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This Is Why the Dow Jones Was So Ferociously Volatile Today – CCN.com

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  • The Dow Jones swung wildly between gains and losses on Thursday.
  • Stock market bulls shrugged off a miserable jobless claims report as Trump rallied the oil price.
  • As the coronavirus shutdown continues, financial pressures on balance sheets have removed a crucial support from the Dow.

The Dow Jones swung wildly on Thursday as a flurry of dizzying economic headlines left investors delirious.

Donald Trump spurred the oil price toward its largest single-day rally ever, while U.S. jobless claims surged past even the most bearish economists’ predictions.

The stock market continues to hold off its yearly lows, but support from share buybacks has evaporated, placing intense pressure on the Dow and S&P 500.

Dow Wobbles as Unemployment Spikes & Oil Price Soars

Dow Jones, stock market, Coronavirus, jobless claims, oil price, Donald Trump
The Dow Jones chopped between gains and losses on Thursday as Trump pumped the oil price. | Source: Yahoo Finance

All three of the major U.S. stock market indices endured severe price fluctuations today.

  • The Dow rose 205.67 points or 0.98% to 21,149.18.
  • The S&P 500 climbed 0.94% to 2,493.78.
  • The Nasdaq ticked 0.44% higher to 7,393.08.

The commodity sector went absolutely wild, ignited by a spectacular move in crude oil, which was up more than 30% at its peak above $25 per barrel.

Triggering the move was a series of tweets from President Donald Trump, who claims Russia and Saudi Arabia will announce a 10-15 million barrel production cut.

Given the oil price’s significance to the U.S. and global economy, Trump’s optimism dragged the Dow along for a roller coaster ride as investors mulled how credible his claims are.

Defying a rally in the U.S. dollar, the price of gold joined in the party with a 3.2% move to $1,643.

Unemployment Rate Heads Toward 10%

Despite the slight rally in the Dow, there was some terrible economic data. The United States saw more than 6 million jobless claims last week.

This more than doubled the prior week’s reading, which was itself an all-time high. With only 3.5 million claims forecast, Thursday’s sell-off could have been a lot worse.

ING, stock market, Dow Jones, Unemployment RateING, stock market, Dow Jones, Unemployment Rate
The U.S. unemployment rate is quickly heading for 10%. | Source: Think ING

U.S. unemployment is quickly zeroing in on 10%, and the rapid spread of the coronavirus shows no signs of easing the economic pain anytime soon. As of late Thursday afternoon, the U.S. had 234,462 confirmed cases of COVID-19.

In Europe, hopes of a peak in Italy grew as the nation recorded its lowest death total in a week, though there are fears of underreported deaths. Spain is still seeing a dramatic rise in cases, though its infection rate curve may be stabilizing.

Stock Market Bulls Continue to Back the Fed

With all the doom and gloom, it is surprising to many to see the Dow Jones trading as sturdily as it is.

While there are numerous theories regarding Dow bulls’ confidence in buying the dip, they must grapple with the fact that one of the stock market’s most obvious supports is vanishing.

Corporations have bought back shares aggressively in recent years, helping boost stock prices to the tune of more than $5 trillion among S&P 500 companies alone.

This bullish fundamental has suddenly disappeared thanks to the economic damage from COVID-19.

Stock market, Dow Jones, BuybacksStock market, Dow Jones, Buybacks
Source: Twitter

So what’s driving the strength in the Dow?

In a comment to CCN.com, senior economist Sebastian Galy from Nordea Asset Management speculated that stock market investors trust the efficacy of the historic stimulus from the Federal Reserve and Trump administration.

Equity markets are stabilizing today after pricing in a more realistic scenario in the United States. Many continue to bet on the long-term believing inherently in “apple pie,” namely the virtue of the United States as expressed in part by the innovation and competence of the Federal Reserve and to a lesser extent, the White House.

Nevertheless, sentiment remains fragile in U.S. equities. One of Wall Street’s renowned short-sellers, Jim Chanos, says he still sees opportunities everywhere – particularly in debt-laden growth companies.

Dow 30 Stocks: Boeing Dives on Mass Lay-Off Scheme

A bright start to the day faded in the Dow 30 as Boeing stock endured another rough day of trade.

The beleaguered aerospace giant slid 6.9% to $121 after it floated an ominous “voluntary layoff” package to its entire staff of 161,000 employees.

Such dramatic layoffs are linked both to the plight of the airline industry and the grounding of its infamous 737 MAX. The weakness rippled through the supply chain. General Electric – a Boeing supplier – slashed its engine department in half.

Given the boost in oil prices, it was unsurprising to see Chevron and Exxon Mobil lead the index with gains of 9.9% and 6.2%.

Walgreens Boots Alliance was the Dow’s biggest loser, falling 7.9% after its Q2 earnings report revealed that its coronavirus-related sales surge had tailed off dramatically.

This article was edited by Josiah Wilmoth.

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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