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U.S. gains 678,000 jobs in February and unemployment drops to 3.8% despite labor shortage – MarketWatch

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The numbers: The U.S. added 678,000 jobs in February and the unemployment rate fell again even as businesses grappled with the worst labor shortage in decades, signaling the economy is picking up after a slow start to the year.

The unemployment rate dropped to 3.8% from 4%, the government said Friday.

The increase in hiring last month — the biggest in seven months — exceeded forecasts. Economists polled by The Wall Street had estimated 440,000 new jobs.

The government’s employment report won’t sway the Federal Reserve as the central bank prepares for a series of interest-rate increases to try to tame the worst bout of U.S. inflation in 40 years.

The jobs report has also been less reliable over the past year owing to the waxing and waning of the pandemic. The estimates have been subject to large revisions months later that have presented a very different view of how many people are being hired.

One thing is clear, though. The labor market is very tight and it’s going away to stay that way for a while. Workers are taking advantage of the situation to leave their employers in droves for better-paying jobs.

Hourly wages only rose 1 cent to $31.58 in February, but worker pay is climbing at the fastest rate since the early 1980s.

Read: Soaring U.S. worker pay stalled in February, but probably not for long

“The ‘Great Resignation’ is real,” a technology executive told ISM. “Severe labor shortages are expected well into 2022.”

U.S. stocks fell in Friday trades and were little swayed by the jobs report. The war in Ukraine is the main focus of investors now.

Big picture: The economy is getting a tailwind from the steep decline in cases of the omicron variant of the coronavirus.

People who got sick from the highly contagious variant have returned to work. Governments have dropped business restrictions and companies have stepped up hiring efforts to try to cater to high demand for their goods and services.

Yet soaring inflation and ongoing shortages of labor and supplies are likely to constrain the economy in the first half of 2022 before easing, analysts predict. Americans are unlikely to buy as many houses, cars and other big-ticket items if prices keep rising and interest rates go up though.

The war in Ukraine also threatens to worsen inflation and deliver another shock to an already fragile global economy.

Key details: About a quarter of the new jobs created in February were in leisure and hospitality, the industries most affected when coronavirus cases were high.

Restaurants added 124,000 new jobs last month and hotels hired 28,000 people.

Hiring also rose strongly at white-collar professional jobs (95,000), health care (64,000), construction (60,000) and transportation and warehousing (48,000).

No industry reported a decline in employment.

The size of the labor force increased by 301,000 in February. The percentage of people in the labor force rose a tick to 62.3%, though it’s still well below the peak before the pandemic.

The economy would have about 3 million more workers if the so-called participation rate in the labor market was the same now as it was before the pandemic.

Hiring in January and December were somewhat stronger than previously reported. Job gains in the two months were raised by a combined 92,000. 

Steady hiring is pushing the unemployment rate back to precrisis levels, when it had fallen to a half-century low of 3.5%.

The tight labor market is a blessing for many workers. They’ve switched jobs for better pay or gotten higher wages from their current employers.

Over the past year the average paycheck has increased by 5.1% — one of the fastest increase since the early 1980s.

“Employers continue to struggle to bring in new workers and keep existing ones,” said Thomas Barkin, president of the Richmond Federal Reserve.

Rising pay still isn’t keeping up with inflation, however. The cost of living jumped 7.5% in the 12 months ended in January.

Higher wages could even add to inflationary pressures unless accompanied by increases in worker productivity.

In a worst-case scenario, a dreaded wage-price spiral could take place and keep inflation at worrisomely high levels.

Looking ahead: “If we see more numbers like this moving forward, we can be optimistic about this year. Employment is growing at a strong rate and joblessness is getting closer and closer to pre-pandemic levels,” said Indeed Hiring Lab Research Director Nick Bunker. “Still, in these uncertain times, we cannot take anything for granted.”

“What this tells me is that the U.S. economy is open for business. Omicron is in the past, and businesses expect demand to remain strong going forward,” said John Leer, chief economist at Morning Consult.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.53%

and S&P 500
SPX,
-0.79%

were sank in Friday trades. Stocks have been under pressure the past week since the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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