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Global markets hit with US$20-trillion in losses during coronavirus sell-off – The Globe and Mail

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A merciful respite from the pandemic panic in stock markets on Tuesday gave investors the chance to survey the extent of the damage so far, and the cost is a heavy one – US$20-trillion wiped out from global markets over the course of a brutal sell-off.

In Canada, it was only a little over three weeks ago that the S&P/TSX Composite Index rang in a record high, at which time the total market capitalization of the companies in the index was $2.74-trillion.

The ensuing seismic shift in market sentiment reduced the market value of Canada’s benchmark index to $1.89-trillion by the time the closing bell ended a chaotic session on Monday.

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Since the start of last week, three trading days have had double-digit drops in Canadian stocks.

“From an orderly selloff in February, March has been pure madness so far with fears taking hold of investors, where the rush for safety led to indiscriminate selling,” Hugo Ste-Marie, a strategist at Scotia Capital, said in a report.

The sell-off in Canadian stocks has been all consuming, with every sector of the market and every single company in the Composite bearing losses. From peak to trough, the best performing Canadian stock as of Monday’s close was grocer Metro Inc., which was down by 2.7 per cent. The hardest-hit stock in the index was oil field services company Shawcor Ltd., which is down by 90 per cent.

Several other oil and gas companies have suffered enormous losses, including Cenovus Energy Inc. at minus 72 per cent, MEG Energy Corp. at minus 74 per cent and Whitecap Resources Inc. at minus 78 per cent.

The sole non-energy name in the 10 worst performers is Cineplex Inc., which announced on Monday it was temporarily closing its entire chain of theatres. The company’s agreement to be taken over by London-based Cineworld Group Inc. is also very much in doubt. Cineplex shares dropped by 72 per cent from mid-February.

There has been no refuge in defensive stocks, which up until the pandemic meltdown, were on a roll. The TSX utilities sector dropped by 27 per cent, while real estate stocks were down by 29 per cent.

“When panic sets in, recent winners are often used as a source of liquidity. Hence, the selloff didn’t spare defensive sectors,” Mr. Ste-Marie said.

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In the United States, the bear market is setting grim records for its speed and severity. On Monday, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), which is a proxy for the level of investor fear at any moment, skyrocketed to a record high of around 83, which exceeded its peak at the height of the global financial crisis.

A repeat of Monday’s 12-per-cent drop in the S&P 500 index – its worst since 1987 – would probably require the VIX to soar again, further into uncharted territory in excess of 100, Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse Securities, said in a note.

“While this is surely possible, we believe it is highly improbable,” Mr. Golub said.

But it is far too soon to call a bottom to the market rout, with the coronavirus coursing through Europe and North America and vast swaths of the global economy shutting down.

In addition to volatility-driven selling pressure, dropping economic estimates and falling profit forecasts will likely exact a deepening toll on equity prices in the days and weeks to come.

There aren’t any suitable modern precedents for grasping the potential damage to the economy. But China’s experience with the coronavirus offers some troubling clues into the effects of sweeping lockdowns.

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On Monday, China’s National Bureau of Statistics reported that industrial output fell by 13.5 per cent in the January-February period from last year. Economists were expecting a 3-per-cent drop.

“These are unprecedented rates of contraction far in excess of the impact of the global financial crisis,” Bank of Nova Scotia’s head of capital markets economics, Derek Holt, said in a note.

With North American stock benchmarks where they are, investors have yet to assume a severe recession is imminent.

“If the S&P 500 falls meaningfully below 2,300, it will signal to us that stocks are starting to bake in something more onerous,” wrote Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Dominion Securities.

On Monday, the S&P 500 closed at 2,386, before climbing up to 2,529 on Tuesday.

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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