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What Comes Next For Embraer? – Simple Flying

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After Boeing and Embraer announced the end of their joint venture plans to cooperate on commercial aircraft yesterday, it was clear that Embraer felt it was wronged. Although indicating that it would seek damages, the Brazilian aircraft manufacturer was keen to partner with the American giant to sell its E2 jets as the A220 gains in popularity.

The question now is what comes next for the aircraft manufacturer. Photo: Getty Images.

The end of the deal

Embraer claims that Boeing wrongfully terminated the joint venture agreement to get out of its financial obligations with the deal. These obligations have their origins from before the MAX crisis and current global downturn. However, Boeing says that Embraer did not meet some of the conditions leading to termination. Neither party offered more details, but Embraer is claiming for damages– most likely in the form of monetary compensation.

Boeing-Embraer Getty
The end of this agreement has left some bad blood between the two manufacturers. Photo: Getty Images.

The E2 is not selling well

At the end of 2019, an Embraer report showed that the E2 family had not sold well. The larger E195-E2 had 165 firm orders with 47 options and seven deliveries. Meanwhile, the E190-E2 had 27 firm orders with 61 options and 11 deliveries. This left Embraer with a backlog of 192 E2 regional aircraft at the start of 2020 compared to the 185 order backlog of E175s and E190s. However, there were some orders not logged in that report– such as KLM Cityhopper’s E2 jet orders. This would increase the backlog slightly.

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KLM E2
KLM has E2 jets on order for regional operations. Photo: KLM

Meanwhile, per the latest Airbus report, there were 94 A220-100s and 548 A220-300s on order. Both the E2 and A220 compete in the 100-130-seat market, which presents a significant problem for Embraer. There are over four times as many orders for A220s than E2s.

This is one reason why Embraer was looking forward to cooperating with Boeing. Boeing has more relations with existing customers and could lean on them to order E2 jets and take a slice of the profit. This would benefit Embraer greatly.

Azul airline Embraer E195E1 Getty Images
Brazilian carrier, Azul, is a major Embraer customer. Photo: Getty Images

If sales do not improve, we think a major overhaul of Embraer’s management team could be in the books to give the manufacturer some new visions and structures to help promote the lagging E2 sales.

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Could Embraer develop a new turboprop?

Previously, Embraer and Boeing appeared to be studying a new turboprop aircraft. A new turboprop would have made a splash in the market and could replace some aging planes.

Embraer could still go ahead with the design. The manufacturer does have a history with turboprops with both the EMB 110 and EMB 120 Brasilia. However, both of those jets were designed, built, and sold in the 20th-century. A revamped version of those planes likely wouldn’t sell well. Instead, Embraer would have to develop a brand new turboprop. Of course, this is easier said than done and would require a huge investment.

Flybe
Embraer could launch a new turboprop. Photo: Getty Images

Nevertheless, a new endeavor like this could be the way to go if the company wants to keep itself known in the passenger aircraft market. Embraer’s specialty is regional jets. Therefore, a new turboprop would add to its portfolio and support the company’s place in regional jet manufacturing.

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A shift to defense and private jets

Two other big arms for Embraer are defense aircraft and private business jets. If the E2 continues with flat sales and a new turboprop design proves unfeasible, then Embraer’s team will likely shift its focus to its defense and private jet divisions and seek to maintain profits.

Embraer defense jet
Embraer could pivot to focus on defense contracts. Photo: Embraer

Defense contracts can be lucrative for aircraft manufacturers. A major customer for Embraer is the Brazilian Air Force. Working directly with the Brazilian government, Embraer could move forth with new defense aircraft designs with guaranteed orders from the government.

Overall

Embraer’s E2 jets are not selling well, and it does not appear that sales will improve any time soon. Moving forward, Embraer has several paths it can take. But, for now, the manufacturer must secure cash flow and design a product that will see guaranteed sales and long-lasting appeal.

What do you think Embraer should do next? Let us know in the comments!

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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