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Canada’s banking watchdog raises key buffer for banks amid economic fears

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Canada’s biggest banks will be required to set aside more money to cover possible losses as the country’s banking watchdog points to growing fears of an economic downturn.

The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI), which regulates Canada’s biggest lenders, announced Tuesday it would raise the domestic stability buffer (DSB) to 3.5 per cent, up from 3.0 per cent. The change will take effect Nov. 1, 2023.

This marks the buffer’s highest level since its inception in June 2018.

The DSB dictates how much of a bank’s reserve funds must be set aside to cover possible losses; OSFI describes it as a “rainy-day fund” in documents on its website. It applies to Canada’s six biggest banks.

OSFI head Peter Routledge said in a press conference Tuesday morning that “financial system vulnerabilities remain elevated and in some cases have continued to increase.”

“OSFI is buying more insurance for financial stability,” he said.

The DSB is one part of an overall capital requirement that big banks must hold at all times. With the DSB hike on Tuesday, the minimum amount banks must have on-hand will rise to 11.5 per cent of their total assets; OSFI says that as of April 30, banks’ actual levels were 13.1 per cent.

Canada’s biggest banks have moved in lockstep to increase their loan loss provisions in recent quarters ahead of expected economic turbulence.

Tuesday’s decision marks the second consecutive increase to the key buffer, which also rose by 50 basis points at OSFI’s December 2022 announcement.

OSFI flagged a number of risks to the financial system tied to a worsening economic outlook and the impact of higher interest rates from the Bank of Canada.

Households and businesses alike are “more vulnerable to economic shocks” amid high debt levels, Routledge said.

He added that economic strength so far this year in Canada, alongside solid bank earnings and signs of a rebound in the housing market, make this an “opportune time” to raise capital requirements for big banks.

“Our decision on the DSB reflects the fact that the industry is profitable, sound, generating ample capital through earnings and therefore the cost of buying a little extra insurance for a downturn more severe than folks expect is pretty inexpensive,” he told reporters on Tuesday.

OSFI sets the DSB rate twice annually in June and December, but reserves the right to change the buffer at any point in the year as needed.

In April, OSFI laid out what it saw as the biggest risks to Canada’s financial system, including a pronounced downturn in the housing market and a liquidity shortfall in the Canadian market amid rising interest rates.

If any of the substantial risks materialized, OSFI says it would quickly lower the DSB, allowing banks to deploy that capital as needed to maintain financial stability.

Routledge said the regulator would be considering factors such as loan delinquencies and the broader economic outlook, as well as conversations with lenders themselves, in deciding where to take the DSB next.

 

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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