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Economy

Why are Americans unhappy about Biden's economy? – MSNBC

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We keep hearing people say they don’t “feel good about the economy,” and they don’t seem too hopeful for the future. Recent polling from NBC News found only 24% of registered voters believe the economy will get better over the next year. Yet we can point to one economic statistic after another that shows things really are good today, even after last week’s disappointing inflation report. Unemployment has been at or below 4% for more than two years, something we haven’t seen in decades. And despite near universal fears last year of a pending recession, the U.S. economy actually grew 3.1%. Compared to the rest of the world, America is doing great. 

But if you’re like a lot of people, those numbers don’t matter. And we see that message repeated in story after story after story

So maybe the question itself needs reframing: Is it the “economy” Americans are talking about, or is that code for life itself? In other words, how do people feel about life right now? Because there’s a lot out there to leave many of us feeling “meh.”  

Unemployment has been at or below 4% for more than two years, something we haven’t seen in decades.

Here’s an example: Connecting with friends and family. How, where, and when we connect with one another today is very different compared to past generations. After the pandemic, it’s only become worse. It’s been widely documented we are in a crisis of loneliness. The Surgeon General called it a public health crisis that can lead to an increase in premature deaths. Great Britain has designated a minister for loneliness

One county in California, home to Silicon Valley, has declared a public health emergency, which is pretty spot-on considering tech is a major reason why people feel so disconnected. Social media makes it extremely easy to stay in touch with people, but it also can make us feel like we aren’t keeping up with the Joneses.

“We are constantly evaluating ourselves relative to our peers,” said Thomas Plante, a psychology professor at the University of Santa Clara. “This has always been going on, since the dawn of time, but social media makes it on steroids because we are constantly being presented with the filtered, wonderful lives of everyone around us.”

Then there’s the impact of remote working. Working from home has done so much to create job opportunities for people around the globe, but it’s also led to hollowed out city centers and empty office buildings where there are not a lot of people or chances to connect. 

Add to that, fewer Americans are attending church in person or participating in their local community. Today, over a quarter of Americans live alone, compared to just 8% in 1940. And it’s not just adults who are spending less time with other people; student absenteeism has soared across the country since the pandemic.

“We are now more alone in our little world, so we don’t have the community that we used to have,” said Plante. 

This all means voters are experiencing greater isolation and loneliness as we head into the 2024 presidential election. With a likely re-match between a 77-year-old former president and the 81-year-old current president, it’s not surprising that polling shows neither candidate inspiring a feeling of newness or optimism in the way that Barak Obama, Bill Clinton or Ronald Reagan did. 

When you consider all of that and then add to it higher prices on the everyday things that give us joy — say, going to a concert or a sporting event — or when a Happy Meal doesn’t make you happy, then it makes sense that people’s outlook will be impacted.   

To top it all off, we’re dealing with our divided and grievance driven media, the feeling others are getting ahead, worries about Gaza and Ukraine, global warming, if AI will take your job… so when a pollster calls and asks how you’re feeling about the economy, despite the facts and the data, is it really a surprise people don’t feel good?

This is an adapted excerpt from the February 14 episode of “11th Hour.” 

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Economy

Canada’s unemployment rate holds steady at 6.5% in October, economy adds 15,000 jobs

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OTTAWA – Canada’s unemployment rate held steady at 6.5 per cent last month as hiring remained weak across the economy.

Statistics Canada’s labour force survey on Friday said employment rose by a modest 15,000 jobs in October.

Business, building and support services saw the largest gain in employment.

Meanwhile, finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing experienced the largest decline.

Many economists see weakness in the job market continuing in the short term, before the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts spark a rebound in economic growth next year.

Despite ongoing softness in the labour market, however, strong wage growth has raged on in Canada. Average hourly wages in October grew 4.9 per cent from a year ago, reaching $35.76.

Friday’s report also shed some light on the financial health of households.

According to the agency, 28.8 per cent of Canadians aged 15 or older were living in a household that had difficulty meeting financial needs – like food and housing – in the previous four weeks.

That was down from 33.1 per cent in October 2023 and 35.5 per cent in October 2022, but still above the 20.4 per cent figure recorded in October 2020.

People living in a rented home were more likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs, with nearly four in 10 reporting that was the case.

That compares with just under a quarter of those living in an owned home by a household member.

Immigrants were also more likely to report facing financial strain last month, with about four out of 10 immigrants who landed in the last year doing so.

That compares with about three in 10 more established immigrants and one in four of people born in Canada.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Health-care spending expected to outpace economy and reach $372 billion in 2024: CIHI

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The Canadian Institute for Health Information says health-care spending in Canada is projected to reach a new high in 2024.

The annual report released Thursday says total health spending is expected to hit $372 billion, or $9,054 per Canadian.

CIHI’s national analysis predicts expenditures will rise by 5.7 per cent in 2024, compared to 4.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.

This year’s health spending is estimated to represent 12.4 per cent of Canada’s gross domestic product. Excluding two years of the pandemic, it would be the highest ratio in the country’s history.

While it’s not unusual for health expenditures to outpace economic growth, the report says this could be the case for the next several years due to Canada’s growing population and its aging demographic.

Canada’s per capita spending on health care in 2022 was among the highest in the world, but still less than countries such as the United States and Sweden.

The report notes that the Canadian dental and pharmacare plans could push health-care spending even further as more people who previously couldn’t afford these services start using them.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

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Trump’s victory sparks concerns over ripple effect on Canadian economy

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As Canadians wake up to news that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the president-elect’s protectionist stance is casting a spotlight on what effect his second term will have on Canada-U.S. economic ties.

Some Canadian business leaders have expressed worry over Trump’s promise to introduce a universal 10 per cent tariff on all American imports.

A Canadian Chamber of Commerce report released last month suggested those tariffs would shrink the Canadian economy, resulting in around $30 billion per year in economic costs.

More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports go to the U.S.

Canada’s manufacturing sector faces the biggest risk should Trump push forward on imposing broad tariffs, said Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters president and CEO Dennis Darby. He said the sector is the “most trade-exposed” within Canada.

“It’s in the U.S.’s best interest, it’s in our best interest, but most importantly for consumers across North America, that we’re able to trade goods, materials, ingredients, as we have under the trade agreements,” Darby said in an interview.

“It’s a more complex or complicated outcome than it would have been with the Democrats, but we’ve had to deal with this before and we’re going to do our best to deal with it again.”

American economists have also warned Trump’s plan could cause inflation and possibly a recession, which could have ripple effects in Canada.

It’s consumers who will ultimately feel the burden of any inflationary effect caused by broad tariffs, said Darby.

“A tariff tends to raise costs, and it ultimately raises prices, so that’s something that we have to be prepared for,” he said.

“It could tilt production mandates. A tariff makes goods more expensive, but on the same token, it also will make inputs for the U.S. more expensive.”

A report last month by TD economist Marc Ercolao said research shows a full-scale implementation of Trump’s tariff plan could lead to a near-five per cent reduction in Canadian export volumes to the U.S. by early-2027, relative to current baseline forecasts.

Retaliation by Canada would also increase costs for domestic producers, and push import volumes lower in the process.

“Slowing import activity mitigates some of the negative net trade impact on total GDP enough to avoid a technical recession, but still produces a period of extended stagnation through 2025 and 2026,” Ercolao said.

Since the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement came into effect in 2020, trade between Canada and the U.S. has surged by 46 per cent, according to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.

With that deal is up for review in 2026, Canadian Chamber of Commerce president and CEO Candace Laing said the Canadian government “must collaborate effectively with the Trump administration to preserve and strengthen our bilateral economic partnership.”

“With an impressive $3.6 billion in daily trade, Canada and the United States are each other’s closest international partners. The secure and efficient flow of goods and people across our border … remains essential for the economies of both countries,” she said in a statement.

“By resisting tariffs and trade barriers that will only raise prices and hurt consumers in both countries, Canada and the United States can strengthen resilient cross-border supply chains that enhance our shared economic security.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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