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USD/CAD, GBP/CAD, AUD/CAD Rates Soar. BoC, BoE Next Rate Move Eyed – DailyFX

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Canadian Dollar, BoC, British Pound, CBI, BoE, Australian Dollar – Asia Pacific Market Open

  • USD/CAD, AUD/CAD, NZD/CAD, GPB/CAD rise on dovish BoC
  • British Pound up, business confidence cooled BoE rate cut hopes
  • Australian Dollar may see elevated volatility on local jobs report

Canadian Dollar Sinks on BoC, British Pound Soars on Upbeat UK CBI Data

The Canadian Dollar was the worst-performing major currency on Wednesday, struck down by relatively dovish commentary from the Bank of Canada (BoC). AUD/CAD, NZD/CAD, EUR/CAD, and USD/CAD rose. Conversely, the British Pound outperformed against its major peers as better-than-expected local data poured cold water on easing expectations from the Bank of England (BoE). GBP/CAD rose 1.2 percent.

Stephen Poloz, Governor of the BoC, spoke after today’s expected rate hold (at 1.75%) and said that the door is open to a cut “if needed”. He added that the central bank’s view was that easing today was not warranted “at this time”. The tone was a noticeable shift from earlier commentary. Odds of a 25-bp rate cut at the June monetary policy announcement are now at 68.2% according to overnight index swaps.

Across the Atlantic Ocean, the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) reported business optimism at its highest since April 2014 in January. The British Pound soared alongside local front-end government bond yields, pushing GBP/USD to break above a Symmetrical Triangle as expected. Odds of a 25-bp rate cut from the BoE at the end of this month have cooled slightly, but they remain close to evenly split.

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Thursday’s Asia Pacific Trading Session – Australian Dollar, AUD/USD

Sentiment deteriorated by the end of Wednesday’s Wall Street trading session as the S&P 500 and Dow Jones gave up their upside gaps and finished little changed. Fears about the coronavirus breakout in central China remain, and the deterioration in market mood has impacted risk-sensitive crude oil prices. WTI closed at the lowest since the beginning of December.

S&P 500 futures are pointing little lower heading into Thursday’s Asia Pacific trading session. A “risk off” tone could spell trouble for the sentiment-linked Australian Dollar. Its focus though will likely be on the upcoming local jobs report. RBA rate cut bets are about 60% (25-bp) for February according to cash rate futures. This means that Australia’s jobs report could spell volatility for AUD/USD.

Join me on Thursday at 00:15 GMT as I cover the Australian jobs reportLIVE and its impact on the AUD/USD outlook!

Canadian Dollar Technical Analysis

USD/CAD accelerated its near-term ascent after bottoming earlier this month, as anticipated via trader positioning signals. Prices paused gains on key resistance at the upper edge of the psychological barrier between 1.3111 – 1.3134. Form here, confirming a breakout to the upside opens the door to testing 1.3208 before aiming for the December peak just under 1.3328.

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USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD, GBP/CAD, AUD/CAD Rates Soar. BoC, BoE Next Rate Move Eyed

Chart Created Using TradingView

— Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

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