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Next few weeks will determine whether Ontario can see 'return to normal' this summer, modelling suggests – CTV Toronto

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TORONTO —
Ontarians are being warned that their behaviour over the next few weeks is critical in determining the quality of their summer as COVID-19 cases start to increase and variants pose a significant risk, according to new modelling data.

Experts with the province released new modelling data on Thursday, revealing that COVID-19 variants are continuing to spread. They warned that Ontario’s ability to control the spread would determine the fate of another COVID-19 wave.

“Our behavior over the next few weeks is critical in determining the quality of our summer,” Dr. Adalsteinn Brown, the co-chair of Ontario’s COVID-19 science advisory table, said during the modelling update. “Our ability to control the rate of spread will determine whether we return to normal, or we face a third wave.”

“We’ve learned over this year that preventing the rise of cases is easier than flattening the curve.”

The provincial data released on Thursday showed that cases of COVID-19 are increasing in most public health units and experts say the increase is connected to the more-contagious variants.

“You can see that at the same time as the early variants decline, the new variants are increasing substantially,” Brown told reporters.

“[There are now] two pandemics playing out, one with the early variants under control and one with new variants not under control.”

In a worst-case scenario, the modelling found that by April, the province would see variant case numbers hitting the 8,000 mark. In the best-case scenario, the province could expect fewer than 2,000 cases of the variant per day by April.

The scenario between the worst and best would see daily variant case numbers just below the 6,000 mark. Brown said the situation would “heavily” depend on the province’s approach to dealing with the spread of the variants and vaccination efforts.

“If you see strong public health measures in place, you’d expect to see models trend towards best cases,” Brown said. “If you see weak public health measures in place, you’d expect to see situations trend towards a worst case.”

Hospital and ICU admissions no longer decreasing

The modelling also showed that the number of hospital and admissions to intensive case units for COVID-19 are no longer decreasing and are now levelling off.

Brown said that while ICU admission have decreased dramatically, the occupancy rate remains a challenge. He said that it’s because some of the patients in the unit are very sick and need to stay in hospital for lengthy times.

He said the increasing spread of the COVID-19 variants could make matters worse inside hospitals and ICUs across the province.

In a worst-case situation, the province could see more than 600 people in ICUs. In the best-case scenario, just under 400 people could be in ICUs.

Among the challenges hospitals face is a significant surgery backlog, which has now grown to over 227,000 cases and could get worse as more pressure is placed on the healthcare system.

“We are working hard across hospitals in Ontario to make sure that the most severely ill people get the care that they need,” Brown said. “These are not what we might consider unnecessary or frivolous surgeries, these are surgeries for care that people need

Vaccination in long-term care has ‘paid off,’ experts say

Brown said he is happy to report that staff and resident cases in long-term care homes are continuing to decrease and deaths are flattening. He said no new deaths have been reported in Ontario over the last five days.

“We’ve had clear success with vaccination in long-term care homes. Deaths and cases are at a very low level now in these homes,” he said. “There’s emerging evidence that vaccinations not only reduces the risk of death and hospitalization, it also reduces the risk of catching and passing on the disease.”

Brown said that new variants are reacting to public health measures in the way as the earlier strain. He said following public health measures and increasing vaccinations across the province are key to preventing a third wave of the pandemic.

“We will really make sure that we control this pandemic and bring us towards the promise that everyone wants of a much better summer, much better even perhaps than last year,” he said. 

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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