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Canada’s Big Six banks reported fourth-quarter earnings this week. Here’s what you need to know

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Canada’s biggest banks reported their fourth-quarter earnings this week, covering the three months ending Oct. 31, as analysts gauge the strength of the banking sector before heading into an expected slowdown (and possible recession) next year.

Bank of Nova Scotia, Royal Bank of Canada and Toronto-Dominion Bank topped analysts’ forecasts. Meanwhile, National Bank, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce and Bank of Montreal fell short of analysts’ expectations.

As central banks raise interest rates to slow inflation, economic fears have held bank stocks back compared with the overall market. Markets are watching these earnings closely for signs of how they will be affected in future quarters by decades-high inflation and central banks’ rapid rate hikes.

Here’s a breakdown of the Big Six banks’ fourth-quarter earnings.

Bank of Nova Scotia

The Bank of Nova Scotia building, in Toronto, on Aug. 22, 2017.Nathan Denette/The Canadian Press

  • Earnings Q4 2022: $2.1 billion ($1.63 per share)
  • Earnings Q4 2021: $2.6 billion ($1.97 per share)
  • Adjusted EPS $2.06
  • Analysts’ expectations: $1.99 per share (adjusted)
  • Dividend: $1.03 per share, unchanged from Q3

Bank of Nova Scotia reported a lower fourth-quarter profit as expenses increased and the bank set aside more money to cover loans that could default, but still beat low expectations on the strength of robust retail banking revenues.

Scotiabank earned $2.1-billion, or $1.63 per share, in the quarter that ended Oct. 31. That compared with $2.6-billion, or $1.97 per share, in the same quarter last year.

The bank’s fiscal fourth-quarter results included several charges that reduced earnings, including a $340-million loss from the sale of investments in Venezuela and Thailand, a $66-million restructuring charge and $98-million in costs to expand the bank’s Scene+ loyalty program.

On an adjusted basis, the bank said it earned $2.06 per share, which was ahead of the $1.99 per share anticipated by analysts, according to Refinitiv. Scotiabank kept its quarterly dividend unchanged at $1.03 per share.

Scotiabank also earmarked $529-million in provisions for credit losses – the money banks set aside to cover loans that may default. That was a large increase from a year ago, at $168-million, when Scotiabank was recovering provisions it had set aside during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The bank is in the midst of a transition in leadership, as Scott Thomson prepares to be its next chief executive. He will assume the top job on Jan. 31, when current CEO Brian Porter retires.

Royal Bank of Canada

A person walks past RBC signage in Toronto, on Sept. 20.Alex Lupul/The Canadian Press

  • Earnings Q4 2022: $3.88 billion ($2.74 per share)
  • Earnings Q4 2021: $3.89 billion ($2.68 per share)
  • Adjusted EPS $2.78
  • Analysts’ expectations: $2.69 per share (adjusted)
  • Dividend: $1.32 per share, up 4 cents from Q3

Royal Bank of Canada reported fiscal fourth-quarter profit that was roughly unchanged from a year earlier – a day after it announced a $13.5-billion deal to acquire HSBC Bank Canada in the country’s biggest bank deal on record.

For the three months that ended Oct. 31, RBC earned $3.88-billion or $2.74 a share. That compared with $3.89-billion or $2.68 in the same quarter last year. On an adjusted basis, RBC said it earned $2.78 a share, above analysts’ consensus estimate of $2.69, according to Refinitiv.

The bank also increased its quarterly dividend by 4 cents to $1.32 per share, a three-per-cent hike.

Chief executive officer Dave McKay warned there are still several warning signs in the economy. With inflation, a potential recession on the horizon and labour-market pressures driving costs higher, “there’s a higher level of uncertainty and therefore you have higher tail risk right now,” Mr. McKay said.

National Bank

A National Bank sign is seen May 30, 2016 in Montreal.Paul Chiasson/The Canadian Press

  • Earnings Q4 2022: $738 million ($2.08 per share)
  • Earnings Q4 2021: $776 million ($2.19 per share)
  • Adjusted EPS $2.08
  • Analysts’ expectations: $2.22 per share (adjusted)
  • Dividend: $0.97 per share, up 5 cents from Q3

National Bank of Canada reported a 4-per-cent drop in fiscal fourth-quarter profit and raised its dividend by 5 per cent as rising provisions against loan losses outweighed strong gains in retail banking.

In the fiscal fourth quarter, National Bank earned $738-million or $2.08 a share, compared with $776-million or $2.19 a year earlier. On average, analysts were expecting earnings per share of $2.22. For the full fiscal year, National Bank’s profit and revenue were both up 8 per cent, to $3.38-billion and $9.65-billion respectively.

National Bank raised its quarterly dividend by five cents to 97 cents per share, a five-per-cent increase, and announced a plan to buy back as many as seven million shares, or 2.1 per cent of total shares outstanding.

Rising provisions for credit losses weighed heavily on results. National Bank set aside $87-million in provisions, after recovering $41-million from its reserves in the same quarter last year.

CEO Laurent Ferreira told analysts on Wednesday that economic indicators “are moving in the right direction,” but that the bank is nonetheless keeping “a defensive positioning” and watching central banks’ tone on monetary policy.

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

The lobby of CIBC’s headquarters, in Toronto, on Oct. 25, 2021.Evan Buhler/The Canadian Press

  • Earnings Q4 2022: $1.19 billion ($1.26 per share)
  • Earnings Q4 2021: $1.44 billion ($1.54 per share)
  • Adjusted EPS $1.39
  • Analysts’ expectations: $1.72 per share (adjusted)
  • Dividend: $0.85 per share, up two cents from Q3

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce reported an 18-per-cent drop in fiscal fourth-quarter profit and raised its dividend as the bank was hit by higher expenses and loan loss provisions.

CIBC earned $1.19-billion, or $1.26 per share, in the fourth quarter. That compared with $1.44-billion, or $1.54 per share, a year earlier.

The bank’s results included several special charges, including a $91-million increase in legal provisions, a $37-million charge from consolidating its real estate portfolio and $12-million of costs related to the bank’s acquisition of the credit card portfolio of retailer Costco in Canada.

“CIBC had a big miss in the quarter and, while some of it related to higher provisions on performing loans, the bank’s domestic net interest margin contraction was disappointing,” said John Aiken, an analyst at Barclays Capital Inc., in a note to clients.

Adjusted to exclude those items, CIBC said it earned $1.39 per share. That was far shy of analysts’ estimate of $1.72 per share, according to Refinitiv.

CIBC raised its quarterly dividend by two cents to 85 cents per share.

For the full fiscal year, CIBC’s profit fell 3 per cent to $6.2-billion.

Bank of Montreal

A BMO branch in Ottawa, on Feb. 14, 2019.CHRIS WATTIE/Reuters

  • Earnings Q4 2022: $4.48 billion ($6.51 per share)
  • Earnings Q4 2021: $2.16 billion ($3.23 per share)
  • Adjusted EPS $3.04
  • Analysts’ expectations: $3.11 per share (adjusted)
  • Dividend: $1.43 per share, up four cents from Q3

Bank of Montreal reported adjusted fourth-quarter profit that fell 4 per cent and raised its dividend as higher costs and lower returns from investment and corporate banking weighed on earnings.

The bank’s earnings for the quarter that ended Oct. 31 were affected by two large items. It had revenue of $3.37-billion from a hedging strategy designed to offset the impact of interest rate changes on the closing cost of its $17.1-billion deal to acquire California-based Bank of the West. And it took a previously-announced legal provision of $1.14-billion after a U.S. court found the bank liable for damages in a lawsuit related to a prominent Ponzi scheme.

BMO earned $4.48-billion, or $6.51 per share, compared with $2.16-billion, or $3.23 per share, in the same quarter last year.

Adjusted to exclude the one-time items, BMO said it earned $2.14-billion, or $3.04 per share. On average, analysts expected adjusted earnings of $3.11 per share, according to Refinitiv.

The bank raised its quarterly dividend by four cents to $1.43 per share.

BMO’s results represent “a mixed quarter,” said Scotia Capital Inc. analyst Meny Grauman, in a note to clients. “There is plenty to like here despite the headline miss.”

For the full fiscal year, Adjusted profit of $9-billion was up 4 per cent.

Toronto-Dominion Bank

A TD Bank branch in Halifax, on March 30, 2017.Andrew Vaughan/The Canadian Press

  • Earnings Q4 2022: $6.67 billion ($3.62 per share)
  • Earnings Q4 2021: $3.78 billion ($2.04 per share)
  • Adjusted EPS $2.18
  • Analysts’ expectations: $2.07 per share (adjusted)
  • Dividend: $0.96 per share, up seven cents from Q3

Toronto-Dominion Bank reported adjusted fourth-quarter profits that beat expectations and raised its dividend as higher margins earned on loans helped drive strong retail banking returns in Canada and the U.S..

Its results were helped by a favourable tax rate, and included two large items that boosted results: a $2.3-billion gain on an interest-rate hedging strategy tied to its US$13.4-billion acquisition of First Horizon Corp., and a $997-million gain on the sale of shares in Charles Schwab Corp.

TD earned $6.67-billion, or $3.62 per share, compared with $3.78-billion, or $2.04 per share, in the same quarter last year.

After adjusting for special items, TD said it earned $4.07-billion, or $2.18 per share. On average, analysts expected adjusted earnings per share of $2.07, according to Refinitiv.

TD raised its quarterly dividend by 7 cents to 96 cents per share.

Margins have been a focal point for analysts and investors this quarter as a key support for banks’ earnings, faced with an array of economic headwinds.

“If rates continue to rise then you would expect that to be helping margins,” said Kelvin Tran, TD’s chief financial officer, in an interview. “But that also depends on the competitiveness of the loan pricing.”

For the full fiscal year, TD’s adjusted profit was up 5 per cent to $17.43-billion.

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:T)

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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