adplus-dvertising
Connect with us

Investment

The economic mood and other investing stories you may have missed this week

Published

 on

This week was hardly bullish. Here’s what investors witnessed:

  • Oil prices gave back most of their OPEC+ production cut gains.
  • The Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index reached a new low for this economic cycle and missed consensus estimates. Other indicators from the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index also fell.
  • Initial jobless claims surprised to the upside for the fourth straight week.
  • Weak earnings and more caution emerged from freight operators JB Hunt and Union Pacific as well as from auto retailer AutoNation. Netflix and Taiwan Semiconductor, a key Apple supplier, issued guidance warnings too.
  • There were more layoffs at Meta and Clorox, with reports of planned job cuts at Disney.
  • Tesla reported a quarterly gross margin miss on recent price cuts.

The bottom line is that there is an ongoing negative shift in economic data, likely as interest rate hikes take further hold in the economy. That’s a red flag.

Oddly enough, though, investors don’t appear to be picking up on it judging by the resilience in the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Composite, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

“The latest data is another piece of evidence suggesting there’ll be a U.S. recession soon, which fits with our own view at DB Research that expects one later in the year,” Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid wrote in a client note.

Good words of wisdom right now.

GRUENHEIDE, GERMANY - SEPTEMBER 03: Tesla head Elon Musk talks to one visitor as he arrives to to have a look at the construction site of the new Tesla Gigafactory near Berlin on September 03, 2020 near Gruenheide, Germany. Musk is currently in Germany where he met with vaccine maker CureVac on Tuesday, with which Tesla has a cooperation to build devices for producing RNA vaccines, as well as German Economy Minister Peter Altmaier yesterday. (Photo by Maja Hitij/Getty Images)
Tesla head Elon Musk talks to one visitor as he arrives to have a look at the construction of the Tesla Gigafactory on September 03, 2020, near Gruenheide, Germany. (Photo by Maja Hitij/Getty Images)

3 things you may have missed

1. The mood among AmEx cardholders: I caught up with American Express CEO Stephen Squeri, and he struck an upbeat tone on demand trends.

“The economy is definitely bifurcated, and I think at the lower end of the economy, you are seeing some stress, but we just don’t have that,” Squeri said, adding he is seeing strong demand for travel this spring and summer. The travel call-out is in line with what we have heard this earnings season from Delta and United Airlines.

2. Elon Musk goes storm-watching: One interesting highlight from Tesla’s earnings call was when Elon Musk said he doesn’t see the economy improving until 2024. The CEO predicted “economic stormy weather” for another year before “things start getting sunny around spring next year.”

Musk joins the likes of JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon in using weather to describe the economic outlook.

3. About that cost of credit: In a Yahoo Finance Live exclusive, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Jenn Schonberger that there is only one direction for interest rates in the near term: higher.

“I do think that, given how stubborn inflation is and given the still-strong labor market, I do think that rates are going to have to move up to above that 5% level,” Mester said.

Loretta J. Mester, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, looks on at Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim UrquhartLoretta J. Mester, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, looks on at Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart
Loretta J. Mester, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, looks on at Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart

C-Suite Quote of the Week

“We’re not seeing a lot of trade down [among consumers],” Procter & Gamble (PG) CEO Jon Moeller told Yahoo Finance Live. “We’re seeing, if anything, more careful usage of the product that they have bought. So they might use a half a sheet of a Bounty paper towel as opposed to a whole sheet. But generally, again, just looking at the numbers, the consumer is holding up extremely well.”

Chart of the Week

For those investors ignoring the potential impending debt ceiling risk, here’s a helpful reminder from the macroeconomic team at Goldman Sachs on how markets priced the 2011 debt ceiling debate:

Remember the 2011 debt ceiling debacle?Remember the 2011 debt ceiling debacle?
Remember the 2011 debt ceiling debacle?

Brian Sozzi is Yahoo Finance’s Executive Editor. Follow Sozzi on Twitter @BrianSozzi and on LinkedIn. Tips on deals, mergers, activist situations or anything else? Email brian.sozzi@yahoofinance.com

728x90x4

Source link

Continue Reading

Investment

Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

Published

 on

 

NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Investment

S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending