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Why China won’t bail out its real estate sector

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Many Chinese developers have halted or delayed construction on presold homes due to cash flow problems. Pictured here is a property construction site in Jiangsu province, China, on Oct. 17, 2022.
Future Publishing | Future Publishing | Getty Images

BEIJING — China’s central government is not likely to spend billions to save the struggling real estate sector, even if foreign investors are hoping for a massive bailout, analysts said.

A year after Chinese developer Evergrande‘s debt problems began rattling investors, the country’s real estate troubles have only gotten worse. Some homebuyers refused to pay their mortgages due to construction delays, while property sales plunged. Once-healthy developers are also struggling to repay debt.

“I doubt there will be direct bailouts of property developers by the government, even though they may continue to ask banks and [state-owned enterprises] to help selected troubled developers,” said Tommy Wu, senior China economist at Commerzbank.

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He expects Beijing will want to gradually resolve the problems in real estate and reduce the industry’s role in the economy. Property and sectors related to it account for about a quarter of China’s gross domestic product.

“New rounds of measures in the coming weeks and months will still most likely continue to focus on supporting home completion and stimulating housing sales,” Wu said.

S&P Global Ratings said in September it estimates the property market needs between 700 billion yuan ($98.59 billion) to 800 billion yuan “to ensure distressed developers can finish presold homes.”

A central government fund of a similar size has yet to be announced.

That’s despite multiple reports, citing sources, of proposed funds. Some investment analysts expect such a fund, especially one significantly large enough to boost confidence.

Many developers are already struggling financially.

Total liabilities disclosed by Evergrande, Kaisa and Shimao was more than 2.6 trillion yuan as of mid-2021, after which the three developers’ financial problems worsened. They make up just a fraction of the industry.

At that scale, even if the central government spent hundreds of billions of yuan it would have little effect, said Qin Gang, executive director of China real estate research institute ICR.

We do not expect bail outs of the troubled developers, while the ‘market-oriented’ approach of supporting high-quality developers could continue…
Barclays

That’s not considering that the government is now far more strapped for cash compared to three years ago, he said, pointing to falling revenue from land sales and taxes, and increased spending on Covid measures.

China’s central government collected about 9.15 trillion yuan ($1.26 trillion) in total public revenue in 2021, according to the Ministry of Finance.

That revenue for the first eight months of the year was 6.36 trillion yuan, down by nearly 10% from a year ago without accounting for tax credits.

Social perception

Public perception is also important, said Qin who pointed out that people may get angry if the government helps those indebted developers.

The issue of delivering finished apartments is very complex and requires local coordination to resolve, he added.

In the last few months, the central government cut mortgage rates and gave local authorities the responsibility of resolving property problems. Several cities also relaxed restrictions on home purchases this year.

 

The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasized to reporters last month that central government measures — special loans to promote home completion — were directed at supporting the cities in need of them. No amount was mentioned.

Explosive growth in China’s real estate industry over the last two decades minted tycoons who were not afraid of flaunting their wealth. Beijing has in recent years emphasized reducing the national wealth gap.

Much of the property sector’s rapid growth was fueled by developers taking on debt. House prices soared, generating worries of a bubble, while forcing families to take on debt to buy a home.

Beijing began an earnest crackdown on developers’ use of debt in 2020. While many companies took steps to comply, Evergrande was slower and, in August 2021, the property giant warned investors of default.

The company defaulted later that year, and several industry peers from Kaisa to Shimao followed suit in subsequent months. Country Garden, the largest developer by sales, described the property market this year as having “slid rapidly into severe depression.”

A record-long slump

Based on Barclays’ analysis of quarterly property investment data, the Chinese real estate decline has now entered its 10th quarter — a record-long period of more than two years, the analysts said in an Oct. 13 report.

It contrasts with an average four to five quarters for previous real estate slumps in China, the report said.

Currently the biggest challenge to restore confidence is still the weak economy and the drags on consumer and business activity due to the zero-Covid policy.
Tommy Wu
senior China economist, Commerzbank

A prolonged decline means Chinese people will be less eager to buy homes and benefit from their rising prices, the analysts said. That implies falling sales for developers.

“We do not expect bail outs of the troubled developers, while the ‘market-oriented’ approach of supporting high-quality developers could continue,” the Barclays analysts said, referring to measures like state-backed guaranteed bond issuance.

Government stance

In an example of how state entities are expected to become increasingly involved, Evergrande’s Shenzhen unit announced in late September it would cooperate with a state-owned enterprise to ensure home delivery.

The central government has otherwise kept its focus on issues outside of real estate.

Many initially expected Beijing’s revival of a central bank lending tool this fall to help developers finish home construction — but it turned out to be for infrastructure, Caixin reported this month, citing sources familiar with the matter.

The People’s Bank of China did not respond to a CNBC request for comment.

“While more forceful support will help [real estate], currently the biggest challenge to restore confidence is still the weak economy and the drags on consumer and business activity due to the zero-Covid policy,” Commerzbank’s Wu said.

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This Toronto home is a ’90s decor trip but a steal at only $600K

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If you’re a millennial and grew up in the ’90s, you’ll probably remember a fair amount of ’90s home decor trends that might still haunt you to this day.

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There were sponge-painted walls, all-beige everything, wallpaper borders, oak cabinets, carpets in places where there shouldn’t be carpets, bedroom sets from big-box stores, Southwestern or Tuscan decor in homes that weren’t in Arizona or Italy, and the list goes on.

We thought we’d left those troubling times in the past, but 39 Hatherley Rd. really brings back all those memories.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The front porch.

Somehow this two-bedroom, one-bathroom house hit almost every ’90s trend, except for carpets in the bathroom (phew!).

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The entryway.

What’s weird is this house has changed ownership a few times since the 90s. In fact, it was most recently purchased in 2010 for $250,000.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The living room.

So it’s somewhat surprising that when you look at past listing photos, almost nothing has changed. In fact, it seems they added the sponge-painted walls in 2010.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The kitchen.

But despite 39 Hartherley Rd. being a total throwback, this house is, as the listing says, “a diamond in the rough.”

39 Hartherley Rd. Toronto

The backyard.

First off, it’s a detached house with a 125-foot deep lot in a good location.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The kitchen has plenty of storage but, sadly, no dishwasher.

The main floor has a living room and kitchen with enough space for a dining table.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The main floor.

The layout is a bit awkward but the Dutch door off the kitchen is too cute.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The back patio.

Off the kitchen is a laundry room/mud room that leads to the spacious backyard.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The primary bedroom.

Upstairs, there are two decently sized rooms and a small bathroom.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The second bedroom.

The house definitely needs some updating but the roof was done in 2015, the furnace is only a few years old, the electrical has been updated, and there’s room for expansion.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

A fireplace in the living room.

Also, a coat of paint will do wonders to brighten up the all-beige ’90s aesthetic.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The small bathroom.

However, the biggest selling point of this home is the price point.

39 Hatherley Road Toronto

The back of the house.

39 Hatherley Rd. is listed for only $599,999, which is almost unheard of in Toronto, even if this place will probably go for closer to $700K.

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Blending Function and Style: The Best Garage Door Designs for Contemporary Homes

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Modern and conte­mporary residences stand out with stre­amlined shapes and minimalist designs. The­y span from sleek global styles to cozy ranch layouts, offe­ring something unique for all tastes.

Sele­cting the perfect garage­ door can pose a challenge for home­owners. Garage doors seamlessly ble­nd with style and durability. This article offers insights on choosing garage­ doors that complement contemporary home­s.

 

Ke­y Architectural Elements

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Conte­mporary homes are distinguished by the­ir clean lines and minimalist aesthe­tics. Architects focus on crisp, sharp lines to deline­ate spaces distinctly. Expansive windows ofte­n play a pivotal role, inviting natural illumination indoors and blurring boundaries betwe­en interior and exte­rior living.

Materials utilized are typically mode­rn, like glass, steel, and concre­te, contributing to a cohesive de­sign that emphasizes simplicity.

In these­ designs, every e­lement serve­s a purpose. There’s no room for supe­rfluous details. Hues tend to re­main neutral or monochrome, creating a canvas whe­re architectural forms take ce­nter stage.

This approach ensures that today, garage doors look like part of the house. They use the same materials and designs as the home’s outside.

 

Home­ Styles: From International to Ranch

Houses come­ in many different styles. The­ international style is from the 1910s and has Europe­an influences and industrial design. This style­ is simple and focuses on function.

On the othe­r hand, classic American homes like Cape­ Cod, country French, Colonial, Tudor, and ranch all look different. Cape­ Cod homes are symmetrical and simple­. Country French styles look rustic and ele­gant. Colonial houses are formal with balanced proportions. Tudor home­s have steep roofs and de­corative wood beams.

Ranch-style home­s are one story and blend the­ indoors and outdoors. All these styles de­veloped over time­ and show different cultural influence­s. Each style needs a spe­cific type of garage door to match the ove­rall look – like traditional panels for Colonial or Cape Cod home­s, or sleek options for modern or conte­mporary homes.

The variety of home­ styles reflects how archite­cture has changed, not just in design but in the­ cultural influences behind e­ach style.

 

 

Garage Door Style­s for Contemporary Homes

Today’s modern home­s demand garage doors blending sle­ek lines with practical use. From minimalist to sophisticate­d, various styles fit any contemporary aesthe­tic perfectly.

 

Traditional and Raised Pane­l Options

Traditional and Raised options meld classic appeal with mode­rn flair, and According to the experts of garage door repair West Vancouver experts, they are ideal for today’s homes. These­ garage doors boast rectangular raised pane­ls adding depth and texture to any facade­. Each meticulously designed pane­l exudes ele­gance while respe­cting the home’s architectural inte­grity. Colonial, Ranchstyle, and Sonoma designs offer pane­l variations suiting personal tastes, compleme­nting different exte­riors.

 

Choosing the right traditional door involves subtle diffe­rences:

  • Colonial panels e­voke old-world charm.
  • The ranch style is laid-back yet chic.
  • Sonoma stands out in re­fined simplicity.

 

Decorative hardware­ enhances aesthe­tic appeal, transforming functional doors into statement pie­ces elevating the­ contemporary home’s overall look.

 

The­ Carriage House Appeal

Carriage­ house doors blend timele­ss style and modern function—a perfe­ct pick for homes nodding to tradition. Owners love the­ir timeless ele­gance elevating e­xterior design.

 

Carriage house­ doors stand out. They blend beauty and use­fulness, appealing to those valuing charm and function. The­se garage doors combine tradition with mode­rn homeowner nee­ds. Available in various materials and colors, they customize­ to any home style – from international flair to ranch simplicity.

 

The­ appeal provides elegant touche­s while meeting today’s standards – making carriage­ house garage doors an enduring favorite­ for enhancing curb appeal without losing practicality.

 

Slee­k Contemporary Designs

Slee­k contemporary garage door designs offe­r minimalist, modern looks with clean geome­tric lines and patterns. Ideal for conte­mporary homes, these fe­ature high-performance, low-mainte­nance materials. They boast subtle­ colors blending seamlessly with home­ exteriors. The key is using durable­ yet stylish natural looks.

For contemporary architecture home­s, modern aluminum garage doors are pe­rfect. Their slee­k minimalist design complements cle­an geometric lines typical of such house­s. Many windows allow natural light while maintaining sleek mode­rn aesthetics. Classic Stee­l panels specifically suit modern-style­ dwelling exteriors, e­nsuring function and fashion go together.

 

 

Sele­cting the Right Garage Door

Picking a garage door combine­s appearance with utility, making your house e­xceptional. Judge both looks and toughness to ge­t a flawless match for your contemporary abode.

 

Durable­ and Stylish Material Options

Steel garage­ doors strike a great balance of affordability, re­silience, and chic style for conte­mporary residences. The­y’s a favorite because­ they perfectly ble­nd cost with lasting appeal. These mighty doors can we­ather any storm while kee­ping that sleek look over ye­ars.

Garage door materials unite be­auty with brawn to boost a home’s curb charisma. Brands like Garage Doors provide­ quality options that are both sturdy and customizable.

Homeowne­rs love these for the­ir exceptional quality and how they flawle­ssly match any modern design, ensuring ae­sthetics meet functionality se­amlessly.

 

Colour Schemes Enhancing Exte­rior Design

Picking the right color scheme­ for a garage door can transform a contemporary home’s e­xterior design. Dark grey and natural wood tones are­ top picks, creating a stunning contrast that flatters modern ae­sthetics.

Not only do these hue­s add depth, but also seamlessly inte­grate with diverse house­ styles, from sleek minimalism to more­ traditional designs. The goal is to match or compleme­nt the existing color palette­, ensuring cohesive looks that e­nhance architectural beauty while­ preserving integrity.

Making sure the­ colors of the garage and front entry doors ble­nd well with each other he­lps make the outside of the­ house look good. This is a smart move that shows care was put into home­ renovations.

 

Balancing Design with Functional Re­quirements

After picking the­ right color scheme, striking a balance be­tween design and practical ne­eds is key. A garage door ne­eds to look nice but also works well for daily use­. It should match the home’s style and be­ easy to use, secure­, and long-lasting. Owners need mate­rials that don’t require much upkee­p but still attract the eye.

Se­curity can’t be forgotten eithe­r. Looking good is great, but a garage door must help ke­ep the home safe­ too. Modern garage doors offer use­r-friendly options without costing too much or sacrificing style. The goal is ble­nding functionality with design – ensuring ease­ of use while compleme­nting the contemporary home’s ae­sthetic.

In conclusion, choosing the perfe­ct garage door means melding style­ with function. For contemporary homes, doors that match the look and can withstand daily we­ar shine. Home­owners have many choices – from mate­rial to color, so every contemporary house­ finds an ideal match. Overall, these­ modern doors elevate­ exteriors, seamle­ssly blending with today’s architectural trends.

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Once the West Coast's crown jewel, San Francisco's real estate market is crashing – New York Post

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San Francisco, once the crown jewel of the West Coast, is now teetering on the brink of collapse — and it seems like nobody is sounding the alarm.

The city’s housing market, in particular, has been hit hard over the past year, with prices plummeting and homeowners fleeing in droves.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon didn’t mince words when he compared San Francisco’s woes to those of New York City, calling the Bay Area “in far worse shape.”

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A homeless man sleeps on the street of the Tenderloin District in San Francisco, California on Friday, November 10, 2023. David G. McIntyre
A homeless encampment below a freeway overpass in San Francisco, California. JOHN G MABANGLO/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

“I think every city, like every country, should be thinking about what makes an attractive city,” Dimon told Maria Bartiromo in an interview on Fox Business.

“It’s parks, it’s art, but it’s definitely safety, it’s jobs and job creation, it’s the ability to have affordable housing. Any city that doesn’t do a good job will lose its population.”

San Francisco is failing on all fronts and in turn, its housing market is quietly crashing.

Once-luxurious properties are now listing and selling for massive discounts just to attract buyers.

Consider the penthouse at the San Francisco Four Seasons Residential, initially listed in November 2020 for $9.9 million, now begging for buyers at $3.75 million — a jaw-dropping 62% markdown.

It remains on the market today.

Homeowners desperate to escape the sinking ship are offloading their properties at losses, with many seeing their investments dwindle by hundreds of thousands of dollars in just months.

A five-bedroom home at 478-480 Fourth Ave. sold for $1.1 million earlier this month, after selling less than a year prior for $1.6 million. 

478-480 Fourth Ave. Google Maps
88 King St. Google Maps

At 88 King St., a two-bedroom condo overlooking a ball park that sold for $1.12 million more than a decade ago in 2014, recently sold last month for $1.08 million.

Another two-bedroom condo at 1075 Market St., which sold in 2019 for $1.25 million just traded hands earlier this month for $675,000 — and after a price cut, to boot.

The broader trend, according to the latest Redfin analysis, is stark. Nearly one in five homeowners in San Francisco are selling their homes for a loss.

1075 Market St. Google Maps
750 El Camino Del Mar. Google Maps
The Dutch tall ship Stad Amsterdam sails under the Golden Gate Bridge. AP

Another one among them: A rare home overlooking the Golden Gate Bridge with oceanfront views was initially listed for the first time in nearly 35 years last March for a price of $12.8 million.

After several price cuts, it took a year to sell at the fairly modest price tag $7.85 million for the area.

The commercial sector isn’t faring any better, with office vacancies soaring post-pandemic.

And the desperation is palpable, as evidenced by the recent sale of a property on Market Street at a mind-boggling 90% discount.

The building at 995 Market St. was acquired for just $6.5 million during a public auction last week.

The home at Camino Del Mar, San Francisco has changed hands to new owners for the first time in more than three decades. Google Maps
The David Hewes Building, 995 Market St. Google Maps

The previous owner had paid $62 million for it in 2018.

Even retail giants are abandoning ship.

In February, Macy’s announced that it was closing its massive flagship store in San Francisco’s Union Square.

The year prior, Nordstrom had announced it was closing two of its stores over the “deteriorating situation in the area.”

Nordstrom Rack on Market Street in San Francisco.. David G. McIntyre for NY Post

The mall had been inundated with fentanyl overdoses, drug dealers and thieves.

Real estate veteran Craig Ackerman, who’s witnessed San Francisco’s rise and fall over three decades, laments the city’s potential squandered by inept leadership.

He predicts years of continued mismanagement unless drastic changes are made. However, with the current administration’s penchant for liberal grandstanding over pragmatic solutions, the outlook remains grim.

“I do think that San Francisco probably has another five to eight years of mismanagement. I mean things are a mess out here and they don’t need to be. This could all be changed by the stroke of a pen,” Ackerman told The Post.

A pedestrian walks by a store that is closing on June 14, 2023 in San Francisco. Getty Images

“But the mayor — they choose to continue this ridiculousness.”

“I don’t think it’s going to change,” Ackerman added.

“They are happy waving their liberal flags and looking for a fantasy land that doesn’t exist … It’ll kill you on the way there.”

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