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The Economic Implications of South America’s Growing Lithium Industry

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Known as the element that powers our smartphones, laptops, and, increasingly, our cars, lithium is in incredibly high demand.

While the market transitions to a low-carbon future, lithium-ion batteries are becoming more and more essential, with electric vehicles being one of the biggest drivers of demand. Luckily, South America looks to have us covered. In fact, South America holds around 75% of the world’s known reserves, with Argentina, Chile and Bolivia representing the so-called ‘lithium triangle’ of producers.

According to the United States Geological Survey (USGS), as of 2021, Chile has the largest lithium reserves in the world, followed by Argentina and Bolivia.

The importance of South America in this is race is gaining momentum, so much so that governments around the world are moving to secure their supplies from the Lithium Triangle and other parts of South America for the future, knowing that China is seemingly way ahead of the rest of the pack, including these recent developments:

· Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz visited South America, calling for a ‘New Approach to the Lithium Rush

· Bolivia tapped Chinese battery giant CATL to help develop its lithium

· Argentina, Chile and Bolivia are in talks to unite in battery metal industry

· South Korea’s POSCO invested $4 billion into the Lithium Triangle

Chile has an estimated 8.6 million metric tons of lithium reserves, mostly located in the Salar de Atacama. The Salar de Atacama is home to some of the world’s largest lithium brine operations.

Argentina is one of the world’s major players in the lithium industry, and for good reason. It has an estimated 6.4 million metric tons of lithium reserves, primarily located in the Salinas Grandes and Hombre Muerto salt flats in the northwest of the country. The lithium brines found in the country are some of the highest grade in the world, with concentrations of lithium reaching up to 3,200 parts per million (ppm). In comparison, the average concentration of lithium in seawater is around 0.1 ppm.

 

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This high concentration of lithium in Argentina’s brines makes them particularly attractive to mining companies, as it means that the extraction process can be more efficient and cost-effective. It also means that the environmental impact of mining can be minimized, as less water is needed to extract the same amount of lithium as in other regions.

The Salar de Olaroz, located in the northwestern province of Jujuy, is one of the largest and highest-grade lithium brine deposits in the world. It is estimated to contain around 6.4 million tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent, which is around 9% of the world’s total known lithium resources.

Other major lithium deposits in Argentina include the Salar del Hombre Muerto and the Salar de Cauchari. Both of these deposits are also known for their high-grade lithium brines, and are being developed by major mining companies.

Bolivia has an estimated 5.4 million metric tons of lithium reserves, located primarily in the Salar de Uyuni. However, lithium mining in Bolivia has been slower to develop than in Chile and Argentina, and the country faces significant political and social challenges.

Brazil, which is not part of the Lithium Triangle, also has significant lithium resources. As of 2021, Brazil was the world’s seventh-largest producer of lithium, with an estimated 86,000 metric tons of reserves. The main lithium deposits in Brazil are located in the states of Minas Gerais and Ceará, with significant exploration activity taking place in other regions of the country as well. The Brazilian government has made lithium a priority mineral for development, with plans to develop a domestic lithium-ion battery industry, and a new mine is on schedule to produce in April 2023.

Overall, the Lithium Triangle and Brazil are important players in the global lithium market. With the growing demand for EVs and other clean energy technologies, the world will increasingly rely on these regions for their lithium resources.

The economic implications of South America’s growing lithium industry are far-reaching. One of the most immediate impacts is the creation of new jobs in the region. According to the World Bank, the lithium industry in South America is expected to create thousands of new jobs, particularly in Bolivia and Argentina, where the industry is still in its infancy. These jobs span a variety of skill levels, from mining and exploration to engineering and research and development, and have the potential to provide a significant boost to local economies.

The potential economic benefits of South America’s growing lithium industry are significant. The lithium industry is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, driven by the increasing demand for lithium-ion batteries used in EVs and other technologies. As this industry grows, it has the potential to create new jobs, drive economic growth, and provide much-needed revenue for local governments.

Furthermore, the growing lithium industry has the potential to play a crucial role in the global transition to clean energy. The widespread adoption of EVs and renewable energy technologies will require a significant increase in the production of lithium-ion batteries, and the lithium reserves in South America are a key resource in meeting this demand.

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Canada’s unemployment rate holds steady at 6.5% in October, economy adds 15,000 jobs

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OTTAWA – Canada’s unemployment rate held steady at 6.5 per cent last month as hiring remained weak across the economy.

Statistics Canada’s labour force survey on Friday said employment rose by a modest 15,000 jobs in October.

Business, building and support services saw the largest gain in employment.

Meanwhile, finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing experienced the largest decline.

Many economists see weakness in the job market continuing in the short term, before the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts spark a rebound in economic growth next year.

Despite ongoing softness in the labour market, however, strong wage growth has raged on in Canada. Average hourly wages in October grew 4.9 per cent from a year ago, reaching $35.76.

Friday’s report also shed some light on the financial health of households.

According to the agency, 28.8 per cent of Canadians aged 15 or older were living in a household that had difficulty meeting financial needs – like food and housing – in the previous four weeks.

That was down from 33.1 per cent in October 2023 and 35.5 per cent in October 2022, but still above the 20.4 per cent figure recorded in October 2020.

People living in a rented home were more likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs, with nearly four in 10 reporting that was the case.

That compares with just under a quarter of those living in an owned home by a household member.

Immigrants were also more likely to report facing financial strain last month, with about four out of 10 immigrants who landed in the last year doing so.

That compares with about three in 10 more established immigrants and one in four of people born in Canada.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Health-care spending expected to outpace economy and reach $372 billion in 2024: CIHI

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The Canadian Institute for Health Information says health-care spending in Canada is projected to reach a new high in 2024.

The annual report released Thursday says total health spending is expected to hit $372 billion, or $9,054 per Canadian.

CIHI’s national analysis predicts expenditures will rise by 5.7 per cent in 2024, compared to 4.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.

This year’s health spending is estimated to represent 12.4 per cent of Canada’s gross domestic product. Excluding two years of the pandemic, it would be the highest ratio in the country’s history.

While it’s not unusual for health expenditures to outpace economic growth, the report says this could be the case for the next several years due to Canada’s growing population and its aging demographic.

Canada’s per capita spending on health care in 2022 was among the highest in the world, but still less than countries such as the United States and Sweden.

The report notes that the Canadian dental and pharmacare plans could push health-care spending even further as more people who previously couldn’t afford these services start using them.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

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Trump’s victory sparks concerns over ripple effect on Canadian economy

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As Canadians wake up to news that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the president-elect’s protectionist stance is casting a spotlight on what effect his second term will have on Canada-U.S. economic ties.

Some Canadian business leaders have expressed worry over Trump’s promise to introduce a universal 10 per cent tariff on all American imports.

A Canadian Chamber of Commerce report released last month suggested those tariffs would shrink the Canadian economy, resulting in around $30 billion per year in economic costs.

More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports go to the U.S.

Canada’s manufacturing sector faces the biggest risk should Trump push forward on imposing broad tariffs, said Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters president and CEO Dennis Darby. He said the sector is the “most trade-exposed” within Canada.

“It’s in the U.S.’s best interest, it’s in our best interest, but most importantly for consumers across North America, that we’re able to trade goods, materials, ingredients, as we have under the trade agreements,” Darby said in an interview.

“It’s a more complex or complicated outcome than it would have been with the Democrats, but we’ve had to deal with this before and we’re going to do our best to deal with it again.”

American economists have also warned Trump’s plan could cause inflation and possibly a recession, which could have ripple effects in Canada.

It’s consumers who will ultimately feel the burden of any inflationary effect caused by broad tariffs, said Darby.

“A tariff tends to raise costs, and it ultimately raises prices, so that’s something that we have to be prepared for,” he said.

“It could tilt production mandates. A tariff makes goods more expensive, but on the same token, it also will make inputs for the U.S. more expensive.”

A report last month by TD economist Marc Ercolao said research shows a full-scale implementation of Trump’s tariff plan could lead to a near-five per cent reduction in Canadian export volumes to the U.S. by early-2027, relative to current baseline forecasts.

Retaliation by Canada would also increase costs for domestic producers, and push import volumes lower in the process.

“Slowing import activity mitigates some of the negative net trade impact on total GDP enough to avoid a technical recession, but still produces a period of extended stagnation through 2025 and 2026,” Ercolao said.

Since the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement came into effect in 2020, trade between Canada and the U.S. has surged by 46 per cent, according to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.

With that deal is up for review in 2026, Canadian Chamber of Commerce president and CEO Candace Laing said the Canadian government “must collaborate effectively with the Trump administration to preserve and strengthen our bilateral economic partnership.”

“With an impressive $3.6 billion in daily trade, Canada and the United States are each other’s closest international partners. The secure and efficient flow of goods and people across our border … remains essential for the economies of both countries,” she said in a statement.

“By resisting tariffs and trade barriers that will only raise prices and hurt consumers in both countries, Canada and the United States can strengthen resilient cross-border supply chains that enhance our shared economic security.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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