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UP, Gujarat among top 5 states in new investments; Kerala, Assam at bottom – The Indian Express

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Five states accounted for more than half of the total bank-assisted investment proposals made during the year 2022-23, mirroring the skewed pattern of industrialisation in the country. On the other hand, overall investment plans shot up by 79.50 per cent with a record capital outlay of Rs 352,624 crore — the highest since 2014-15 — despite a rise in interest rates in the banking system during the year, says a study by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).

As many as 547 projects got assistance from banks and financial institutions during 2022-23 with a record high total project cost of Rs 2,66,547 crore as compared to 401 projects with a total project cost of Rs 1,41,976 crore during 2021-22, a surge of 87.7 per cent, says the study conducted by an RBI team. “The envisaged total cost of the projects financed by banks and financial institutions reached a new peak during 2022-23 since 2014-15,” the study says.

The state-wise distribution of new investments has revealed that the top five states — Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Odisha, Maharashtra and Karnataka — together accounted for 57.2 per cent share (or Rs 2,01,700 crore) in total project cost during 2022-23, higher than 43.2 per cent share during 2021-22, the central bank study says.

In 2022-23, Uttar Pradesh accounted for the highest share of 16.2 per cent, or Rs 43,180 crore, in the total cost of projects sanctioned by banks and financial institutions, followed by Gujarat (14 per cent, or Rs 37,317 crore), Odisha (11.8 per cent), Maharashtra (7.9 per cent) and Karnataka (7.3 per cent). The share of Uttar Pradesh and Odisha in the total cost of projects improved significantly from the previous year as well as the average share recorded during the period 2013-14 to 2020-21. “These would be intentions based on data from banks and FIs when they give loans where phasing is provided. CMIE data for June shows a rise but heavy concentration in airlines,” said Madan Sabnavis, Chief Economist, Bank of Baroda.

Overall, investment plans of 982 projects were made during 2022-23, with record capital outlay of Rs 3,52,624 crore – higher than the level seen since 2014-15 – as against 791 projects in 2021-22 with investment intentions of Rs 1,96,445 crore, a surge of 79.50 per cent, the RBI study says. These projects included those assisted by banks, private fund mobilisation and overseas borrowings.

Significantly, the rise in new investments has happened at a time when the RBI hiked the repo rate (the rate at which the RBI lends to banks) by 250 basis points to 6.50 per cent since April 2022. Despite the rise, credit offtake has shot up by 19.7 per cent as of July 2023, a year-on-year rise of Rs 24.33 lakh crore.

In bank-assisted projects, Kerala, Goa and Assam are at the bottom of the table in getting the lowest number of new investments. Kerala received just 0.9 per cent (Rs 2,399 crore) of the total investment plans. Assam got just 0.7 per cent, and Goa 0.8 per cent. Haryana and West Bengal also failed to get many investments projects, accounting for around one per cent, or Rs 2,665 crore, of the total projects.

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Overall, a total capital investment of Rs 2,19,649 crore through the various channels of funding was expected to be made by the private corporate sector in 2022-23, recording an increase of 6.7 per cent from the planned phasing of the previous year, primarily led by a rise in capex projects financed by banks/FIs more than offsetting the decline in capital investment through external commercial borrowings (ECB), the RBI said.

According to the study, the phasing profile of the envisaged capex, based on the pipeline projects sanctioned by the banks and FIs in the previous years prior to the reference year, increased from Rs 70,906 crore in 2022-23 to Rs 1,17,182 crore in 2023-24. While based on all channels of financing together, it stood at Rs 1,71,568 crore in 2023-24 as against Rs 94,876 crore in 2022-23.

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75% proposals got credit

THE RBI study gives an indication of how attractive states are among investors. While it does not say if proposals have been implemented, those which receive credit are more likely to take off. In terms of capital outlay in value, almost 75% of investment proposals received bank and institutional credit.

There were eight mega projects (with project cost Rs 5,000 crore and above) and 68 large projects (Rs 1,000 crore-Rs 5,000 crore), sanctioned by banks and FIs during 2022-23, having a share of 27.1 per cent and 41.3 per cent of total project costs, respectively. The phasing plan of large projects may have a bearing on the capex in the longer-term, it said.

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However, the central bank has said the pick-up in investments is largely due to the capital expenditure plans of the government. “Investment activity gained further steam on the back of government capital expenditure, rising business optimism and revival in private capex in certain key sectors,” RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said while unveiling the policy recently.

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The near-term outlook for private investment activity in India is gauged from project investment proposals of the private corporate sector, it said. “A sustained pick-up in bank credit in recent periods, rising capacity utilisation, improved business outlook and demand conditions and various government policy initiatives to support investment activities provided a conducive environment for the private corporates to undertake fresh capital all India investment,” the RBI study said.

Purpose-wise pattern of projects, according to the study, indicates that investment in green field (new) projects accounted for the largest share of 93.1 per cent in the total cost of projects financed by banks and FIs during 2022-23, in line with the trend seen in the past.

The infrastructure sector, comprising power, telecom, ports and airports, storage and water management, special economic zone (SEZ), industrial, biotech and IT park, and roads & bridges, remained the major sector accounting for 60 per cent share in the total cost of projects during 2022-23, it said. Within the infrastructure sector, roads & bridges held a significant share in the total project cost, supported by the government’s push towards infrastructure projects through the “Bharatmala” initiative.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite tops 24,000 points for first time, U.S. markets also rise Thursday

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index closed above 24,000 for the first time Thursday as strength in base metals and other sectors outweighed losses in energy, while U.S. markets also rose and the S&P 500 notched another record as well.

“Another day, another record,” said Angelo Kourkafas, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones.

“The path of least resistance continues to be higher.”

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 127.95 points at 24,033.83.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 260.36 points at 42,175.11. The S&P 500 index was up 23.11 points at 5,745.37, while the Nasdaq composite was up 108.09 points at 18,190.29.

Markets continue to be optimistic about an economic soft landing, said Kourkafas, after the U.S. Federal Reserve last week announced an outsized cut to its key interest rate following months of speculation about when it would start easing policy.

Economic data Thursday added to the story that the U.S. economy remains resilient despite higher rates, said Kourkafas.

The U.S. economy grew at a three-per-cent annual rate in the second quarter, one report said, picking up from the first quarter of the year. Another report showed fewer U.S. workers applied for unemployment benefits last week.

The data shows “the economy remains on strong footing while the Fed is pivoting now in a decisive way towards an easier policy,” said Kourkafas.

The Fed’s decisive move gave investors more reason to believe that a soft landing is still the “base case scenario,” he said, “and likely reduces the downside risks for a recession by having the Fed moving too late or falling behind the curve.”

North of the border, the TSX usually gets a boost from Wall St. strength, said Kourkafas, but on Thursday the index also reflected some optimism of its own as the Bank of Canada has already cut rates three times to address weakening in the economy.

“The Bank of Canada likely now will be emboldened by the Fed,” he said.

“They didn’t want to move too far ahead of the Fed, and now that the Fed moved in a bigger-than-expected way, that provides more room for the Bank of Canada to cut as aggressively as needed to support the economy, given that inflation is within the target range.”

The TSX has also been benefiting from strength in materials after China’s central bank announced several measures meant to support the company’s economy, said Kourkafas.

However, energy stocks dragged on the Canadian index as oil prices fell Thursday following a report that Saudi Arabia was preparing to abandon its unofficial US$100-per-barrel price target for crude as it prepares to increase its output.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.22 cents US compared with 74.28 cents US on Wednesday.

The November crude oil contract was down US$2.02 at US$67.67 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down seven cents at US$2.75 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$10.20 at US$2,694.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up 15 cents at US$4.64 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stocks also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in the base metal sector, while U.S. stock markets were also higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was 143.00 points at 24,048.88.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 174.22 points at 42,088.97. The S&P 500 index was up 10.23 points at 5,732.49, while the Nasdaq composite was up 30.02 points at 18,112.23.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.23 cents US compared with 74.28 cents US on Wednesday.

The November crude oil contract was down US$1.68 at US$68.01 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down six cents at US$2.75 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$4.40 at US$2,689.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up 13 cents at US$4.62 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Investment

Tempted to switch to an online-only bank? Know the perks and drawbacks

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Switching to an online-only bank more than a decade ago was just another way Jessica Morgan was trying to save money at the time as a new grad.

“Saving money was the main motivator,” Morgan, now a financial educator and founder of Canadianbudget.ca, recalled.

“After graduating, you no longer qualify for student rates where you might get free banking and I didn’t want to go back to paying fees for giving the bank my money to hold.”

Digital lenders have grown in popularity in recent years, with more players popping up in the sector and traditional banks beefing up their online offerings. But some Canadians may still be hesitant to bank with a financial firm that doesn’t have physical branches where you can talk to an employee face-to-face.

Natasha Macmillan, director of everyday banking at Ratehub.ca, says some of that hesitancy to switch to an online lender is loyalty.

“There’s a large portion of Canadians who have had the same bank account for many years … they’re just hesitant to switch because it’s what they know.”

Tedious paperwork to switch banks can also discourage many Canadians from making the move despite the ease of opening online-only bank accounts, Macmillan added.

“There’s that aspect of you still need to sit down, do your research and then pick that online-only bank,” she said.

Data security concerns have also sowed seeds of doubt among many who are contemplating the switch, and prefer to continue to work with traditional banks with long-established reputations, Macmillan said.

Morgan said she often hears concerns from her clients — “What if I need help? Is this bank safe to use?” or more logistical questions, such as having access to an ATM or getting certified cheques.

One of the only major snags she personally recalls running into with her online lender was when she was purchasing a home.

“I needed to get a certified cheque, like, right away if I was going to put in an offer,” Morgan said. “You can get a certified cheque but it takes three days or so. They courier it to you.” She ended up going to her husband’s traditional bank to get day-of service.

Most online-only banks tend to offer banking products, such as savings accounts, with higher interest rates compared with traditional banks. Many also offer access to cash through any bank ATM without charge.

“Digital banks have generally a lower cost structure than a traditional bank and those savings will be passed on to the customer,” said Mahima Poddar, group head of personal banking at EQ Bank. For example, EQ offers a high-interest chequing account with no fees on everyday banking and unlimited transactions.

But customers should be aware they can’t deposit cash into their account and they can only withdraw bills, not coins.

“We don’t offer depositing of cash, but all of our research has shown that the use of cash is really diminishing,” Poddar said. “There are very few reasons why you need to urgently deposit.”

Customers also have to get used to doing all their banking by phone or through the company’s website or app.

Poddar added she thinks Canadians are more open to change, especially after the COVID-19 pandemic, which accelerated the need for better online banking services.

While trust in traditional institutions plays a strong role in choosing a bank, Poddar said EQ has the same level of protection and is governed by the same regulators as the big six banks in the country.

Lisa Brandt, 61, switched to online-only Manulife Bank more than five years ago. She says she has benefited from the move and has saved a lot of money over time on various banking fees.

“It puts me in the driver’s seat,” she said.

However, she did run into an issue once with depositing a cheque after she sold her home.

“If you’re going to deposit a couple hundred thousand dollars from a house sale, you’ll have to courier (the cheque) to them,” she said.

“It’s not quite as simple as walking into a branch and saying, ‘Give me my money.'”

While many online-only banks have been growing their consumer banking product offerings, traditional banks tend to have more financial product options, not only for individuals but also for small businesses.

“What we have heard from some Canadians is while they might be moving their chequing, savings and GIC accounts to those (online-only) spaces, they’re still maintaining a mortgage with the big players,” Macmillan said.

It’s not about moving all assets to one bank but weighing options on an individual basis, such as picking a bank with the lowest fee on a chequing account but moving investments to another bank for a better return, she explained.

“We’re starting to see that flexibility where people are shopping around for the best opportunity that can give them the most bang for their buck,” Macmillan said.

She added it is important for people to identify why they’re thinking of switching and find an online-only bank that aligns with their goals.

“It’s finding that happy medium where you do feel trust and security, that lower cost and fees and also the convenience and accessibility,” Macmillan said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

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