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US stocks surge the most since June 2020 – Al Jazeera English

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Global stocks staged a ferocious rebound from the war-induced rout, with European equities notching the biggest rally since the pandemic bottom in March 2020 and U.S. shares jumping the most intraday since November of that year. Oil sank more than 10% and Treasuries dropped.

Dip buyers powered the S&P 500 up almost 3% and Germany’s DAX Index to an eye-popping 7.9% surge on speculation that two weeks of selling amply reflected the global economic impact of escalating sanctions on Russia. Oil slid below $110 a barrel in New York and the 10-year Treasury yield climbed back above 1.9%.

Still, the rallies managed to claw back only some of the losses incurred since Russia invaded Ukraine. The DAX had plunged into a bear market earlier this week, while the S&P 500 is still sitting 10% below where it started the year. West Texas crude has added almost $20 a barrel in two weeks, and other commodities from nickel to wheat remain near historically high prices.

The risk-on rally is the latest wild ride for markets have been roiled by fears of a global inflation shock from a commodity-price rally fueled by Russia’s isolation, while supply disruptions threaten to usher in a period of slower global growth. Sentiment was lifted Wednesday after a top foreign policy aide to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said the country is open to discussing Russia’s demand of neutrality as long as it’s given security guarantees.

“Risk markets are higher today, suggesting traders are no longer in flight mode and are starting to think about value again,” said Chris Low, chief economist at FHN Financial. “That doesn’t mean volatility is over. Economic consequences, macro and micro, are still in flux. The West is still working on sanctions for Russian energy, and the duration and outcome of the war is still a big unknown.”

The rally in U.S. stocks Wednesday comes on the 13th anniversary since the S&P 500 bottomed out following the financial crisis. The gauge has climbed more than 500% in this bull market, with an annual return of about 15%.

The S&P 500 is up 532% since bottoming out after the financial crisis

Russian forces intensified their bombardment of Ukraine’s capital Kyiv, the U.S. said. The Russian stock market’s trading halt is being extended in an effort to keep prices from tumbling in the wake of vast international sanctions.

Meanwhile, Coca-Cola Co. joined McDonald’s Corp., Starbucks Corp. and a host of other companies in suspending Russia operations in protest at the war. Fitch Ratings cut Russia’s credit rating and said a bond default is “imminent.”

Oil tumbled as the U.A.E. and Iraq signaled OPEC may have greater willingness to raise output. Crude has posted huge intraday swings in recent days as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine threatens a major global supply shock. Declines in crude and gas Wednesday are reversing some of the main trades seen since war broke out.

“What we’re seeing today is a lot of focus on commodity prices,” Michelle Cluver, associate portfolio strategist at Global X, said in a phone interview. “We are also seeing, especially with what’s happened with banning energy imports from Russia, the question about economic growth increasingly coming to the forefront.”

Enormous Loss

Commodity costs underline the inflation challenge and growth dilemma facing central banks. The European Central Bank meeting Thursday may reflect caution as the war on Ukraine has upended the continent’s economic outlook, while bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike have been scaled back over the past few weeks, with a quarter point now widely expected. Still, with U.S. inflation data due Thursday set to capture prewar prices, economists are now saying it could peak somewhere in the 8%-9% range this month or next.

Commodities broadly pulled back from highs, with gold dropping from a 19-month high on improved risk sentiment. Bullion is still up 9% this year as investors seek a hedge against the threat of an inflationary shock.

In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin jumped above $42,000 amid a sharp rally in digital tokens, spurred by optimism about an impending U.S. overhaul of crypto oversight that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called “historic.”

For more markets news, follow our Markets Live blog.

Here are some key events this week:

  • European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde briefing after policy meeting, Thursday
  • U.S. CPI, initial jobless claims, Thursday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The S&P 500 rose 2.9% as of 3:25 p.m. New York time
  • The Nasdaq 100 rose 3.8%
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.3%
  • The MSCI World index rose 2.9%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 1%
  • The euro rose 1.6% to $1.1074
  • The British pound rose 0.6% to $1.3185
  • The Japanese yen fell 0.1% to 115.81 per dollar

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced eight basis points to 1.93%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield advanced 10 basis points to 0.22%
  • Britain’s 10-year yield advanced eight basis points to 1.53%

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude fell 11% to $109.65 a barrel
  • Gold futures fell 2.3% to $1,996.30 an ounce–With assistance from Akshay Chinchalkar, Sharon Cho, Andreea Papuc, Srinivasan Sivabalan and Peyton Forte.

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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