adplus-dvertising
Connect with us

Economy

US Dollar raise after U.S. data, but on track for largest monthly fall since July

Published

 on

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The dollar rose on Friday, extending gains after upbeat data on U.S. personal income and spending as well as manufacturing in the U.S. Midwest, with market participants also taking profits on the currency’s short dollar positions this month.

The dollar index was down 2.4% for the month of April, its worst monthly performance since July 2020.

Data showing a 4.2% rebound in U.S. consumer spending in March, amid a 21.1% surge in income as households received additional COVID-19 relief money from the government, supported the dollar. That led to a 0.4% rise in the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, compared with a gain of 0.3% the previous month.

“This will be the third time this year that the PCE reading has beaten expectations,” Adam Corbett, currency analyst, at Cambridge Global Payments, said in a research note after the data.

“Fed Chair Jerome Powell remained firm on the Fed’s interest rate path and QE (quantitative easing) program on Wednesday, leaving traders with the uncomfortable feeling inflation could run away – and run away quickly.”

Similarly, the dollar also gained after the Chicago Purchasing Management Index (PMI) showed a reading for April of 72.1, the highest in almost four decades.

In mid-morning trading, the dollar index was set to end the week flat, although still down 2.4% for the month as a whole. It was last up 0.4% at 91.007.

“This current strength in the dollar is likely a pivot to that seasonal trend that we tend to see in May and June,” said Mazen Issa, senior currency strategist at TD Securities in New York.

“Basically on the last day of Q1, we saw the dollar turn around to the softer side and continued unabated since, despite strong payrolls at the start of April. Seasonal trends suggest that April is one of the weaker months for the dollar.”

For a graphic on Dollar heads for fourth weekly loss:

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/xegvbxrqovq/DXY.png

The Canadian dollar climbed to a more-than three-year high of C$1.2268 per greenback on Friday, on track for a 1.6% weekly gain that would be its biggest since the start of November. The U.S. dollar was last flat at C$1.2280.

After the Fed’s policy meeting on Wednesday, Powell acknowledged the U.S. economy’s growth, but said there was not yet enough evidence of “substantial further progress” toward recovery to warrant a change to its ultra-loose monetary settings.

The Fed’s dovishness was in marked contrast to the Bank of Canada, which has already begun to taper its asset purchases. Canada’s commodity-linked loonie got additional support from a surge in oil to a six-week peak, along with higher lumber prices.

Rising commodity prices earlier supported the Australian dollar, but in New York session it was down 0.3% at US$0.7740 because of broad dollar strength.

The euro traded 0.4% lower at $1.2071. It was up nearly 3% for the month versus the dollar and down 0.2% on the week.

The dollar also rose against the yen, up 0.1% at 109.05 <JPY=EBS>, rising 1% for the week.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 10:48AM (1448 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 90.9450 90.6200 +0.37% 1.071% +91.0450 +90.5880

Euro/Dollar $1.2075 $1.2122 -0.38% -1.17% +$1.2127 +$1.2061

Dollar/Yen 109.0750 108.9150 +0.15% +5.57% +109.1200 +108.7100

Euro/Yen 131.71 131.99 -0.21% +3.77% +132.1900 +131.4600

Dollar/Swiss 0.9105 0.9089 +0.19% +2.93% +0.9118 +0.9082

Sterling/Dollar $1.3867 $1.3946 -0.56% +1.50% +$1.3958 +$1.3845

Dollar/Canadian 1.2284 1.2278 +0.05% -3.53% +1.2294 +1.2266

Aussie/Dollar $0.7739 $0.7766 -0.34% +0.60% +$0.7784 +$0.7731

Euro/Swiss 1.0994 1.1013 -0.17% +1.73% +1.1022 +1.0985

Euro/Sterling 0.8706 0.8691 +0.17% -2.58% +0.8717 +0.8682

NZ $0.7196 $0.7243 -0.60% +0.25% +$0.7254 +$0.7192

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 8.2715 8.1895 +1.12% -3.56% +8.2815 +8.1820

Euro/Norway 9.9880 9.9355 +0.53% -4.58% +9.9915 +9.9215

Dollar/Sweden 8.4203 8.3705 +0.21% +2.73% +8.4257 +8.3620

Euro/Sweden 10.1677 10.1460 +0.21% +0.91% +10.1746 +10.1385

(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Additional reporting by Ritvik Carvalho, Editing by Hugh Lawson and Mark Heinrich)

Continue Reading

Economy

How will the U.S. election impact the Canadian economy? – BNN Bloomberg

Published

 on


[unable to retrieve full-text content]

How will the U.S. election impact the Canadian economy?  BNN Bloomberg

728x90x4

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Trump and Musk promise economic 'hardship' — and voters are noticing – MSNBC

Published

 on


[unable to retrieve full-text content]

Trump and Musk promise economic ‘hardship’ — and voters are noticing  MSNBC

728x90x4

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Economy stalled in August, Q3 growth looks to fall short of Bank of Canada estimates

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – The Canadian economy was flat in August as high interest rates continued to weigh on consumers and businesses, while a preliminary estimate suggests it grew at an annualized rate of one per cent in the third quarter.

Statistics Canada’s gross domestic product report Thursday says growth in services-producing industries in August were offset by declines in goods-producing industries.

The manufacturing sector was the largest drag on the economy, followed by utilities, wholesale and trade and transportation and warehousing.

The report noted shutdowns at Canada’s two largest railways contributed to a decline in transportation and warehousing.

A preliminary estimate for September suggests real gross domestic product grew by 0.3 per cent.

Statistics Canada’s estimate for the third quarter is weaker than the Bank of Canada’s projection of 1.5 per cent annualized growth.

The latest economic figures suggest ongoing weakness in the Canadian economy, giving the central bank room to continue cutting interest rates.

But the size of that cut is still uncertain, with lots more data to come on inflation and the economy before the Bank of Canada’s next rate decision on Dec. 11.

“We don’t think this will ring any alarm bells for the (Bank of Canada) but it puts more emphasis on their fears around a weakening economy,” TD economist Marc Ercolao wrote.

The central bank has acknowledged repeatedly the economy is weak and that growth needs to pick back up.

Last week, the Bank of Canada delivered a half-percentage point interest rate cut in response to inflation returning to its two per cent target.

Governor Tiff Macklem wouldn’t say whether the central bank will follow up with another jumbo cut in December and instead said the central bank will take interest rate decisions one a time based on incoming economic data.

The central bank is expecting economic growth to rebound next year as rate cuts filter through the economy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 31, 2024

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending