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Posthaste: Why the new mortgage stress test rules could not have come at a worse time for Canada's frothy housing market – Financial Post

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Good Morning!

New mortgage stress test rules set to be rolled out on April 6 could be a boon for would-be home buyers, as it will be more responsive to actual mortgage rates than the current posted rate system, but it “could also be more volatile,” according to the Royal Bank of Canada.

The government is replacing its current method of system based on the large banks’ posted mortgage rates, with one based on the contract rates on all insured mortgages.

Colin Guldimann, an economist at RBC, believes the changes could have a meaningful impact on housing markets across the country.

“For the average household in Toronto with an income around $100,000, this would increase how much they can borrow by about $13,000. Borrowers with higher incomes or larger down payments would see their maximum loan sizes move up somewhat more,” the economist said in a note.

Capital Economics’ senior Canada economist Stephen Brown notes that while the stress test rule would likely mean that Bank of Canada would not change interest rates soon, “the timing could hardly be worse.”

“Reducing the severity of the stress tests is likely to put further upward pressure on house prices, at a time when the sales-to-new listing ratio already points to a surge in house price inflation ahead,” Brown wrote in a note. “The dilemma the Bank currently faces, between the need to support activity on the one hand and the need to limit the build-up of financial risks on the other, will only get worse.”

Here’s what you need to know this morning:

  • Statistics Canada to release its consumer price index for January
  • Bloc Quebecois and New Democratic Party MPs and the Green Party Parliamentary Leader will be joined by environmental and law groups to reveal new information about the rising costs of the Trans Mountain pipeline and call on the government not to borrow any more money for this project
  • Mortgage Professionals of Canada to hold press conference in Ottawa on the state of the mortgage market in Canada and their recommendations to policymakers
  • The Financial Consumer Agency of Canada (FCAC) will release online the results of its review of bank complaint handling procedures and its review of the operations of external complaints bodies in Ottawa
  • Finance Minister Bill Morneau appears before the House of Commons finance committee regarding pre-budget consultations in Ottawa
  • CRTC hearings on mobile wireless services in Gatineau, Que.
  • A detailed route hearing is held for the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion in Edmonton
  • Tourmaline Oil Corp. , Topaz Oil Corp., and CWC Energy Services Corp. to appear in court to face charges after a release in 2018 of poisonous hydrogen sulphide that affected human health in Grand Prairie, Alta.
  • Notable Earnings: Uni-Select Inc., Bausch Health, Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd, Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd., Alamos Gold Inc., Iamgold

The novel coronavirus is spreading. And health officials don’t seem to have a handle on it yet. Read out full coverage here.

— Please send your news, comments and stories to yhussain@postmedia.com. — Yadullah Hussain @Yad_Fpenergy

With files from The Canadian Press, Thomson Reuters and Bloomberg

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Federal $500M bailout for Muskrat Falls power delays to keep N.S. rate hikes in check

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HALIFAX – Ottawa is negotiating a $500-million bailout for Nova Scotia’s privately owned electric utility, saying the money will be used to prevent a big spike in electricity rates.

Federal Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson made the announcement today in Halifax, saying Nova Scotia Power Inc. needs the money to cover higher costs resulting from the delayed delivery of electricity from the Muskrat Falls hydroelectric plant in Labrador.

Wilkinson says that without the money, the subsidiary of Emera Inc. would have had to increase rates by 19 per cent over “the short term.”

Nova Scotia Power CEO Peter Gregg says the deal, once approved by the province’s energy regulator, will keep rate increases limited “to be around the rate of inflation,” as costs are spread over a number of years.

The utility helped pay for construction of an underwater transmission link between Newfoundland and Nova Scotia, but the Muskrat Falls project has not been consistent in delivering electricity over the past five years.

Those delays forced Nova Scotia Power to spend more on generating its own electricity.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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