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WILD: Low supply, high demand wreak havoc on Toronto real estate market – Toronto Sun

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COVID has fuelled the migration of buyers from the downtown core to the suburbs and beyond

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When the global pandemic hit a year ago, working remotely became the new normal for many.

Instead of starting the day stuck in traffic, the new nine-to-five starts with video meetings with a cast of dogs, kids and bad hair in the background.

And while companies counted lower office space costs as one rationale to embrace the growing work-from-home culture, better work-life balance — especially for working moms — has been a life-changing benefit for employees.

It has also had a growing impact on Ontario’s real estate market.

Although the migration of people from cities — especially Toronto and particularly retirees — has been a trend for several years, the COVID-19 virus has given many working families pause for thought when it comes to commuting, traffic and city living.

House prices in communities like Hamilton and Barrie for example, have become red hot throughout the pandemic.

However, while COVID has also fuelled the migration of buyers from the downtown core to the suburbs and beyond, it’s also playing havoc with market supply.

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  1. The Toronto real estate market is red hot.

    LACKIE: Dilemma of Toronto real estate market for sellers is you have to buy too

  2. A real estate sign that reads

    LACKIE: Toronto real estate market out of control and unsustainable

  3. A real estate sign that reads

    LACKIE: Toronto housing prices have become detached from reality

Many sellers are hunkering down in place — waiting to see what COVID brings — and as a consequence resale housing supplies have been constrained, which in turn fuels rising prices.

New home construction has also been impacted by COVID, from delays in the municipal building approval processes and approvals to labour, workplace safety and other hurdles for builders who now must deal with social distancing and other measures in workplaces.

All of this adds up to tight supply.

And looking at February’s numbers, the story is absolutely about low supply and continued strong demand from buyers.

The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) reported GTA sales of 10,970 in February 2021, up 52.5% compared over the previous February.

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There were 15,137 homes listed in the GTA this February, up 42.6% from last year, while the average selling price hit a record-breaking $1,045,488, a gain of 14.9% compared to the same period last year.

The condominium market was particularly hot in the GTA — with a 64% sales increase compared to last year.

March’s numbers will be out shortly and will almost certainly confirm the trend.

TRREB President Lisa Patel suggested in a recent news release that supply issues will continue to dog the market even post-COVID.

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“It’s clear that the historic demand for housing experienced in the second half of last year has carried forward into the first quarter of this year with some similar themes, including the continued popularity of suburban lowrise properties,” she said. “It’s also evident that the supply of listings is not keeping up with demand, which could present an even larger problem once population growth picks up following widespread vaccinations later this year and into 2022.”

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The ongoing COVID vaccine rollout will clearly play a role in market behaviour as millions get a vaccine in April and throughout the spring and summer.

But all levels of government will need to look at measures to encourage new and diverse construction of a range of housing.

“Once the economy opens further and immigration into the GTA resumes, there will be an even greater need for housing supply. Understandably, COVID-19 has been front and centre for policymakers,” TRREB CEO John DiMichele said in the recent news release.

With Ontario’s real estate market showing no immediate signs of cooling down, working from home (but not necessarily close to work) is an increasingly important consideration for many buyers and sellers.

The hot market, like COVID, won’t be with us forever but meanwhile, patience, research and preparation are the new golden rules.

Penelope Wild is the former Homes Editor of the Toronto Sun and a realtor with Keller Williams Real Estate Associates.

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Real eState

Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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