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Yields Rise, Stocks Mixed After China Rate Puzzles: Markets Wrap

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(Bloomberg) — European stocks climbed in muted trade on Monday as gains in energy companies outweighed concerns over mixed policy signals from China.

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TotalEnergies SE, Shell Plc and BP Plc were among the biggest contributors to Europe’s Stoxx 600 equity benchmark as crude oil rose for a third day and gas prices jumped amid threats of supply disruptions from a potential strike in Australia. Trading volumes were about a third lower than usual. US futures contracts were steady.

A gauge of Asian stocks dropped for the seventh day in the longest losing streak since June 2022. The Hang Seng Index declined as much as 2% and shares in mainland China fell 1.4%.

Confusion over China’s approach to stemming the nation’s property slump strained sentiment. Chinese lenders cut the one-year loan prime rate by 10 basis points and kept the five-year prime loan rates unchanged even after policymakers called for more lending. Traders had expected a 15-basis-point cut on both rates.

Yields climbed across tenors, bringing the 10-year’s back on its path toward the highest level since November 2007 and the 30-year’s near 2011 highs, as a selloff in the Treasury market this month wiped out what was left of year-to-date gains. Wary investors are facing entrenched inflation and the prospect of more policy tightening ahead of the annual Jackson Hole, Wyoming, gathering of central bankers later this week.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to strike “a more balanced tone in Wyoming, hinting at the tightening cycle’s end while underscoring the need to hold rates higher for longer,” according to Anna Wong at Bloomberg Economics.

The mood in equity markets has soured since the start of the month, when traders were pricing in a rosy outlook of peak rates in sight and a resilient US economy pointing to a soft landing. The recent surge in bond yields, combined with still-hawkish rhetoric from central bankers and a deteriorating outlook in China have challenged the optimistic view.

Investors who chased the rally earlier this year are now bulking up on hedges in preparation for risks confronting the market. The put/call ratio spiked to highest since March last week, while volatility has jumped to the most elevated level since May in the US and in Europe.

A gauge of dollar strength traded little changed, following small losses Thursday and Friday that trimmed its five weeks of gains. Meanwhile, the offshore yuan fell against the greenback. The People’s Bank of China had earlier set the daily reference rate for the yuan at a level stronger than the average estimate in a Bloomberg survey.

European natural gas prices soared as workers serving a key export project in Australia prepare for a strike if no deal is reached in pay talks on Wednesday. Benchmark Dutch front-month gas soared as much as 18% on Monday morning as the possibility of supply disruptions in Australia, which may affect 10% of global liquefied natural gas exports keeps European traders on edge.

Oil rose for a third day as signs the physical market is tightening and a stall in the dollar’s rally offset growing demand risks in China and the US.

Key events this week:

  • US existing home sales, Tuesday
  • Chicago Fed’s Austan Goolsbee speaks, Tuesday
  • Eurozone S&P Global Services & Manufacturing PMI, consumer confidence, Wednesday
  • UK S&P Global / CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI, Wednesday
  • US new home sales, S&P Global Manufacturing PM, Wednesday
  • US initial jobless claims, durable goods, Thursday
  • Kansas City Fed’s annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole begins, Thursday
  • Japan Tokyo CPI, Friday
  • US University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday
  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell, ECB President Christine Lagarde to address Jackson Hole conference, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.3% as of 8:25 a.m. London time
  • S&P 500 futures were little changed
  • Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.1%
  • Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were little changed
  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.4%
  • The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 0.4%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
  • The euro rose 0.1% to $1.0886
  • The Japanese yen was little changed at 145.38 per dollar
  • The offshore yuan fell 0.2% to 7.3194 per dollar
  • The British pound was little changed at $1.2741

Cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin fell 0.8% to $26,031
  • Ether fell 1.1% to $1,671.35

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced three basis points to 4.28%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at 2.63%
  • Britain’s 10-year yield was little changed at 4.68%

Commodities

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

–With assistance from Brett Miller, Qizi Sun and Ameya Karve.

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Cineplex reports $24.7M Q3 loss on Competition Tribunal penalty

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TORONTO – Cineplex Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year ago as it was hit by a fine for deceptive marketing practices imposed by the Competition Tribunal.

The movie theatre company says it lost $24.7 million or 39 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $29.7 million or 40 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The results in the most recent quarter included a $39.2-million provision related to the Competition Tribunal decision, which Cineplex is appealing.

The Competition Bureau accused the company of misleading theatregoers by not immediately presenting them with the full price of a movie ticket when they purchased seats online, a view the company has rejected.

Revenue for the quarter totalled $395.6 million, down from $414.5 million in the same quarter last year, while theatre attendance totalled 13.3 million for the quarter compared with nearly 15.7 million a year earlier.

Box office revenue per patron in the quarter climbed to $13.19 compared with $12 in the same quarter last year, while concession revenue per patron amounted to $9.85, up from $8.44 a year ago.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:CGX)

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Restaurant Brands reports US$357M Q3 net income, down from US$364M a year ago

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TORONTO – Restaurant Brands International Inc. reported net income of US$357 million for its third quarter, down from US$364 million in the same quarter last year.

The company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, says its profit amounted to 79 cents US per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with 79 cents US per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue for the parent company of Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes and Firehouse Subs, totalled US$2.29 billion, up from US$1.84 billion in the same quarter last year.

Consolidated comparable sales were up 0.3 per cent.

On an adjusted basis, Restaurant Brands says it earned 93 cents US per diluted share in its latest quarter, up from an adjusted profit of 90 cents US per diluted share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents US per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 5, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:QSR)

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Electric and gas utility Fortis reports $420M Q3 profit, up from $394M a year ago

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ST. JOHN’S, N.L. – Fortis Inc. reported a third-quarter profit of $420 million, up from $394 million in the same quarter last year.

The electric and gas utility says the profit amounted to 85 cents per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30, up from 81 cents per share a year earlier.

Fortis says the increase was driven by rate base growth across its utilities, and strong earnings in Arizona largely reflecting new customer rates at Tucson Electric Power.

Revenue in the quarter totalled $2.77 billion, up from $2.72 billion in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Fortis says it earned 85 cents per share in its latest quarter, up from an adjusted profit of 84 cents per share in the third quarter of 2023.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 82 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 5, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:FTS)

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