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TFSA Investors: If You Could Only Buy One Stock, This Should Be It – The Motley Fool Canada

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TFSA investors are a smart bunch. Permanently protecting your capital from taxes is an opportunity that no one should pass up.

While millions of Canadians invest through a TFSA, millions still do not. If you don’t have a TFSA, open one today.

If you already have a TFSA, then congratulations. Yet the battle is far from over. Now, you have to figure out how to invest your tax-protected savings.

Decades of research continually suggests that long-term investing is your best bet to build massive wealth. It can be tempting to constantly try to find the next big thing, but a buy-and-hold strategy has proven more successful.

Just take a look at Berkshire Hathaway, which has generated annual returns of 20% for more than three decades. That’s double the rate of the stock market overall in the same period. That doesn’t mean that a 30-year Berkshire Hathaway investor’s final sum would be twice as much. Due to compound interest, their nest egg would be considerably larger.

If you invest $10,000 and earn 10% annual returns for 30 years, you will end up with $175,000. Not bad. But what if you earned 20% annual returns? Keeping everything else constant, your $10,000 would become $2.4 million!

Long-term compounders are the secret to amassing wealth. Fortunately, there’s one Canadian stock that has all the characteristics of the next Berkshire Hathaway. In fact, this stock runs the same strategy as Berkshire, yet is less than 5% of the size, meaning it has decades of growth ahead of it.

Trust the process

Warren Buffett mastered the art of making money at Berkshire Hathaway. The holding company consists of several insurance businesses that throw off regular cash generated from policy premiums. That cash needs investing, which Warren Buffett happily does, buying huge chunks of both private and public entities.

Because insurance premiums are paid during both bull and bear markets, Buffett has the enviable advantage of fresh cash during every part of the economic cycle. When capital is scarce, Buffett can swoop in and secure once-in-a-decade deals, as he did during the 2008 financial crisis.

Prem Watsa, founder and CEO of Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd (TSX:FFH), figured he shouldn’t fix what isn’t broken, opting to emulate Buffett’s strategy completely. Fairfax owns a number of insurance businesses, and Watsa invests the resulting cash.

Buffett has proven a masterful investor, but how about Watsa?

Since 1985, Fairfax stock has generated annual returns of 17%. That’s a bit below Berkshire’s performance, but it still makes Fairfax one of the best long-term compounders of capital in recent memory. Plus, there’s reason to believe Fairfax will outperform Berkshire in the decades to come.

The first problem with Berkshire is that Buffett, a major force behind its historical success, is now a stately 89 years old. Watsa, on the other hand, is only 69 years old.

Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway is now worth more than $600 billion. The law of large numbers suggests that it will be difficult for the company to grow at a market-beating rate into perpetuity. Another doubling in price would make Berkshire one of the largest companies on the planet. Another doubling after that would make it the largest corporation in history, by a long shot.

Fairfax, meanwhile, is worth just $17 billion. Even if it were to double in price twice, it would still be 10% the size of Berkshire. It’s not hard to deduce that Fairfax has many more years of growth ahead of it when compared to Berkshire.

The trick to long-term investing is to buy proven business models that have decades of runway to go. Fairfax checks all of these boxes. If you could only own one stock, this should be it.

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The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Berkshire Hathaway (B shares). The Motley Fool recommends FAIRFAX FINANCIAL HOLDINGS LTD and recommends the following options: long January 2021 $200 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), short January 2021 $200 puts on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), and short March 2020 $225 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares).

Fool contributor Ryan Vanzo has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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