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UFC Fight Island 2 predictions – MMA Fighting

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The road to flyweight stability has been a rockier one than anyone could have expected.

When it became clear last year that Henry Cejudo was more interested in chasing a second title than defending the 125-pound belt, the next step was clear: Match up top contenders Deiveson Figueiredo and Joseph Benavidez for the title and move on.

If only it were that simple. Ahead of their first crack at the vacant title in February, Figueiredo missed weight, meaning only Benavidez was eligible to win it. Then Figueiredo beat Benavidez, meaning the title would remain vacant, and to further muddy up matters, there was evidence that an accidental headbutt contributed to Figueiredo finishing Benavidez.

No problem, just book the rematch, right? Done and done, UFC Fight Island 2 here we come. Except it was revealed the weekend before Saturday’s bout that Figueiredo had tested positive for COVID-19. We know now that he tested positive for antibodies and not the active virus, but there was still the matter of flying to Abu Dhabi, getting more tests, and somehow making weight through all that.

The good news is that Figueiredo made weight, as did Benavidez, so we have ourselves a title fight – and at last a new champion come Sunday morning. Unless of course, someone lands a cup-shattering kick at some point, and then we start this whole cycle over again.

In other main card action: middleweight contenders Jack Hermansson and Kelvin Gastelum look to get back in the win column; Marc Diakiese takes on lightweight prospect Rafael Fiziev; former Konfrontacja Sztuk Walki flyweight champion Ariane Lipski fights Luana Carolina; and Alexandre Pantoja defends his spot in the flyweight rankings against unbeaten Askar Askarov.

What: UFC Fight Island 2

Where: Yas Island in Abu Dhabi

When: Saturday, July 18. The entire event will air on ESPN+, with the seven-fight preliminaries starting at 5 p.m. ET, and the five-fight main card starting at 8 p.m. ET.


Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Joseph Benavidez

The second meeting between Deiveson Figueiredo and Joseph Benavidez shouldn’t look all that different from the first as far as their approach. Figueiredo proved in the first fight that he’s a finisher without parallel at 125 pounds, while Benavidez played his part of crafty and resilient vet to a tee.

Conventional wisdom states that the longer the fight goes, it should benefit Benavidez if only because of how gifted he is at adapting to his opponents. Until that fateful collision of skulls, Benavidez looked to be finding his rhythm against Figueiredo. He had the greatest respect for Figueiredo’s power and made sure to stick and move rather than brawl. Keeping Figueiredo off of him will be paramount to his success.

On the other hand, Benavidez has always had exceptional punching power for his size, which is why he’d probably be willing to bang it out if the fight goes in that direction. That’s exactly what Figueiredo would want, though, because he’ll be hunting for nothing less than a finish, especially if he can become the first fighter to submit Benavidez.

If you expect the rematch to end before the final bell, then Figueiredo is the smart choice. But I’m leaning toward a decision this time around, and in that scenario, I see Benavidez finally wrapping UFC gold around his waist.

Pick: Benavidez

Jack Hermansson vs. Kelvin Gastelum

On paper, Jack Hermansson is a nightmarish matchup for Kelvin Gastelum, isn’t he? The rangy Swede is going to keep Gastelum at bay with that sharp jab, and he’s a strong enough grappler to counter Gastelum’s wrestling. If all goes well for Hermansson, he could become just the second fighter to finish Gastelum.

But here comes the classic “A.K. Swerve,” where I finish explaining why one fighter will win only to pick their opponent for no discernible reason.

In this case, it’s not difficult to explain how Gastelum can get the nod here. Yes, he’s at a perpetual size disadvantage, but his endless gas tank keeps him in every fight, and he has a way of drawing his opponents into straightforward striking battles. It’s a formula that hasn’t paid dividends for him in his past two outings, but there’s no shame in falling short in the standup against Israel Adesanya and Darren Till. In both those fights, Gastelum was one or two moments away from changing the narrative.

In a five-round fight, I’d favor Gastelum even more. As it is, I still like him to pressure Hermansson early and stay in his face for 15 minutes en route to a decision and a possible “Fight of the Night” award for both men.

Pick: Gastelum

Marc Diakiese vs. Rafael Fiziev

The most dangerous addition to Marc Diakiese’s game in the past two years might be patience. A fundamentally solid striker to begin with, Diakiese has learned a lot in his seven UFC fights thus far and appears to have turned a corner as far as consistently putting together winning three-round performances.

In Fiziev, Diakiese faces an aggressive prospect with fast hands. As soon as Fiziev gets in range he’s going to throw haymakers, and Diakiese will have to show that his defensive improvements are legitimate. The opening for a counter will be there for Diakiese if he can figure Fiziev out. Until he does, though, the threat of a Fiziev knockout blow looms.

The best strategy for Diakiese will be to slow Fiziev with leg kicks and mix in takedown attempts to throw Fiziev off of his game. Fiziev is one to watch at 155 pounds, he’s just not well-rounded enough yet to outpoint Diakiese.

Pick: Diakiese

Ariane Lipski vs. Luana Carolina

There’s a lot to like about the relatively raw Luana Carolina. The 27-year-old doesn’t always look the most coordinated, but she’s got a good motor and a creative mind when it comes to experimenting with techniques in the middle of a fight. She’s a good pairing for Lipski, herself an active fighter on the feet.

In her most recent outing, “The Violence Queen” finally flashed the hands that earned her that moniker, and she’ll have ample opportunity to do so against Carolina as well. Lipski can get a little wild, but she’s still far more experienced against quality competition than Carolina, and that’s going to pay off here. These two are going to tee off, and when the dust clears, it’s Lipski who will emerge victorious.

Pick: Lipski

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Askar Askarov

Up until Friday morning, Alexandre Pantoja thought there was a chance he’d be fighting for the flyweight title should Figueiredo or Benavidez fail to make weight. Now he has to mentally shift gears back to Askar Askarov, a dangerous prospect who can match Pantoja’s finishing ability.

Pantoja is the definition of explosive. There’s no wasted motion when he’s feeling out his opponents, which can lead to some moments of inactivity, but also excitement once he uncoils his hands. He has a killer instinct that can’t be taught.

Askarov hasn’t been able to find his finishing touch in the UFC so far, but you get the sense that he’s a highlight waiting to happen. His fast hands robbed Tim Elliott of his senses in his previous fight, and were it not for Elliott’s toughness, Askarov likely would have put him away. Askarov is also incredibly strong, and if he chooses to turn this into a wrestling contest, that could be a major problem for Pantoja.

This will be a back-and-forth battle that could go either way, but I’m leaning toward Pantoja to be slightly better on the feet and get the job done.

Pick: Pantoja

Preliminaries

Roman Dolidze def. Khadis Ibragimov

Grant Dawson def. Nad Narimani

Joseph Duffy def. Joel Alvarez

Brett Johns def. Montel Jackson

Amir Albazi def. Malcolm Gordon

Arman Tsarukyan def. Davi Ramos

Serghei Spivac def. Carlos Felipe

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Soccer legend Christine Sinclair says goodbye in Vancouver |

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Christine Sinclair scored one final goal at B.C. Place, helping the Portland Thorns to a 6-0 victory over the Whitecaps Girls Elite team. The soccer legend has announced she’ll retire from professional soccer at the end of the National Women’s Soccer League season. (Oct. 16, 2024)

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A German in charge of England? Nationality matters less than it used to in international soccer

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The question was inevitable.

At his first news conference as England’s newly appointed head coach, Thomas Tuchel – a German – was asked on Wednesday what message he had for fans who would have preferred an Englishman in charge of their beloved national team.

“I’m sorry, I just have a German passport,” he said, laughing, and went on to profess his love for English football and the country itself. “I will do everything to show respect to this role and to this country.”

The soccer rivalry between England and Germany runs deep and it’s likely Tuchel’s passport will be used against him if he doesn’t deliver results for a nation that hasn’t lifted a men’s trophy since 1966. But his appointment as England’s third foreign coach shows that, increasingly, even the top countries in the sport are abandoning the long-held belief that the national team must be led by one of their own.

Four of the top nine teams in the FIFA world rankings now have foreign coaches. Even in Germany, a four-time World Cup winner which has never had a foreign coach, candidates such as Dutchman Louis van Gaal and Austrian Oliver Glasner were considered serious contenders for the top job before the country’s soccer federation last year settled on Julian Nagelsmann, who is German.

“The coaching methods are universal and there for everyone to apply,” said German soccer researcher and author Christoph Wagner, whose recent book “Crossing the Line?” historically addresses Anglo-German rivalry. “It’s more the personality that counts and not the nationality. You could be a great coach, and work with a group of players who aren’t perceptive enough to get your methods.”

Not everyone agrees.

English soccer author and journalist Jonathan Wilson said it was “an admission of failure” for a major soccer nation to have a coach from a different country.

“Personally, I think it should be the best of one country versus the best of another country, and that would probably extend to coaches as well as players,” said Wilson, whose books include “Inverting The Pyramid: The History of Football Tactics.”

“To say we can’t find anyone in our country who is good enough to coach our players,” he said, “I think there is something slightly embarrassing, slightly distasteful about that.”

That sentiment was echoed by British tabloid The Daily Mail, which reported on Tuchel’s appointment with the provocative headline “A Dark Day for England.”

While foreign coaches are often found in smaller countries and those further down the world rankings, they are still a rarity among the traditional powers of the game. Italy, another four-time world champion, has only had Italians in charge. All of Spain’s coaches in its modern-day history have been Spanish nationals. Five-time World Cup winner Brazil has had only Brazilians in charge since 1965, and two-time world champion France only Frenchmen since 1975.

And it remains the case that every World Cup-winning team, since the first tournament in 1930, has been coached by a native of that country. The situation is similar for the women’s World Cup, which has never been won by a team with a foreign coach, though Jill Ellis, who led the U.S. to two trophies, is a naturalized U.S. citizen born in England.

Some coaches have made a career out of jumping from one national team to the next. Lars Lagerbäck, 76, coached his native Sweden between 2000-09 and went on to lead the national teams of Nigeria, Iceland and Norway.

“I couldn’t say I felt any big difference,” Lagerbäck told The Associated Press. “I felt they were my teams and the people’s teams.”

For Lagerbäck, the obvious disadvantages of coaching a foreign country were any language difficulties and having to adapt to a new culture, which he particularly felt during his brief time with Nigeria in 2010 when he led the African country at the World Cup.

Otherwise, he said, “it depends on the results” — and Lagerbäck is remembered with fondness in Iceland, especially, after leading the country to Euro 2016 for its first ever international tournament, where it knocked out England in the round of 16.

Lagerbäck pointed to the strong education and sheer number of coaches available in soccer powers like Spain and Italy to explain why they haven’t needed to turn to an overseas coach. At this year’s European Championship, five of the coaches were from Italy and the winning coach was Luis de la Fuente, who was promoted to Spain’s senior team after being in charge of the youth teams.

Portugal for the first time looked outside its own borders or Brazil, with which it has historical ties, when it appointed Spaniard Roberto Martinez as national team coach last year. Also last year, Brazil tried — and ultimately failed — to court Real Madrid’s Italian coach Carlo Ancelotti, with Brazilian soccer federation president Ednaldo Rodrigues saying: “It doesn’t matter if it’s a foreigner or a Brazilian, there’s no prejudice about the nationality.”

The United States has had a long list of foreign coaches before Mauricio Pochettino, the Argentine former Chelsea manager who took over as the men’s head coach this year.

The English Football Association certainly had no qualms making Tuchel the national team’s third foreign-born coach, after Swede Sven-Goran Eriksson (2001-06) and Italian Fabio Capello (2008-12), simply believing he was the best available coach on the market.

Unlike Eriksson and Capello, Tuchel at least had previous experience of working in English soccer — he won the Champions League in an 18-month spell with Chelsea — and he also speaks better English.

That won’t satisfy all the nay-sayers, though.

“Hopefully I can convince them and show them and prove to them that I’m proud to be the English manager,” Tuchel said.

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AP Sports Writer Jerome Pugmire in Paris contributed to this story.

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Maple Leafs winger Bobby McMann finding game after opening-night scratch

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TORONTO – Bobby McMann watched from the press box on opening night.

Just over a week later, the Maple Leafs winger took a twirl as the first star.

McMann went from healthy scratch to unlikely offensive focal point in just eight days, putting up two goals in Toronto’s 6-2 victory over the Los Angeles Kings on Wednesday.

The odd man out at the Bell Centre against the Montreal Canadiens, he’s slowly earning the trust of first-year head coach Craig Berube.

“There’s a lot of good players on this team,” McMann said of his reaction to sitting out Game 1. “Maybe some guys fit better in certain scenarios than others … just knowing that my opportunity would come.”

The Wainwright, Alta., product skated on the second line with William Nylander and Max Domi against Los Angeles, finishing with those two goals, three hits and a plus-3 rating in just over 14 minutes of work.

“He’s been unbelievable,” said Nylander, who’s tied with McMann for the team lead with three goals. “It’s great when a player like that comes in.”

The 28-year-old burst onto the scene last February when he went from projected scratch to hat-trick hero in a single day after then-captain John Tavares fell ill.

McMann would finish 2023-24 with 15 goals and 24 points in 56 games before a knee injury ruled him out of Toronto’s first-round playoff loss to the Boston Bruins.

“Any time you have success, it helps the confidence,” he said. “But I always trust the abilities and trust that they’re there whether things are going in or (I’m not) getting points. Just trying to play my game and trust that doing the little things right will pay off.”

McMann was among the Leafs’ best players against the Kings — and not just because of what he did on the scoresheet. The forward got into a scuffle with Phillip Danault in the second period before crushing Mikey Anderson with a clean hit in the third.

“He’s a power forward,” Berube said. “That’s how he should think the game, night in and night out, as being a power forward with his skating and his size. He doesn’t have to complicate the game.”

Leafs goaltender Anthony Stolarz knew nothing about McMann before joining Toronto in free agency over the summer.

“Great two-way player,” said the netminder. “Extremely physical and moves really well, has a good shot. He’s a key player for us in our depth. I was really happy for him to get those two goals.

“Works his butt off.”

ON TARGET

Leafs captain Auston Matthews, who scored 69 times last season, ripped his first goal of 2024-25 after going without a point through the first three games.

“It’s not going to go in every night,” said Matthews, who added two assists against the Kings. “It’s good to see one fall … a little bit of the weight lifted off your shoulders.”

WAKE-UP CALL

Berube was animated on the bench during a third-period timeout after the Kings cut a 5-0 deficit to 5-2.

“Taking care of the puck, being harder in our zone,” Matthews said of the message. “There were times in the game, early in the second, in the third period, where the momentum shifted and we needed to grab it back.”

PATCHES SITS

Toronto winger Max Pacioretty was a healthy scratch after dressing the first three games.

“There’s no message,” Berube said of the 35-year-old’s omission. “We have extra players and not everybody can play every night. That’s the bottom line. He’s been fine when he’s played, but I’ve got to make decisions as a coach, and I’m going to make those decisions — what I think is best for the team.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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