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The stresses that changed Canadian and Ottawa real estate in 2020 – TheChronicleHerald.ca

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If you had to pick one word to describe the 2020 market for resale homes, it would be “stressed.”

Shrinking inventories combined with a sharp rise in demand triggered bidding wars for a majority of properties. Historically low rates for mortgages contributed to higher-than-expected bids, both on the part of the buyers and sellers. Not only that, the pandemic made the process of buying and selling more difficult, and re-shaped the kinds of properties in highest demand. The new mantra was space — not just for extra home offices but for big acreage well beyond the city cores.

Take all this together, and you have most of the explanation for the unusual sales patterns that emerged in 2020.

Consider first the sharp divergence between the biggest cities and smaller towns, as revealed in the latest tabulation by the Canadian Real Estate Association.

Ten of the 12 districts showing the biggest growth year-over-year were smaller urban areas in southern Ontario. These ranged from Kawartha Lakes, where the benchmark price for single-family homes jumped 29.2 per cent to $492,000 in November, to the Simcoe region, where realtors reported a 21 per cent climb in the benchmark price to $439,000. Both of these districts, along with Quinte, southern Georgian Bay and Barrie, benefitted from growing popularity of cottage properties.

They are also part of Toronto’s hinterland, which has expanded dramatically with the increased acceptance of home-based offices by many employers.

Remote working may be behind the rapid rise in resale prices in Woodstock, Tillsonburg, London and Brantford — towns to the west of metro Toronto that have traditionally supported legions of long-distance commuters. It’s possible some of these workers have opted to trade up in their home districts now that commuting costs are out of the equation, at least for the foreseeable future.

The only large city within the group of the 12 fastest-growing markets is Ottawa, where the benchmark price for single-family homes surged 22 per cent year-over-year to $593,000 in November.

The only other large city to come close was Montreal, which saw resale values increase 21 per cent to $472,000.

Metro Toronto, with resale prices up 13 per cent year-over-year to $1 million, was middle of the pack among the largest urban areas while Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary all saw house price gains of less than 10 per cent. Other cities on the prairies — including Saskatoon, Regina and Winnipeg — also saw single-digit gains in benchmark prices.

On the prairies, the big factor dampening real estate values is weak prices for oil and other commodities. In B.C., the explanation for tempered gains is a combination of high prices and a foreign buyers tax for properties in greater Vancouver.

In Ottawa, the theme was catch-up. When home prices in Vancouver and Toronto surged from 2015 to 2017, they moved up here at a very measured pace. That pattern changed in mid-2019, when benchmark prices in Ottawa started growing fastest among the country’s largest cities.

During the pandemic, rural properties in the Ottawa Valley have appreciated faster than residences in the core of the city. Whether that pattern will continue in 2021 will depend a lot on whether employers insist that workers return to the office. We probably haven’t seen the end of stressed real estate markets.


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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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