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Taking some investment risks is fine, but here's how to protect your portfolio while doing it – Financial Post

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The longer the bull cycle, the greater the confidence and speculative activity as investors get more courageous about venturing outside their comfort zone, and this latest great run in global equity and bond markets has certainly rewarded such risk taking.

Unfortunately, there are plenty of commission-based advisers in Canada that still get paid quite handsomely to feed into this speculation and, as a result, there is often no one to help protect an investor from making a bad decision. This is because there still isn’t a legal fiduciary requirement for Canadian investment advisers to act in the client’s best interest unless they are operating as registered discretionary portfolio managers.

There are plenty of examples of this dynamic, which, depending on the timing, didn’t turn out well for many.

For instance, a plethora of junior oilsands deals were sold to retail investors during the bull run in energy from the mid-2000s through to 2014. Peak oil supply was the narrative and yet there were plenty of risks on the horizon, including a coordinated effort by environmentalists to constrain Canadian export capacity and, more so, the explosive growth of shale in the United States that resulted in an oversupplied market.

Those investments, and most if not all those junior oilsands companies, all came crashing down along with oil prices in July 2014.

Canadian brokers were quick to adapt though, shifting their focus to the launch of the cannabis sector. Shell companies were snapped up promising big returns in a few months’ time upon listing. However, there was little substance to many of these micro-companies other than a bit of land, maybe one or two facilities and one heck of a story to tell about how it was going to profit by getting a slice of a grossly overestimated market.

We wonder what happened to those micro-companies considering the carnage among the sector’s largest participants, with share prices more than halved and class-action lawsuits flying around.

Even more recently, the explosive growth in Canada’s shadow banking market has many looking to profit from the residential housing boom in Vancouver, Montreal and Toronto. Mortgages are being bundled up and sold to investors with the promise of high returns and lower risk levels.

There are some good managers out there operating in the sector, but also many bad ones, leaving it up to investors to undertake a thorough due diligence on the portfolio of mortgages being held and the quality of the managers overseeing them.

The other problem with excessive risk taking, the resulting lack of liquidity, is an important one.

“If you don’t have ample liquidity, and it’s not durable, in times of stress, as you’re looking for liquidity, you’re forced to sell assets at declining prices, which then eats into your capital position, so it becomes this very, very negative cycle,” Ruth Porat, Alphabet Inc.’s chief financial officer, has said. “There’s no question that liquidity is sacrosanct.”

Risk and return go hand in hand and the more you sacrifice liquidity, the greater the risk you take onboard. Although advisers may make it easy to get into a position, always remember to ask yourself if it will be just as easy to get out of that position when conditions begin to deteriorate.

There is nothing wrong with a bit of speculation within one’s portfolio, but be cognizant of the amount of work involved, since it is ultimately up to you to weigh the returns against the risk potential. In the event you make a mistake, having some liquidity will go a long way to limiting the damage of that mistake.

Martin Pelletier, CFA is a portfolio manager and OCIO at TriVest Wealth Counsel Ltd., a Calgary-based private client and institutional investment firm specializing in discretionary risk-managed portfolios as well as investment audit and oversight services.

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Investment

Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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