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Economy

Anti-energy policies hurting Canada’s economy, reputation

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It’s a problem that will undermine the prosperity of future generations if we leave it unattended. Since 2015, Canadian real GDP has grown by 13 per cent, but this growth has been driven entirely by government spending, consumer spending, and residential investment. Much of this growth has been funded by debt, and it has masked stagnant growth in Canadian business investment.

Alarmingly, between 2015 and 2019, weak business investment reduced Canada’s GDP growth by an average of  — 0.3 per cent. The lack of business investment is undermining Canada’s economic growth and future prosperity.

This is unsustainable.

One of the impediments to business investment growth is Canada’s growing reputation as the nation where it’s difficult, if not impossible, to get large projects completed.

Global investors noticed when the Trudeau government killed the Northern Gateway Pipeline in 2016, Energy East in 2017, the Teck Frontier mine in 2020, and at least 15 LNG projects. With growing demand for secure sources of energy, it’s particularly worth noting the cancellation of the Énergie Saguenay liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Quebec.

Canada has lost out on billions of dollars worth of investment that could have created better-paying jobs, more disposable income and more economic activity.

In particular, Bill C-69 is preventing energy companies from building the infrastructure Canada needs to export large volumes of responsibly produced energy, including LNG to Europe and elsewhere. In fact, in the three years before Bill C-69 came into effect in 2019, a total of 112 major natural resource projects worth $196 billion in Canada were either suspended, cancelled, or put on hold.

The federal government’s punitive approach towards the energy industry, including their proposed emissions cap and the extreme increases to the carbon price they have planned will undermine the industry’s competitiveness and sends a negative message to investors. If these ill-conceived policies are implemented, they will push production and emissions to less stable countries and to Canada’s adversaries to the detriment of energy security, the environment, and the Canadian economy.

In light of Vladimir Putin’s unjust and illegal invasion of Ukraine, Canada has a moral imperative to provide the world with alternatives to Russia’s blood oil. But when our closest allies fly halfway across the world to secure clean, safe, ethical energy, the prime minister and his NDP allies tell them “there is no business case.”

In reality, there are commercially viable projects proposed on all three Canadian coasts. Canadian resources are superior to Russian resources across environmental, social and governance measures.

In Alberta alone, the Pathways Alliance of oilsands producers has voluntarily committed to achieving net zero by 2050. We have an internationally recognized methane emissions reduction framework and our largest companies pay into the Technology Innovation and Emissions Reduction Fund supporting the development and implementation of new emissions-reduction technology. Our government and our energy industry have been working to lower emissions responsibly for years

In spite of this, the Trudeau government’s ideological, anti-energy policies are stifling business investment, job creation, and natural resource development in Alberta, and across Canada. If this is allowed to continue, Canada will be viewed as an unreliable trade partner and an unreliable ally, affecting every trade-dependent sector and ultimately the standard of living for all Canadians.

To secure Canada’s future, business investment must be allowed to grow.

Travis Toews is president of the Alberta Treasury Board and minister of Finance.

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Economy

How will the U.S. election impact the Canadian economy? – BNN Bloomberg

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How will the U.S. election impact the Canadian economy?  BNN Bloomberg

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Economy

Trump and Musk promise economic 'hardship' — and voters are noticing – MSNBC

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Trump and Musk promise economic ‘hardship’ — and voters are noticing  MSNBC

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Economy

Economy stalled in August, Q3 growth looks to fall short of Bank of Canada estimates

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OTTAWA – The Canadian economy was flat in August as high interest rates continued to weigh on consumers and businesses, while a preliminary estimate suggests it grew at an annualized rate of one per cent in the third quarter.

Statistics Canada’s gross domestic product report Thursday says growth in services-producing industries in August were offset by declines in goods-producing industries.

The manufacturing sector was the largest drag on the economy, followed by utilities, wholesale and trade and transportation and warehousing.

The report noted shutdowns at Canada’s two largest railways contributed to a decline in transportation and warehousing.

A preliminary estimate for September suggests real gross domestic product grew by 0.3 per cent.

Statistics Canada’s estimate for the third quarter is weaker than the Bank of Canada’s projection of 1.5 per cent annualized growth.

The latest economic figures suggest ongoing weakness in the Canadian economy, giving the central bank room to continue cutting interest rates.

But the size of that cut is still uncertain, with lots more data to come on inflation and the economy before the Bank of Canada’s next rate decision on Dec. 11.

“We don’t think this will ring any alarm bells for the (Bank of Canada) but it puts more emphasis on their fears around a weakening economy,” TD economist Marc Ercolao wrote.

The central bank has acknowledged repeatedly the economy is weak and that growth needs to pick back up.

Last week, the Bank of Canada delivered a half-percentage point interest rate cut in response to inflation returning to its two per cent target.

Governor Tiff Macklem wouldn’t say whether the central bank will follow up with another jumbo cut in December and instead said the central bank will take interest rate decisions one a time based on incoming economic data.

The central bank is expecting economic growth to rebound next year as rate cuts filter through the economy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 31, 2024

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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