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U.S. Banks With the Most Commercial Real Estate Exposure

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See this visualization first on the Voronoi app.

This bar graphic shows the U.S. banks with the most exposure to commercial property loans.

 

U.S. Banks With the Most Commercial Real Estate Exposure

This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.

Today, there is roughly $5.7 trillion in commercial real estate debt outstanding—with U.S. banks holding approximately half of this total on their balance sheets.

The commercial property sector, which includes office, retail, healthcare, and multi-family properties, has faced mounting pressures amid high interest rates and lower occupancy levels. Given these headwinds, it poses the risk of higher defaults and steep loan losses in a sector that has not fully recovered since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last year.

This graphic shows the U.S. banks with the highest exposure to the commercial real estate sector, based on analysis from UBS.

Top U.S. Banks, by Share of Commercial Property Loans

Here are the banks with the greatest concentration of commercial property loans as of the third quarter of 2023:

Bank Commercial Real Estate
Share of Total Loans
Total Commercial Real Estate
Loans
Total Assets
Bank OZK 68.6% $17.4B $32.8B
Home BancShares, Inc. 63.0% $9.0B $22.0B
Pacific Premier Bancorp, Inc. 63.0% $8.4B $20.3B
International Bancshares Corporation 59.3% $4.7B $14.9B
New York Community Bancorp Inc 57.0% $49.0B $111.2B
Independent Bank Group, Inc. 56.1% $8.0B $18.5B
Valley National Bancorp 54.9% $27.5B $61.2B
CVB Financial Corp. 50.2% $4.5B $15.9B
Independent Bank Corp. 48.9% $7.0B $19.4B
Axos Financial, Inc. 48.6% $8.3B $20.8B
Simmons First National Corporation Class A 48.2% $8.1B $27.6B
United Bankshares, Inc. 46.2% $9.8B $29.2B
WaFd, Inc. 45.9% $8.1B $22.5B
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc 44.9% $5.2B $16.0B
WesBanco, Inc. 43.4% $4.9B $17.3B
Banner Corporation 42.9% $4.6B $15.5B
TowneBank 42.6% $4.8B $16.7B
Renasant Corporation 42.4% $5.3B $17.2B
FB Financial Corporation 42.3% $4.0B $12.5B
Glacier Bancorp, Inc. 42.0% $6.8B $28.1B

As the above table shows, the vast majority of banks with the greatest exposure are small and medium-sized financial institutions.

Bank OZK, based in Arkansas, has the highest proportion of commercial property loans, at 68.6% of total loans. As one of the country’s most prominent lenders to Manhattan property developers, its share price has outperformed the S&P 500 by tenfold since going public 27 years ago.

New York Community Bancorp, the only big bank on the list, has $49 billion in commercial property loans, making up 57% of its overall loans. At the height of regional banking turmoil last year, one of New York Community Bancorp’s subsidiaries took over the failed Signature Bank in a multi-billion dollar deal.

Since the bank reported $2.7 billion in losses in the fourth quarter of 2023, its share price has plummeted roughly 68%. The surprise loss—which was revised from $252 million—prompted the bank to seek a $1 billion lifeline from investors to help shore up confidence in the institution. Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnunchin was a major investor in the deal.

Like New York Community Bancorp, a number of other regional banks have seen their share prices lag due to its fallout.

Commercial Property Debt Concentrated in Small Banks

Below, we show how the majority of commercial real estate loans are found in small U.S. banks, which are those with assets of $20 billion and under:

This pie chart shows the share of commercial real estate debt according to bank assets.

With 56.1% of all commercial property loans, small U.S. banks face the highest risk compared to other bigger banks.

Given the high share of loans, banks may run the risk of failure especially if credit losses accelerate and valuations decline. At the same time, it could be more challenging to refinance debt as valuations deteriorate.

While these troubles have begun to emerge over the last year, there is also the likelihood that losses could continue over the next several years. In fact, after the global financial crisis, credit losses peaked two years after delinquencies hit their highest point.

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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