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This Week's Top Stories: Canadian Real Estate Development Is Booming, While Consumer Credit Tanks – Better Dwelling

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Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories.

Canadian Real Estate

Canadian Household Credit Slows, As Consumer Credit Growth Plunges Lower
Canadian household debt is still rising, but experienced a bit of a hiccup in the latest numbers. The balance of outstanding household debt reached $2.26 trillion in November, up 3.9% from a month before. The 12-month rate of growth made a minor decline, due to falling consumer loan balances. This means all credit growth in the month was due to mortgage debt. Unusual, since consumer credit typically accelerates with mortgage debt.
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Canadian Mortgage Debt Growth Accelerates, But Throws A Sign It May Be Losing Steam
Canadians have been ramping up mortgage borrowing, but there’s a sign it may slow. The balance of mortgage debt hit $1.62 trillion in November, up 4.6% from last year. The 3-month annualized pace of growth fell to 5.7%, down 3.39% from the month before. This is only one decline, so it’s unclear if it’ll follow with further declines going forward. However, it does show that growth lost a little steam.
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Canada Has Never Had This Much Housing Under Construction At The Same Time
Canada has never seen this much housing being built all at the same time. There were 274,829 units under construction in Q4 2019, up 7.40% from the same quarter a year before. The current peak is a little over 30% higher than any other previous peak – which happened in 1973. Yes, we need to go back almost 50 years, to find a number even close to today’s building.
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Canadian Real Estate Numbers Soar As BC Sales Surge… Kind Of
Canadian real estate sales have been showing robust growth over the past few months. There were 26,976 sales in December, up 22.7% from last year. The big climb sounds impressive, but it’s still 0.85% below 2017’s sales. Looking at the distribution of this trend, most of the growth is explained by the slow first half of 2019. There’s growth, just not exactly the shocking amount told by headline numbers.
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Toronto Real Estate

Toronto Rental Vacancy Rises To The Highest Level Since 2015, Despite Population Boom
Toronto is finally seeing a little relief in its primary rental market, as vacancy rates climb. The average vacancy in the city reached 1.5% in 2019, up 25% from the year before. This is now the highest level since 2015, but still relatively low. However, Toronto has always had a tight primary rental market. The fact that rental rates are showing some of the highest growth in history, isn’t explained by this trend.
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Vancouver Real Estate

Vancouver Rental Vacancies Climb To The Highest Level Since 2013
Vancouver’s primary rental market saw vacancies climb to the highest level in years. The average rate reached 1.1% in 2019, up 10% from a year before. This is the highest level since 2013, but highlights how tight the Vancouver rental market has been. Despite the rise in vacancy, rental prices have been rising the most we’ve seen in over a decade.
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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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