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What playing Monopoly during lockdown can teach Canadians about real estate and cash flow – Financial Post

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Everyone loves a good board game, especially when the internet goes down. In our house, during such times, it’s the tried, tested and true game of Monopoly that often appears on our dining room table. I’ve found that of the many lessons the game teaches, managing cash flow is the key to winning.

My secret strategy — hopefully my family doesn’t read this — is to begin by going after the rail roads: owning all four leads to a $200 charge per hit, which adds up fast and provides an excellent source of cash flow.

I also concurrently use my initial cash hoard to go after the low-to-medium-cost properties but I’m careful not to overdo it so that I can afford to add houses and/or hotels. This really helps build up a nest egg of liquid assets that keeps me in the game.

Trouble usually finds those who either buy too many properties or the most expensive ones, leaving them without enough money to convert those landing spots into cash-flow-generating assets. It then comes down to the roll of the dice.

While the saying goes it’s better to be lucky than smart, I find that being smart means playing the odds and increasing one’s luck. As in the game of Monopoly, Canadians are in love with real estate but often end up making the same mistakes as those in the game do, leaving themselves at the mercy of a dice roll when economic trouble hits.

Instead of keeping a close eye on managing their cash flow and building up a safety net, Canadians have instead gone on a buying binge so significant that residential real estate now accounts for approximately 60 per cent of our net worth, compared to only 40 per cent in the U.S., according to Statistics Canada and U.S. Census Bureau data.

As a result, household spending in Canada is also at 29.5 per cent of disposable income compared to 16 per cent in the U.S., according to OECD National Accounts Statistics. This doesn’t leave much of a cash hoard as deposits, mutual funds, and stocks account for only 28 per cent of Canadians net worth compared to 40 per cent in the U.S. Meanwhile, our household debt as a per cent of net disposable income is at 182 per cent compared to 105 per cent in the U.S.

This helps explain Statistics Canada figures that show that 20 per cent of mortgage borrowers do not have enough liquid assets to cover two months of mortgage payments

So what happens if such a borrower loses their job, or becomes unable to collect rent from an income property or rent it out as an Airbnb?

According to the Canadian Bankers Association, so far more than 700,000 Canadians have opted to defer or skip payments. Should things get worse, unfortunately offloading some of these properties may not be an option with April home sales in Canada falling 57.6 per cent from the same time last year and posting the lowest volume of transactions for the month since 1984, according to CREA.

Then there are those telling investors to buy even more residential real estate within their investment portfolios. While this makes sense for larger multi-family offices and ultra-high-net-worth individuals, remember that they have significantly more cash flow with a lot less liquidity needs and as a result have a much greater ability to stay in the game than you do.

For the average Canadian, it’s not too late to change one’s strategic positioning. A great place to start is by determining how much of one’s balance sheet consists of liquid and illiquid assets and, most importantly, identifying any risks to cash flow. While this approach isn’t as much fun as immediately buying Boardwalk or Park Place, with a bit of luck and some smart repositioning you may not only be able to own them one day but also have the ability to turn them into the powerhouse cash-flow machines they can become.

Martin Pelletier, CFA, is a Portfolio Manager at Wellington-Altus Private Counsel Inc. (formerly TriVest Wealth Counsel Ltd.) a private client and institutional investment firm specializing in discretionary risk-managed portfolios, investment audit/oversight and advanced tax and estate planning.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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