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Why Is Tesla Stock Suddenly Crashing Today? – CCN.com

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  • Tesla has shed over 10% in early morning trading over fears that the coronavirus will delay vehicle deliveries in China.
  • Elon Musk made some bold promises in the company’s fourth-quarter earnings call – guiding for 500,000 vehicle deliveries in 2020.
  • If Tesla can’t meet Elon’s guidance, the stock could give back some of its gains. This comes after a whirlwind rally took shares to an all-time high of $968.

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) bulls are on thin ice after the stock’s monster rally raises questions about sustainability and valuation. At these frothy levels, even the littlest bit of bad news can send shares tumbling lower.

Tesla’s market cap has already shed billions Wednesday – falling over 10% in early morning trading over fears that the coronavirus outbreak will delay the timeline for new vehicle deliveries in China. With expectations for the electric automaker so high, Elon Musk can’t afford any setbacks in 2020.

Tesla is Still Flying High of Fourth Quarter Earnings

Tesla bulls are still feeling the buzz from a whirlwind rally that started with the company’s fourth-quarter earnings result on Jan. 30. Tesla went into 2020 trading at around $430 per share before going on a parabolic rally that took prices to an all-time high of $968.

Chart
Source: YCharts

The company’s market cap reached a record-breaking $160 billion – a valuation so massive that famous short-seller Andrew Left of Citron Research claimed that even Elon would go short at these levels if he was a fund manager.

Source: Twitter.com

But in total, Tesla short-sellers have already lost over $8 billion in 2020 – with $2.5 billion of that figure lost on Monday alone. So shorting the company has historically been a very bad idea.

Tesla Made a Lot of Promises for 2020

While Tesla’s controversial rally may seem like baseless speculation to some observers, it’s largely based on the company’s guidance for the full year 2020. If Musk can’t fulfill his promises, the stock could give back much of its gains.

Elon claims that vehicle deliveries in 2020 will comfortably exceed 500,000 units. This is a figure that is driven, in large part, by projections for China. The Asian nation represents a little over 10% of the automaker’s total revenue and much of its future growth prospects. Tesla recently rolled out the affordable Model 3 to Chinese customers and the company hopes to rapidly scale up production in the coming months.

But importing the cars from the U.S. probably won’t give Tesla enough leverage to achieve its ambitious projections.

Musk stated the following during the fourth-quarter call:

We need to bring the Shanghai factory online. I think that’s the biggest variable for getting to 500,000-plus a year. Our car is just very expensive going into China. We’ve got import duties, we’ve got transport costs, we’ve got higher costs of labor here.

He elaborated:

We need the Shanghai factory to have the cars be affordable. It’s important to appreciate, the demand for Model 3 is insanely high. The inhibitor is affordability

Did the Market Factor in the Coronavirus Impacts?

The Wuhan coronavirus outbreak may throw a monkey wrench in Elon Musks’ plans for 500,000 deliveries in 2020. The Shanghai Gigafactory that builds the Chinese Model 3 is currently closed due to the ongoing crisis. As the outbreak continues to grow, the economic impacts may go from bad to worse.

According to the latest data, the Wuhan coronavirus, which is provisionally known as 2019-nCoV, has come to infect a total of 24,607 people with almost 500 fatalities. Many expect the epidemic may grow to become a global pandemic.

With such severe short-term headwinds in one of Tesla’s biggest growth markets, it may have been irresponsible of Musk to guide so optimistically in the fourth-quarter earnings call. Tesla’s management should have taken the opportunity to tamper expectations and prevent speculative zeal from creating an extreme and, perhaps, unsustainable rally in the stock.

Disclaimer: The above should not be considered trading advice from CCN.com.

This article was edited by Sam Bourgi.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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