of started building over the last six weeks. I want to take that into the off-season and training camp.”

Hamilton (6-10) played itself back into playoff contention with four straight victories before suffering a 31-10 home loss to Winnipeg on Oct. 4. The Toronto Argonauts (9-7) eliminated the Ticats from post-season contention with a 14-11 road win over the Blue Bombers last Friday.

For some coaches, that would present an opportunity to audition new players under game conditions. But Milanovich said his priority is to field the best team possible in order to secure the victory, although he did leave the door open to getting backup quarterback Taylor Powell some reps down the stretch.

“He may not play, I’m not making any promises,” Milanovich said. “But other than him we’re playing the best guys available.”

With that in mind, rookie Greg Bell will start at running back ahead of veteran James Butler, who’ll come off the roster. Cornerback Jamal Peters (neck) is out while defensive lineman Nick Usher (ankle) returns.

For Calgary (4-11-1), receiver Cam Echols (head) comes into the lineup while receiver Cam Tucker (hamstring) goes off.

Hamilton starter Bo Levi Mitchell will get a second shot at earning his first win over his former team. Mitchell, who spent his first 10 CFL seasons with Calgary before joining the Ticats in 2023, completed 27-of-38 passes for 300 yards with a TD and interception in a 32-24 season-opening road loss to the Stampeders on June 7.

Mitchell leads the CFL in passing yards (4,576), touchdowns (26) and interceptions (16). The 34-year-old Texan, a two-time Grey Cup champion and twice the league’s outstanding player, is closing in on his third 5,000-yard passing campaign.

The contest is Hamilton’s last this season at Tim Hortons Field, where it is 3-5. But the Ticats have won three of their last four home games against Calgary.

Life on the road has been miserable for the Stampeders, who’re 0-7 this season away from McMahon Stadium. In fact, they’re just 1-12 in their last 13 games away from home.

Having said that, though, Calgary is looking for its first season sweep of Hamilton since 2018.

“We’re trying to win, that’s the first priority and will always be,” Dave Dickenson, Calgary’s head coach/GM, told reporters in the Alberta city this week. “We’ll probably rotate more, for sure we will … but we still expect the same performance and the same execution no matter who plays.”

American Matt Shiltz will start at quarterback for Calgary. He was 18-of-33 passing for 215 yards with a TD an interception in the Stamps’ 23-18 home loss to Edmonton (6-11) last week while rushing five times for 64 yards.

Shiltz spent two seasons in Hamilton (2022-23) before joining the Stampeders in free agency.

“I think he did some good things for us (versus Edmonton),” Dickenson said of Shiltz. “He’s going up against his former team and probably has some familiarity there but different coaches.

“Hopefully he feels good with how our offence is structured and can make plays.”

Calgary is riding an eight-game winless streak (0-7-1) and sports a 2-4-1 record against East Division teams. Hamilton is 2-7 versus the West Division.

Both teams will finish their season on the road. Hamilton travels to Ottawa on Oct. 25 while Calgary visits Saskatchewan the following night.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Raptors point guard Quickley questionable ahead of final pre-season game vs. Nets

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TORONTO – Immanuel Quickley is questionable for the Toronto Raptors final pre-season game.

The guard has missed Toronto’s first four tune-up games with a sprained thumb.

Raptors head coach Darko Rajakovic says that Quickley has been cleared for all practice and team activities but that the team would be cautious about putting him into an actual game.

Toronto visits the Brooklyn Nets on Friday to close out its pre-season, then hosts the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday in its home opener.

Quickley moved over to point guard after the Raptors acquired him on Dec. 30 in a trade with the New York Knicks.

He averaged 18.6 points, 6.8 assists and 4.8 rebounds in 38 games for Toronto in that new role last season.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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