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Why Russia’s pullout from Ukraine grain deal will impact prices in Canada

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Russia’s recent pullout from a deal that allowed Ukraine to export grain will likely impact prices in Canada.

“Both Russia and Ukraine are very large grain producers,” Opher Baron, a professor of operations management at the University of Toronto’s Rotman School of Management, told CTVNews.ca Tuesday. “Any long-lasting shortage of grains export from either would change the price of grain, as it is a global commodity.”

On Saturday, Russia announced that it was immediately pulling out of a deal that allowed ships to export grain from Ukrainian ports.

Brokered in July by the United Nations and Turkey, the short-lived deal saw more than nine million tons of grain leave Ukraine on 397 ships. Other food stuffs and fertilizer were also allowed safe passage via a humanitarian corridor in the Black Sea. According to the UN, the grain agreement helped bring down global food prices by about 15 per cent, after they rose sharply following Russia’s February 2022 invasion.

“It affects everything because it’s about 15 per cent of all calories consumed on Earth,” Dalhousie University food security expert Sylvain Charlebois told CTVNews.ca. “You’re basically seeing a global breadbasket being impacted by geopolitics and a huge conflict.”

The UN, Ukraine and Turkey plan to continue the program, and 12 vessels were reportedly able to leave Ukraine as of Monday. It remains to be seen if or when Russia will forcefully reimpose its earlier blockade on Ukrainian ports.

“I think it’s really an unfortunate turn that the pact has ended,” Charlebois, who is a professor and the senior director of Dalhousie’s Agri-Food Analytics Lab, said. “It doesn’t bode well for the future. It’s going to be extremely difficult for Ukraine to mobilize anything, which will discourage farmers to grow anything, which will eventually impact wheat prices around the world. And that’s kind of what we’re starting to see the last couple of days, unfortunately.”

According to Statistics Canada, the world’s largest exporters of wheat in 2021 were Russia, the U.S., Australia, Canada and Ukraine; that’s since been upended by war and sanctions.

In the wake of Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, a June 29 Statistics Canada report showed prices of bread, pasta and cereal were up from more than 12 per cent to nearly 20, while total stocks of Canadian wheat were down by almost 40 per cent. Food manufacturers meanwhile were paying almost 75 per cent more for wheat in April 2022 than they were a year prior. Canada produces most of the wheat it consumes, which still leaves plenty available for export.

Higher domestic production in 2022 over 2021, and the re-opening of Ukrainian ports for wheat exports in late July, saw prices dip in October Statistics Canada analysis reported. Prices however began climbing again following news of Russia’s pullout from the Ukraine grain deal.

Wheat futures rose to over US$9 a bushel on Tuesday, up from almost US$8.30 on Friday, according to Nasdaq. On Nov. 1, 2021, prices were under US$8.

“When prices move globally, so are the prices locally,” Baron from the University of Toronto explained. “Luckily, given we are a very large player in the grain market ourselves and that supply chain cost in a local market are lower than in a global one, the relative price increase end consumers may face is not large.”

Charlebois says that although Canadian may have to pay higher prices in places like the bakery due to Russia’s actions in Ukraine, because we produce so much wheat ourselves, Canada won’t fall victim to the kind of global food insecurity that could affect places like Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, which rely heavily on imports.

“With geopolitics, the problem is that there’s lots of uncertainty and uncertainty will come at a price,” Charlebois added. “So baked into the US$9 per bushel right now there’s uncertainty, and uncertainty will force companies to pay more for grains, no matter where you are around the world.”

With files from CNN and the Associated Press

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Ugochukwu scores in 82nd, Chelsea salvages 2-2 tie with Wrexham in friendly at Levi’s Stadium.

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SANTA CLARA, Calif. (AP) — Lesley Ugochukwu scored in the 82nd minute to help Chelsea salvage a 2-2 tie with Wrexham in a friendly match Wednesday night at Levi’s Stadium.

Ugochukwu rolled a shot from the middle of the box through traffic into the right corner.

Wrexham took a 2-1 lead when Jack Marriot scored on a counterattack in the 72nd minute.

Luke Bolton also scored for Wrexham, the Welsh team co-owned by actor Ryan Reynolds that was promoted this year to the third tier of English soccer.

“It’s important that we show the Wrexham spirit we’ve been known for the last few years,” Wrexham manager Phil Parkinson said.

“We had to dig deep at times and tonight we did that again. Whether it’s preseason or not you want to see that kind of spirit we’ve kind of built a reputation. We’re representing a working-class town and a fantastic area and we’ve got to reflect that with our performances.”

Christopher Nkunku scored first for Chelsea in the perennial Premier League power’s first preseason match and its first under manager, Enzo Maresca, the former Leicester City manager.

“I’m very happy about the performance in general because in this moment, if we think that we started just two weeks ago, it’s important that as a staff and in general people can start to see the identity of the team and I think tonight it was quite good,” Maresca said.

Nkunku fired a shot from the middle of the box into the left corner of the net past goalie Arthur Okonkwo in the 35th minute off an assist from Marc Guiu after a corner kick.

Wrexham tied it in the 58th minute when Bolton scored from the right wing off an assist from Sebastian Revan, who connected with Bolton on a crossing pass.

Chelsea goalkeeper Robert Sanchez blocked a breakaway shot from James McLean in the 29th minute.

Chelsea beat Wrexham 5-0 in a friendly last season.

___ AP soccer:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Clayton Kershaw excited to be returning to Dodgers’ rotation at a pivotal time

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LOS ANGELES (AP) — Clayton Kershaw’s return to the rotation was once expected to be an added bonus as the Los Angeles Dodgers geared up for a postseason run.

It turns out, the longtime ace is coming back at a pivotal time.

When Kershaw takes the mound Thursday afternoon against the rival San Francisco Giants, manager Dave Roberts and Dodgers executives are hoping the three-time NL Cy Young Award winner can bring stability to a rotation beset by injuries most of the season.

“I’m excited to get back,” Kershaw said before the Dodgers faced the Giants on Wednesday night. ”It’s been a long time. Longest time I’ve ever spent not pitching in a big league game. Obviously, once you get back out there you’ve just got to perform.”

Kershaw’s return from offseason shoulder surgery ended up being on schedule. The left-hander said at the start of spring training that he thought July or August would be when he could come back.

He made three minor league rehab starts, but was shut down for a week after his first appearance on June 19 because of lingering soreness. Kershaw went four innings and threw 67 pitches (49 strikes) in his last rehab outing Friday for Triple-A Oklahoma City, allowing three runs and six hits with two strikeouts and no walks.

Roberts said the same guardrails would be in place as when Kershaw returned last season after missing 35 games due to soreness in his left shoulder.

He went five innings in his first two starts last August. He threw 67 pitches in the first outing and 71 on five days’ rest in the second.

“I think watching as far as stressful innings. If a pitch count kicks up in an inning or back-to-back high pitch counts. Not even overall total pitches,” Roberts said. “The most important part is getting him built up and ready for October.

“It has been a long process for him, and we’ve got coverage, so whatever happens, we’ll be prepared for that.”

The 36-year-old Kershaw has been adamant that he expects to return to his old form soon. Despite pitching with shoulder pain all last season, he went 13-5 with a 2.46 ERA in 131 2/3 innings over 24 starts.

“The road back, being able to get back, a lot of people spent a lot of time trying to help me,” Kershaw said Wednesday. “It means a lot to a lot of different people. That’s pretty humbling. Overall, definitely excited to get back.”

Who else will be with Kershaw in the rotation remains a work in progress.

Tyler Glasnow came off the injured list and started Wednesday night after missing two weeks due to back tightness. Glasnow and Gavin Stone are tied for the team lead in starts with 18.

James Paxton, who also started 18 games, was designated for assignment on Monday.

The Dodgers are still missing Walker Buehler (right hip inflammation) and Yoshinobu Yamamoto (right rotator cuff).

Buehler threw a bullpen Tuesday, with a minor league rehab stint likely on deck. Yamamoto is on a throwing program but has yet to begin working off a mound. He isn’t expected back until possibly late August.

Los Angeles has stayed atop the NL West thanks to the contribution of rookies. The Dodgers are 27-18 when a rookie starter is on the mound.

Rookie pitchers have started 45 games for the Dodgers this season and are 17-8 with a 3.00 ERA. Stone leads the team in wins with nine, while Landon Knack, Justin Wrobleski and River Ryan are expected to get more starts over the next month.

Even with 13 pitchers starting a game this season, the Dodgers’ rotation has the fifth-lowest ERA in the NL (3.91) and is holding opponents to a .234 batting average, second-best in the league.

While Kershaw didn’t know what to expect after having surgery for the first time in his baseball career, he is happy to be preparing for a start.

“There were a couple speed bumps that were part of the process. I’m thankful I went through it and now on the back side,” he said.

ROSTER MOVES

In addition to activating Glasnow, the Dodgers signed 34-year-old shortstop Nick Ahmed — a Gold Glove winner with Arizona in 2018 and 2019. Los Angeles infielder Miguel Rojas was placed on the 10-day injured list with right forearm tightness, retroactive to July 22. Knack was optioned to Triple-A and right-hander Ricky Vanasco was designated for assignment.

___

AP MLB:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Women’s Rights: How to Achieve What Women Want

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A strategy placing women out front and personal with those who deny their full rights and expectations.

1. The first stage will go something like this folks. Women will unite together with a universal message that is clear and understandable even for men.

Equality is a Human Right– A Sexual Right – A Socio-Political Necessity

Through public marches, protests and mass gatherings women will voice their displeasure on how they have been treated in the past, the present and how they fear for themselves and generations to come. Fear that the future has little to offer the girl of the next generation. Mass education schemes will be devised and presented to all people in all nations, rich or poor, white or non-white, to all genders alike.

2. The second stage will be initiated if men and their female allies do not respond to the above propaganda messages demanding equal rights, equal pay for similar jobs performed, and full educational opportunities no matter the nation, race or creed.

A Full Strike will be had in which all women will withhold their sexuality and affection from their partners, mostly men. The length of this strike and its nature in reality will depend upon the women’s culture and political circumstances. Full denial may be expressed in such a way that men will be denied the following…

No intimacy, no sexual contact with a woman
Usual housework will be curtailed and fall upon men.
The care of children will fall to their male parents and guardians

The LGBTQ Community will be asked to fully support this strike as partners in the struggle for Human and Women’s Rights advocates.

3. Should this strike be met with partner or legislative aggression a third stage will be initiated. Should men not respond favourably to the above-mentioned stages of Women’s struggle to be free of male dominance and control financially, economically, culturally, socially and politically this third extreme stage will be initiated.

All Women will take Religious Orders, pledging themselves to their deity through the vows of Poverty, Chastity and Obedience. This action will threaten the very future of humanity. Through the vow of chastity, all women will be faithful to their deity by not having sex. The future of the human Race will be threatened by this action.

Could men be so ignorant and self-centred as to not realize that by their historic actions, women have been oppressed, sexually and financially used, denied of their constitutionally promised rights and established as second-class citizens in most nations globally?

Women must take up the mantel offered to them by Gandhi, Dr. King, Jesus and many other men who recognized the importance of womanhood. Women globally have only one ability, one tool of change available to them…to deny men. As men are denied the rights they have to women, women can deny themselves to these same men.

Martin Luther King Jr once said, “A right delayed is a right denied”. Women have delayed their taking action against the historic, cultural manly oppression they have experienced since time immemorial. The world exists in division, poverty and extreme financial distress. Women can offer the motherly comfort and care a world like our needs. Men have messed up our historic pathway towards peace and unity. Give women a chance.

Steven Kaszab
Bradford, Ontario
skaszab@yahoo.ca

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