The heady days of March are far behind us in the real estate market.
That’s when sale prices peaked following a fast and furious 2021 with ever increasing prices and shortages of supply.
But such good times for sellers couldn’t last forever.
“We knew our market was in trouble when we saw that the homes in parts of Springvalley and Rutland were priced the same as they were in Old Glenmore and the Mission,” Joe Ungaro, a real estate agent with Ungaro Albrecht Courtney and Associates/Royal LePage, told iNFOnews.ca. “One of those sectors was out of alignment and sure enough, Rutland corrected faster. It normalized pretty quick.”
That kind of correction and the fact that the higher end of the market dropped off is one reason why the average price of single-family homes has been falling steadily in the Central Okanagan since the spring.
But averages don’t tell the whole story of what’s happening in the local market.
“What was really unusual through the pandemic was that we saw demand through the whole sector,” Ungaro said. “We saw homes selling in all price categories at crazy rates. We’ve never seen that here before. There’s always been a sweet spot, which was connected to what people could afford.”
For years his firm has been tracking sales by price range rather than relying on averages provided by the Association of Interior Realtors.
“If you’re looking at homes in the $700,000 to $1 million range, that part of the market is in pretty sound shape yet,” Ungaro said.
The realty association statistics show prices for single-family homes in the Central Okanagan were up 17.1% in July compared to a year ago.
But the average price of a single-family home in the Central Okanagan dropped from a peak of $1,281,000 in March to $1,077,431 in July, a decline of almost 17%.
Part of the most recent price drop off is because while there were 11 single-family homes that sold for more than $3 million in the past three months, only one of those was in the past 30 days, which impacts average prices.
That also helps explain why the number of sales is slumping.
In the last 90 days less than half (48%) of the homes sold for more than $1 million but 69% of the homes listed for sale were priced over $1 million, leaving of a lot of unsold homes in that part of the market.
On the other end of the spectrum, 52% of homes sold for less than $1 million. Only 31% of listings were in that price range, meaning it’s still a seller’s market in that category.
While the market has been slowing for months, that may be changing.
“Already in the last couple of weeks we’ve seen single-family homes are turning over better than the two weeks prior to that,” Ungaro said. “It seems like it’s turning better but it’s too early to know.”
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Hong Kong Billionaire’s K. Wah Wins Shanghai Real Estate Bid, Sees “Excellent” Opportunity – Forbes
Hong Kong billionaire Lui Che-woo has been making successful investments in Shanghai real estate since the 1980s, such as K. Wah Center set along the city’s swank Huai Hai Road. A new project coming amid the country’s economically painful zero-Covid policies took a big step forward on Friday when his flagship K. Wah International Holdings said it had won a joint tender bid for HK$4.18 billion, or $532 million, to develop land on the city’s western side.
K. Wah, though a subsidiary, will hold 60% of a joint venture in partnership with two state-owned companies to develop residential and commercial property in an area planned for artificial intelligence and healthcare-related businesses, the announcement said.
K. Wah said the project “represents an excellent investment opportunity for the group to be engaged in a transit-oriented development to expand its presence in the Shanghai property market, replenish the group’s land bank and is in line with the group’s business development strategy and planning.”
The announcement comes after China’s overall GDP growth fell to 0.4% in the second quarter from a year earlier. In Shanghai, where millions experienced lockdowns of varying duration in the April-June period, GDP shrank by 5.7%. China’s relations with the United States and Europe have been strained by Beijing’s close ties with Russia and recent military exercises near Taiwan.
Mainland-born Lui, worth $12.1 billion on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list today, moved to Hong Kong at age four. Possessing only an elementary school education, he helped his grandmother run a retail outfit that sold food staples in Hong Kong as a teenager. In the late 1940s he re-exported army surplus, and by 1950 was buying construction equipment from Japan and selling it to Southeast Asia. In 1964 his was the first private company to obtain quarrying rights in Hong Kong, thanks to a record bid.
After that, Lui started building undistinguished residential housing there. Lui was also an early investor in China, buying into a quarry in Shenzhen in 1980 and later acquiring a land bank in Guangzhou. K. Wah Center opened in Shanghai in April 2005; beside real estate, part of his fortune also comes from the Macau casino operator Galaxy Entertainment Group.
Another long-term Hong Kong success story in Shanghai property development, Shui On Land, led by billionaire Vincent Lo, noted in a filing last month China’s short-term business outlook faces uncertainties. “The Chinese economy faces considerable headwinds amid a highly uncertain geopolitical environment, tense U.S.-China relations, and tightening monetary policy in the advanced economies,” it said. “The property sector debt issue will take time to resolve. Still, the government has the policy means and experience to handle the developers’ debt restructuring process and address the suspended project issue.”
And yet Shui On, whose Shanghai projects include city’s iconic Xintiandi nightlife and shopping area, was nevertheless upbeat about the longer-term investment prospects there. “Although the immediate outlook is less than favorable, the impending market correction should enable us to acquire assets in prime locations at attractive prices during what could be a golden era for new investment,” it said.
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Real estate markets slow in most nearby communities – Calgary Herald
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Slowing demand and rising supply in outlying communities like Airdrie have set in along with cooler temperatures of late summer, recent data shows.
Calgary Real Estate Board statistics from last month show sales falling year over year in most communities while supply is rising.
“In all those markets, we’ve seen improvements in inventory,” says Ann-Marie Lurie, chief economist with CREB.
“Still these markets remain quite tight, but we are seeing some price adjustments and that’s because they came up so high during the pandemic.”
Airdrie is the largest and most in-demand market with the highest sales last month, 169 transactions, down almost eight per cent year over year. Still, the community saw inventory rise more than 10 per cent with now more than 1.69 months of supply, an increase of nearly 20 per cent from last year.
Other communities have also seen sales fall and supply rise. These include Cochrane, which had 75 sales, down about 17 per cent from August last year. Its supply is now more than two months, up about 26 per cent year over year.
Okotoks had 53 sales in August, down about 19 per cent year over year while supply grew to more than 1.8 months.
Despite falling demand and growing supply, prices still grew year over year in these communities. The benchmark price in Airdrie increased almost 19 per cent to $493,500. In Cochrane, the benchmark price grew by more than 16 per cent to $517,400 while the benchmark reached $549,300 in Okotoks, also an increase of more than 16 per cent.
Chestermere saw the biggest drop in sales year over year at more than 48 per cent.
Only High River experienced a slight increase in activity with sales last month up 2.5 per cent versus the same span last year.
Spotlight: Making sense of the current real estate market in Newmarket – NewmarketToday.ca
Buying a home at any time is a huge undertaking. It requires a lot of preparation, time and access to expertise.
Homeowners—and those who wish to become one for the first time—have it even harder right now, with conditions seeming to change from month to month.
REALTOR® Dave Starr specializes in home buying and selling in Newmarket and the surrounding areas. With over 35 years of experience in the real estate industry, he is happy to share what he’s learned with others.
Slowing things down
So how would he describe the current state of the market in Newmarket? “It’s finally more normal and realistic,” he says. “A prospective buyer has a little more breathing room to make sure that their financing is in place and they can also consider a home inspection.”
A seller will benefit by working with a more seasoned agent, he says, because they have had prior experience with similar markets. He likens the situation to a professional athlete who has played in the playoffs before or competed in a large-scale event like the Masters in golf.
Earlier in the year, the market was not realistic.
That tended to leave buyers, sellers and agents scrambling. “The end result can be a situation with buyer’s remorse, where the buyer no longer wants to close on their purchase. The banks sometimes struggle with appraisals, which can also result in a non-closure,” he says. “In the fast-paced market that took place earlier, some agents potentially made more mistakes, especially since they weren’t experienced enough to handle multiple offers.”
Home inspections and interest rates
While some homes may not require a home inspection, there are lots that definitely need one. “In an extremely busy market, buyers could potentially end up with an unwanted surprise—at a great expense,” says the REALTOR®.
He likens it to the necessity of having speed limits on our roadways. The faster you go, the more chances you have of getting into an accident.
“We are now facing an increased mortgage rate, which many would not like to see, but the truth is it will help balance the market overall. Lower interest rates basically were one of the reasons for the inflated house prices and homeowners were simply taking on larger mortgages than ever,” he says.
For years many homeowners would tell him the same thing: that mortgage money was cheap to them. His answer to that never varied: “You do know you have to pay it back at some point.” If the rate were guaranteed for a lifetime, it would be a different story, but of course that’s not the way it works.
The market over the summer was slower but typical; that has become the norm over the past few years.
The fall market is already starting to pick up, with increased activity, though the number of listings in Newmarket is quite low. Rental availability is both quite expensive and experiencing a shortage.
Says Starr, “The market moving forward should remain stable. Buyers and sellers will have more time to make the best educated decision for their needs and wants.”
Whether you’re a buyer or a seller, he welcomes any calls or emails.
Let Dave Starr Real Estate help you make your next move. Call 416-520-3231 and get the Starr treatment you deserve.
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