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Canada's oil and gas sector at a crossroads – again – Richmond News

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With so many Canadian companies facing an existential threat, and too few ventilators, has the climate crisis, followed by the COVID-19 crisis, followed by an oil crash crisis provided Canada with the opportunity to pull the plug on Canada’s oil and gas sector and let it die?

That is the hope of anti-fossil fuel activist groups like Stand.earth and Dogwood, which participated in a virtual rally April 3 and launched a petition calling on Ottawa to reject calls for an emergency liquidity package for the oil and gas sector, which is experiencing what the International Energy Agency calls “a shock like no other in its history.”

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That shock is a one-two-three punch that started with a uncertain long-term future — due to climate change policies, decarbonisation and fossil fuel divestment — and shorter-term, but severe, shocks from the COVID-19 virus, resulting in a temporary shutdown of the global economy and steep fall in demand for oil and gas, and a price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia that drove oil prices down 60% in a matter of days.

The shock has exposed the vulnerability of countries, states and provinces that depend heavily on oil and gas for their economic prosperity, raising questions about whether governments should prop the industry up in the current downturn, or surrender to Russia and Saudi Arabia.

But given that oil and gas accounts for about 8% of Canada’s gross domestic product, its single most valuable export, and an estimated 800,000 direct and indirect jobs nation-wide, Canada needs the oil and gas sector as much as it now needs Canada, if it hopes for an economic recovery, said Alberta Energy Minister Sonya Savage.

“The country will not recover without a strong energy sector,” Savage said today at a virtual energy conference sponsored by Scotiabank and the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP).

“The Canadian oil and natural gas industry was the economic engine that pulled Canada out of the great economic recession of 2008,” added CAPP CEO Tim McMillan. “And we can do it again.”

Alberta Premier Jason Kenney said unemployment in Alberta is expected to hit 25% — 500,000 out of work – which is on the level of the Great Depression.

To shore up the industry through what is hoped to be a short-lived crisis, the Alberta government has offered more than $100 million to help oil land gas producers cover costs, and recently announced that the long-delayed Keystone XL pipeline is now under construction, thanks to a $7.5 billion commitment in equity and loan guarantees from Alberta.

“I am pleased to report construction is already underway,” said Kenny, a keynote speaker at the conference.

Savage expressed optimism that Ottawa would be forthcoming with an aid package for Canada’s oil and gas sector in the coming days, once it had dealt with the more immediate problem of getting money into the hands of roughly 2 million Canadians who have been laid off.

Oil and natural gas production is not just an Alberta story. It is also important to the economies of British Columbia, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland, and the Canadian economy more generally. (CAPP estimates that Alberta’s oil sector generates close to $600 million annually for B.C. service companies.)

The industry is also important to Canadian banks, which are heavily invested in the Canadian energy industry, Kenney said.

“Our banks, our financial institutions, cannot afford to see massive and permanent destruction of value in the Canadian energy sector — it’s too important” Kenney said.

Alberta is in a particularly hard spot right now. Its oil and gas sector was just starting to recover from the last oil price shock, and expected to invest $2 billion this year. Much of that investment won’t happen now, as producers have announced hundreds of millions of dollars worth of reductions from their 2020 spending plans.

The oil and refining industries have been hammered by a sharp and sudden decline in the demand for oil and refined fuels, as the global economy voluntarily shuts down to contain the COVID-19 pandemic, and an equally sudden and sharp drop in oil prices – the result of a price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia.

Globally, 5 million barrels of oil per day is not fetching a price that makes it worth producing, says the IEA.

“These operators are now losing money on every barrel they produce,” the IEA said in a recent brief.

And oil producing countries will see revenue from oil fall from $287 billion in 2019 to $70 billion in 2020, the IEA estimates, which means there will be tremendous international political pressure to resolve the price war.

Talks are expected to take place this week with OPEC members, and for the first time there is serious talk that non-OPEC members, like the U.S. and Canada, could agree to cut oil production, along with Saudi Arabia and other major producers to bring oil prices back up.

Asked if Alberta would agree to production cuts, Kenney said, “If we see progress towards a global consensus by producers….we’ll keep an open mind.”

But even if some agreement is struck, and oil prices move back up, the demand won’t, at least not for several weeks or months. Most countries are still in the middle of a pandemic lock-down, which means a continued low demand for oil, gasoline and jet fuel for the foreseeable future, as large swaths of the world’s population stops driving and flying.

If an agreement isn’t reached, Kenney said he thinks Canada and the U.S. should respond to Saudi Arabia’s “predatory dumping” with tariffs.

There is some irony that, in the midst of the current crisis, Alberta’s oil sector is now getting what it has demanded for a decade or more: new pipelines.

Construction is underway on the $12.6 billion Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, and, just this week, construction started on the $8 billion Keystone XL pipeline project.

TC Energy Corp. (TSX:TRP) announced at the beginning of April that construction has already started in Northern Montana near the Canadian border on the long-delayed pipeline project, following Alberta’s announcement it will take a $1.5 billion equity stake in the project, and provide $6 billion in government guaranteed loans.

That news has been greeted with a noticeable absence of outcry from activists, who are now confined to virtual protests, due to the pandemic. Savage said she didn’t think Canadians will have much patience with protests against a project that is expected to create 7,000 jobs in the current economic climate.

As for the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, now that Keystone XL is underway, Kenny now seems less interested in, or optimistic about, its completion. He said Keystone XL is the more important project for Alberta.

“I hope the TMX happens, but I’m not prepared to bet the future of Alberta on that one project,” he said.

“This (Keystone XL) is our hedge against risk of the non-completion of TMX. And it’s a bigger project. It’s at least 830,000 barrels of oil a day of heavy crude, and we know that the Gulf complex refineries in the U.S. are hungry for our kind of heavy.

“They’re not going to get it from Venezuela or Mexico, and I think the Saudis have overstepped themselves in this price war – that U.S. producers are going to be a lot more cautious about importing overseas energy.”

In addition to asking the federal government for emergency “liquidity” for oil and gas companies, Kenney said his government is also pushing a “do-no-harm” approach that would postpone a number of new federal regulations, like a federal low carbon fuel standard and new methane regulations.

“We think we’re getting a more sympathetic ear on that than we have in the past,” Kenney said.

See next week’s issue for coverage of the impact of the pandemic and oil price crash on the Western Canadian natural gas and LNG sectors.

nbennett@biv.com
 

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Mitchell throws two TD passes as Ticats earn important 37-21 home win over Redblacks

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HAMILTON – It remains faint but Bo Levi Mitchell and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats still have a playoff pulse.

Mitchell threw two touchdown passes as Hamilton defeated the Ottawa Redblacks 37-21 in the CFL’s annual Hall of Fame game Saturday afternoon. The Ticats (4-9) earned a second straight win to move to within six points of the third-place Toronto Argonauts (7-6) in the East Division.

Hamilton visits Toronto on Friday night.

“Obviously they’re (wins) huge now,” Mitchell said. “We didn’t do ourselves any favours by getting into this position and not being able to really control our own destiny.

“But right now, we need certain people to win at certain times. Our job is to go out there and try to win the next five, then the next three after that.”

Mitchell finished 20-of-27 passing for 299 yards and an interception. He entered weekend action leading the CFL in passing yards (3,383) and TD strikes (21).

Greg Bell’s 15-yard TD run at 11:30 of the fourth and two-point convert put Hamilton up 36-21 after backup Jeremiah Masoli led Ottawa on two scoring drives. Following a 13-yard TD strike to Andre Miller at 2:53, Masoli found Dominique Rhymes on a 10-yard touchdown pass at 7:43 before Khalan Laborn’s two-point convert cut Hamilton’s lead to 29-21.

“When you’re scoring from (15) yards out on a run play, that makes offence easy,” Mitchell said. “It’s one of those things when you get down there as a quarterback, it takes you sometimes five, eight, 10 plays and now it’s ‘OK, now we have to create some stuff and find something.’

“When you hand the ball off and you’re scoring from (15) yards, it makes the offence really easy.”

Ottawa (8-4-1) would have clinched a playoff spot with a victory.

Ottawa committed six turnovers (three interceptions, two fumbles, once on downs) before an announced Tim Hortons Field gathering of 22,119. Lawrence Woods III also returned a punt 83 yards for a touchdown at 11:51 of the first quarter that put Hamilton ahead 10-3.

“You’ve got to bring your best every single week and this wasn’t our best, all of us, from coaches to the players,” said Ottawa head coach Bob Dyce. “If you don’t play great for four quarters, I don’t care who you’re playing you’re not going to have a successful day.

“We should’ve made the tackle (on Woods), we had him wrapped up it’s that simple. Even though we didn’t make the play on that, there should’ve been extra bodies there to clean it up when he did break the tackle.”

Hamilton also tied the season series with Ottawa 1-1. The teams meet again at TD Place on Oct. 25.

“If we didn’t turn it over today I would’ve said we played really well offensively and that to me is what the biggest difference is,” said Hamilton head coach Scott Milanovich. “Even the turnovers today (interception, fumble), at least they were in their end and we weren’t giving them a short field.

“The biggest play of the game was Woodsie’s return. It got us jump-started, gave us the lead and we were kind of off after that.”

Ottawa starter Dru Brown was 17-of-27 passing for 164 yards and an interception. Masoli entered late in the third and finished 13-of-19 passing for 183 yards with two TDs and two interceptions, but Dyce said Brown will start next weekend against Montreal (10-2-1), which earned a 19-19 tie Saturday night with Calgary (4-8-1).

The Canadian Football Hall of Fame’s ’24 class of S.J. Green, Chad Owens, Weston Dressler, Vince Goldsmith and Vince Coleman, along with builders Ray Jauch and Ed Laverty (posthumously), was honoured at halftime. All were enshrined Friday night.

Steven Dunbar Jr. and Ante Litre had Hamilton’s other touchdowns. Marc Liegghio kicked two field goals, three converts and two singles.

Ottawa’s Lewis Ward booted two field goals and a convert.

Mitchell culminated a five-play, 96-yard march with a 20-yard TD pass to Litre at 13:34 of the third. It followed Jonathan Moxey’s interception.

Liegghio’s single at 7:05 of the third put Hamilton up 22-6.

Mitchell’s 54-yard TD strike to Dunbar at 14:18 of the second staked Hamilton to its 21-6 halftime lead. The advantage was well-deserved as the Ticats had more first downs (12-six), net offensive yards (260-144) and scored on both offence and special teams.

Mitchell was 14-of-20 passing for 210 yards and a TD, but his interception cost Hamilton at least a field-goal attempt. Dunbar had five receptions for 113 yards and the touchdown.

Brown completed 13-of-21 passes for 127 yards.

Liegghio’s missed 47-yard attempt went for the single at 12:45 to put Hamilton ahead 14-6. It followed a Kiondre Smith catch that was ruled incomplete and at the very least cost the Ticats a first down that would’ve kept the drive alive.

Ward’s 30-yard kick at 9:15 had pulled Ottawa to within 13-6.

Liegghio’s 19-yard field goal at 5:13 pushed Hamilton’s lead to 13-3. It followed the defence stopping Ottawa’s Dustin Crum on third-and-one, giving the Ticats possession at the Redblacks 40.

Liegghio’s 47-yard field goal opened the scoring at 2:42 before Ward tied in with a 24-yard boot at 8:44.

UP NEXT

Redblacks: Host the Montreal Alouettes (10-2-1) next Saturday, Sept. 21.

Tiger-Cats: Visit the Toronto Argonauts (7-6) on Friday.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 14, 2024.



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Toronto FC downs Austin FC to pick up three much-needed points in MLS playoff push

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TORONTO – Needing three points to keep their playoff push alive, Toronto FC’s Jonathan Osorio and Deandre Kerr stepped up with first-half goals against Austin FC on Saturday with goalkeeper Sean Johnson doing his bit at the other end.

A 76th-minute goal by Austin’s Owen Wolff made for a nervy ending but TFC hung on for a 2-1 win.

While Toronto (11-15-3) remains on the Major League Soccer playoff bubble in eighth place in the Eastern Conference (the eighth- and ninth-place teams in each conference square off in a wild-card playoff with the winner facing the top seed in the conference), other results went their way.

Seventh-place Charlotte, 10th-place Atlanta and 11th-place Philadelphia all lost while ninth-place D.C. United tied.

Toronto midfielder Alonso Coello called it “a game we had to win.”

“It’s a big win … To see that fight tonight was important,” added coach John Herdman.

Austin (9-12-7) came into the game in 11th place in the West, two points below ninth-place Minnesota. The Texas side has won just one of its last six league games (1-4-1).

Austin outshot Toronto 7-6 (6-2 edge in shots on target) in the first half but found itself trailing 2-0 at the break as Toronto took advantage of its chances and the visitors didn’t in their first-ever visit to BMO Field, before an announced crowd of 25,538.

Toronto had a dream start, catching Austin on the counterattack in the seventh minute. A sliding Austin player dispossessed an onrushing Kerr, who had been set free by a long ball from Coello, but the ball bounced to Osorio, who beat goalkeeper Brad Stuver with a rising shot.

It was the Toronto captain’s second goal of the season in league play and his 65th for TFC in all competitions. Only Sebastian Giovinco (83) and Jozy Altidore (79) scored more in Toronto colours.

TFC went ahead on another counterattack in the 30th minute after an Austin giveaway. Osorio found Richie Laryea outpacing his marker and the wingback unselfishly sent a perfect low cross across goal for Kerr to knock home for his third of the season.

Wolff, the son of Austin head coach Josh Wolff, made it interesting with his late strike. The 19-year-old U.S. youth international, controlling a long ball, beat defender Raoul Petretta and then waited out Johnson before slotting it home for his first of the season.

Toronto survived a nervy six minutes of stoppage time as Austin pressed for the equalizer. Austin outshot Toronto 14-9 (8-3 in shots on target) and had 52.5 per cent possession.

The win evened Toronto’s home record at 7-7-0, while Austin slipped to 3-8-3 on the road.

It was a costly evening for Austin with defender Brendan Hines-Ike, midfielder Jhojan Valencia and star attacker Sebastian Driussi allpicking up cautions to miss Wednesday’s game with Los Angeles FC due to yellow-card accumulation.

Toronto defender Shane O’Neill will miss Wednesday’s game against visiting Columbus for the same reason. Toronto could be short mid-week, too. The hope is veteran centre back Kevin Long, who missed Saturday’s game after tweaking his hamstring in training, will be good to go.

Toronto has five games remaining, including three more at home as it looks to return to the post-season for the first time since 2020 when it lost to Nashville after extra time at the first hurdle.

It is a challenging road.

TFC hosts Columbus, the New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami while playing away at the Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire. All but Chicago are in playoff positions.

The only previous meeting between Toronto and Austin was in May 2023, when Zardes scored a 91st-minute winner to give Austin a 1-0 win over visiting Toronto, which was then mired at the bottom of the Eastern Conference. That loss prompted a post-game outburst from Italian star Federico Bernardeschi about TFC’s drab play.

Then-coach Bob Bradley benched Bernardeschi for the next game.

Current coach John Herdman made four changes to his starting 11 with Bernardeschi and Osorio returning from suspension and Coello and Kerr also slotting in. Coello, who had missed the last eight league games with a hamstring injury, was impressive in his 59-minute return.

Both Toronto and Austin suffered home losses last time out going into the international break. Toronto was beaten 3-1 by D.C. United while Austin lost 1-0 to Vancouver.

Follow @NeilMDavidson on X platform.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 14, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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CF Montreal finds its groove with 2-1 win over Charlotte

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MONTREAL – CF Montreal is back in the win column after securing a 2-1 Major League Soccer win over Charlotte FC on Saturday night at Stade Saputo.

Montreal’s form had suffered of late, with just one win in MLS since July, but Laurent Courtois’ squad showed a level of poise and control over the tempo of the game that had not been seen since the beginning of the season.

“What we’ve changed in the last few weeks or months in terms of our methodology or coaching, is nothing. We did the exact thing, We had the exact same words, and we expressed them the exact same way,” said Courtois. “Today, everything just clicked.”

Caden Clark scored for the first time as a Montreal (7-12-9) player in the 23rd minute, in addition to Bryce Duke’s goal three minutes later that ended up being the winner, while Tim Ream found the back of the net for Charlotte (10-10-8).

Montreal had the first major scoring chance of the match after 15 minutes of play. With a free kick roughly 25 metres away from goal, Gabriele Corbo sent a near-perfect shot smashing off the crossbar.

Montreal would continue to dictate the tempo in the opening phase, finding first blood just seven minutes later.

Following a phenomenal triple-save from Charlotte goalkeeper Kristijan Kahlina, the ball fell to Clark who volleyed the ball into the wide-open net, picking up his first goal for the club.

“I think you don’t lose the feeling (of scoring), everything happens for a reason, you just can’t lose yourself in the chaos,” said Clark, who had missed a full season due to injury and was briefly without a club, but was grateful for Courtois’ confidence in him.

“(To have a coach’s confidence) is huge and is something I’ve had both ends of so you just can’t take advantage of that in the wrong way. I’m going to keep my discipline with the game plan and keep my head right.”

With momentum completely on their side, the home side doubled the lead just three minutes later. Montreal continued to build up play on the left flank and found a streaking Raheem Edwards in behind the defence who cut the ball back to Duke, sending the Stade Saputo crowd into a frenzy.

Just after the half-hour mark, Charlotte pulled one back through a set piece — something Montreal has struggled defending all season — as Ream rose above everyone at the back post to score his first with his new club.

The second half began in a similar fashion to the end of the first, with Charlotte pressing high up the pitch and forcing several turnovers in dangerous areas. After surviving the pressure, Montreal began to regain control of the game near the hour mark, enjoying the lion’s share of the possession while Charlotte looked to hit back on the counterattack.

“I think when we conceded that goal we were like ‘here we go again.’ 2-1 is a tough lead before halftime … and at the beginning of the half we kind of shot ourselves in the foot and they pressed a bit more, they moved a bit more forward and that opened some gaps,” said captain Samuel Piette.

“I was happy with that, it shows character. At the end of the day, we just wanted the three points and that’s what we got.”

As the game progressed, Charlotte pushed harder to find an equalizer but to no avail. With only one shot on target conceded, the second-worst defence in the league put up an impressive front and confidently rebuffed every single Charlotte attack.

“I’m a big fan of the back five’s performance in their discipline, competitiveness, and synchronization with balls in behind,” said Courtois.

“We can’t explain sometimes in a game it’s not there, they’re capable and today they showed it. Let’s see tomorrow.”

UP NEXT

Both teams are back in action on Sept. 18 away from home as Montreal will look to avenge a 5-0 rout against the New England Revolution while Charlotte visits Orlando City SC.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 14, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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