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Economy

‘Weird Economy’ Will Have Big Impact on US Midterms, NJ’s Murphy Says

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(Bloomberg) — A “weird” economy toughens Democratic candidates’ bids in the US midterm elections on Nov. 8, despite steps lawmakers have taken on tax relief and inflation, New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy said.

Murphy, a 65-year-old retired Goldman Sachs Group Inc. senior director, said he supports an interest-rate increase of 75 basis points to stanch inflation.

“These are factors that are beyond our control, whether it’s Covid relief or a war in Europe — there’s no other choice but to be aggressive and do a Paul Volcker here and get out ahead of this,” Murphy said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Balance of Power With David Westin.”

Volcker, who died three years ago, took control of the Fed for eight years starting in 1979 and cut runaway inflation by raising interest rates. US inflation in September, up 8.2% in a year, is particularly painful in New Jersey, a high-cost state, Murphy said.

“It’s a weird economy,” Murphy said. “We have our lowest unemployment rate ever, below the national average. Our revenues at the state level continue to be solid. We’ve been upgraded three times this year by credit rating companies. We’ve paid debt down. At the same time there’s enormous pain at the kitchen table largely due to affordability.”

Murphy started his second term in January after a far closer-than-expected race against a former Republican state lawmaker. The same pattern is likely to play out during the midterm election next week, when control of the US Congress is at stake, he said.

“You have the normal reality of a midterm election with an incumbent party in the White House so you begin in a tough place and you add to that recovering from a pandemic, inflation, affordability. It will not make the races any easier,” he said.

New Jersey’s tightest congressional race is in the 7th District, a wealth belt that runs through the state’s center, where Democratic incumbent Tom Malinowski and Republican Tom Kean Jr. are in a rematch of their 2020 contest.

Malinowski in 2018 ended a 38-year Republican grip on the seat. Redistricting last year gave Republicans a slight advantage, and the race has taken on national significance as the GOP tries to break the Democrats’ eight-seat majority.

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Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell 1.3% to $69.4B in August

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.

The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.

The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.

Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.

Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.

Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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