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Toronto's top doctor releases charts showing COVID-19 data. It suggest second wave is likely – CP24 Toronto's Breaking News

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Toronto health officials have released data slides showing how the city is progressing in its fight against the COVID-19 pandemic.

Toronto’s Medical Officer of Health Dr. Eileen de Villa told reporters on Monday that the city has started to successfully flatten the curve and is at its peak period for COVID-19 cases.

De Villa’s first slide released on Tuesday shows that the trajectory of cases of COVID-19 is lower in Toronto than in some countries, including the United States, the United Kingdom and Germany.

“These countries have unfortunately seen a large number of cases since their COVID-19 outbreaks began,” De Villa told reporters at a news conference Tuesday.

“I believe, at this point, that the number of cases to date in Canada, Ontario and locally in Toronto is lower than originally forecasted due in part to the strong public health measures that were put in place early in our outbreak and the fact that our residents took these measures seriously.”

De Villa reported Tuesday that there are now 3,820 cases of COVID-19 in Toronto and 190 people have died.

The second slide shows the number of COVID-19 cases Toronto has had over the span of the outbreak. The graph shows a steady climb in cases and then a plateau.

slide 2“The second slide … shows that we believe we are now in the peak period of the epidemiological curve of our community outbreak,” De Villa noted.

“I use the term peak period because the peak is not really just one day nor is it just a single number … the reality is that we will only know when we have hit our peak for COVID-19 cases after the peak has passed.”

De Villa said that in order to really confirm the peak has hit, officials need to see the number of new cases levelling and then going down.

“As we move down the curve the timeline of the outbreak may be shorter or longer,” she said.

“This depends in part on our ability as a community to remain diligent in following the public health and physical distancing measures we have put in place.”

The third slide shows the number of hospitalizations, ICU admissions and deaths to date due to COVID-19. The slides show the numbers once again steadily rising and then reaching a plateau.

slide 3

“This information helps us understand how we have used out healthcare system resources during this outbreak,” De Villa said. “The information in slide three should be considered with cautious optimism. It illustrates that we are seeing our curve flattening.”

She said the slide also illustrates the impacts of “our collective work” to prevent the overburdening of the healthcare system and to ensure that health resources remain in place for those “who need them most.”

“This is an important indicator for us to continue to monitor as we move down the curve,” de Villa said.

“It will help us to plan and know when we can begin to ease some of our local public health and physical distancing measures.”

She said the city will likely experience a second wave of COVID-19 because herd immunity to the disease has not been reached yet.

“We will continue to see COVID-19 spreading in our community until we start to experience herd immunity,” she said. “This will not happen until many people are infected with COVID-19 and recover and they build immunity that lasts or we develop a vaccine.”

She said the final slide tells the “tale of the two outbreaks” the city is experiencing, a community one and an institutional one.

slide 4

She said all four slides represent the main types of data that are being analyzed by the city.

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COVID-19 Bulletin #153 – news.gov.mb.ca

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Need More Info?

Public information, contact Manitoba Government Inquiry: 1-866-626-4862 or 204-945-3744.

Media requests for general information, contact Communications Services Manitoba: 204-945-3765.

Media requests for ministerial comment, contact Communications and Stakeholder Relations: 204-945-4916.

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Ontario confirms 57 new COVID cases today, removes 24 old cases – OrilliaMatters

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Public Health Ontario reported 57 new COVID cases today, and has also removed 24 previously-reported cases from the cumulative case count.

According to a Tweet by Ontario’s health minister, Christine Elliott, a “routine data cleanup” revealed some cases had been double reported and that resulted in Toronto Public Health reporting a negative case report of -21 cases today. Three more health units reported -1 case. 

Although there were 57 more positive results reported by the province’s regional health units, the 24 cases removed brought the net case increase down to 33.

There were no new deaths reported today. 

Windsor-Essex County reported the highest case increase with 10 new cases included in today’s epidemiology summary. Peel and Ottawa both reported seven new cases and Southwestern (Oxford, Elgin, St. Thomas) reported eight new cases. 

Based on the information included in the provincial summary, there are 952 active cases of COVID-19 in Ontario, including 60 individuals who are hospitalized with the coronavirus. There are 21 COVID patients in intensive care units and 12 patients on ventilators. 

To date, Public Health Ontario has reported 40,194 cases of COVID-19, with 36,456 of those cases (90.7 per cent) now listed as recovered, and 2,786 cases (6.9 per cent) ending in death.

Since yesterday’s report, the province reported 21,581 more COVID tests have been completed. 

As of yesterday, Simcoe Muskoka District Health Unit has reported 667 cases of COVID-19 to date, with 636 of those cases located in Simcoe County. 

There are 618 cases now recovered and 37 people have died in the region. The health unit indicates there are 12 active cases in the region – all in Simcoe County. There is one person from New Tecumseth still in hospital recovering from COVID.

The 12 active cases include residents from Barrie (5), Bradford (1), New Tecumseth (3), Innisfil (1), Essa (1), and Ramara (1). 

In Simcoe-Muskoka, the incidence rate for the coronavirus is 112.2 cases per 100,000 people in the population. 

Case breakdown by municipality for Simcoe County as of Aug. 10

MunicipalityTotal casesRecoveriesDeathsIn HospitalLast case reportedIncidence rate*
Barrie20118214 Aug. 10134.6
Bradford W-G13412112 Aug. 4311.9
New Tecumseth848011Aug. 10202.7
Innisfil5352  July 23132.5
Orillia19172 July 3053.8
Collingwood1616  July 2066.7
Wasaga Beach15141 June 1965.2
Clearview981 July 2760.9
Springwater15141 July 2071.4
Midland1212  July 2466.9
Oro-Medonte972 Aug. 438.6
Adjala-Tosorontio99  June 1677.2
Essa18161 Aug. 675.3
Ramara1211  Aug. 5115.6
Tiny66  July 16not released
Tay99  July 23not released
Penetanguishene871 July 23not released
Severn77  July 27not released

*Incidence rate is number of cases per 100,000 people in the local population.

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Lineups begin early as Brandon residents wait for coronavirus tests – Global News

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The first person in line at the Brandon coronavirus test site was there at 6:30 a.m. Tuesday.

By 8 a.m., at least 40 cars had joined the line behind him, all in an effort to avoid the massive lineups seen the day before.

The site opened at 8:45 a.m.

People waiting in line Monday at the Brandon drive-thru community testing site at the Town Centre Parkade waited for hours.

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A cluster of cases in Brandon over the past several days has people scrambling to be tested in the Manitoba city.

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Dr. Brent Roussin, the province’s chief public health officer, said Monday there were now more than 60 known cases in one cluster in Brandon, and there were 196 active cases in the province, which is a record high.

Read more:
Manitoba sees 16 new coronavirus cases Monday, province seeing indication of community transmission: Roussin

A second testing site in Brandon will open on Wednesday at the Keystone Centre grounds with hours of operation the same as the Town Centre location, said Prairie Mountain Health.

“Clients may choose the site they prefer to go to (Town Centre or Keystone Centre), however they may be re-directed to the other site in order to help balance lineups and shorten wait times,” PMH said in a statement.

“PMH asks individuals who are not symptomatic or who have not been directed by Public Health or

Occupational Health to be tested, to please refrain from coming to the Brandon test sites at this time.”

One woman in line Tuesday morning told Global News the increase of cases was bound to happen.

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“A lot of people did let their guard down, and that’s why we’ve got a few cases,” she said. “It’s nothing that we can’t control.”

— with files from Abigail Turner

© 2020 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

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